Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction
Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/16 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 14.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 9.43 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Goldman Sachs is expected to report neutral earnings, with mixed performance across segments and limited upside catalysts.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
While Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates positive catalysts (stress test capital flexibility, dividend hike, AI efficiency gains), these are largely offset by elevated market expectations (+ 42.7% stock outperformance vs. S&P 500) and lingering risks (China JV struggles, capital markets volatility). Fact data suggests mixed performance across core segments:
- Bullish Drivers:
- Stress Test Win: SCB improvement (300bps reduction) frees capital for buybacks/dividends (33% dividend hike announced).
- Investment Banking Momentum: Underwriting roles (e.g., Lime’s IPO) and M&A activity align with analyst notes on "accelerating" capital markets.
- Cost Efficiency: Generative AI rollout (~10k employees using tool) could improve operating margins.
- Bearish Risks:
- China Struggles: Departure of ICBC Wealth JV CEO highlights challenges in expanding asset management in China.
- Market Volatility: CEO Solomon’s warning on trade policy uncertainty potentially slowing capital markets activity.
- Valuation Concerns: Citi notes shares trade "well above historical ranges," requiring 18%+ ROTCE to justify.
Consensus expectations (Revenue: $ 13.53B, EPS: $ 9.88) appear priced in, with limited upside catalysts to drive a material beat.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Short-Term Options Play: Given elevated volatility expectations, consider a straddle (buy ATM calls and puts) expiring post-earnings.
- Hedge with Puts: Investors long GS might buy downside protection (e.g., $700 puts) given high valuation and macro risks.
- Sector Rotation: If GS misses, rotate into less rate-sensitive banks (e.g., JPMorgan) with lower capital markets exposure.
Rationale: Neutral outlook with asymmetric downside risk (high expectations vs. trade policy/China uncertainties). Options pricing likely reflects volatility, making directional bets less attractive.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
GS Transcript
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance, particularly in asset and wealth management, positive market trends, and strategic initiatives like AI integration. The Q&A session provides additional confidence, with management addressing concerns about efficiency, growth, and regulatory impacts. Although there are some uncertainties, such as the slower-than-expected pace of tokenization, the overall sentiment is positive. The focus on AI and operational efficiency, combined with a constructive investment banking outlook and strong asset growth, suggests a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance, growth in asset management, and strategic investments in AI. The 33% dividend increase reflects confidence in financial health. Despite some concerns in the Q&A, such as unclear responses about the Apple Card, the overall sentiment is positive due to strategic growth initiatives and regulatory optimism, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
GS Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Goldman Sachs Group Inc FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 16, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Goldman Sachs Group Inc FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 14.00B in revenue and an EPS of 9.00 for Goldman Sachs Group Inc's FY2025Q2.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Goldman Sachs Group Inc FY2025Q2 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forGoldman Sachs Group Inc's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 16, 2025. Goldman Sachs Group Inc Goldman Sachs is expected to report neutral earnings, with mixed performance across segments and limited upside catalysts.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade GS Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 16, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Goldman Sachs Group Inc FY2025Q2?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
