Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) is set to release its earnings performance on 11/04 07:00:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.01B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.38 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
HOG Transcript
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive factors include strategic partnerships, new product launches, and a significant increase in HDFS operating income. However, global retail sales are down, margins have declined, and the company has withdrawn guidance, which typically leads to negative sentiment. The Q&A reveals management's optimism about future strategies but also highlights demographic challenges and high inventory levels. Considering the market cap, the overall sentiment is neutral, indicating a small potential stock price movement within the -2% to 2% range over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary reveals several negative aspects: a decline in HDFS revenue and operating income, decreased LiveWire unit sales, and a significant drop in consolidated operating income margin. The Q&A section highlights reduced consumer demand and higher interest rates impacting retail loan originations. Although there are positive elements like improved profitability in HDFS and expected retail sales growth, the overall sentiment is negative due to the withdrawal of 2025 guidance and macroeconomic uncertainties. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to experience a negative reaction in the range of -2% to -8%.
The earnings call reveals several concerning points: a significant decline in revenue and operating income margins, coupled with weak guidance for 2025. Despite a positive EPS surprise, the overall financial health appears strained, with declining shipments and retail sales. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties about strategic partnerships and the HDFS division, adding to investor concerns. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, but the negative financial indicators and lack of clear strategic direction are likely to result in a stock price decline over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary indicates a challenging financial performance with declines in global retail sales, wholesale shipments, HDMC revenue, and gross margin. Although there are some positives, such as increased operating cash flow and share repurchases, the flat to declining guidance for 2025 and uncertainties around HDFS and tariffs weigh negatively. The Q&A section reveals concerns about management clarity and strategic direction. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a negative reaction, with a projected movement between -2% and -8% over the next two weeks.
HOG Slides
HOG Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Harley-Davidson Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onNov 4, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Harley-Davidson Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 1.01B in revenue and an EPS of 1.38 for Harley-Davidson Inc's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Harley-Davidson Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a forHarley-Davidson Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 4, 2025. Harley-Davidson Inc
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade HOG Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 4, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Harley-Davidson Inc FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
