Walt Disney Co (DIS) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

08/06 04:00:00

Pre-Market

Walt Disney Co (DIS) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 08/06 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 23.75B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.46 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueMISS

23.75B

23.65B

-0.43%

EPSBEAT

1.46

1.61

+10.27%

AI Summary

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Aug 6, 2025

The earnings forecast anticipates a Beat prediction driven by resilient park attendance, ESPN's streaming growth, and cost discipline.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

4 beats1 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

25%

+5-7%

Accelerating DTC profitability, Parks revenue >10% YoY, ESPN streaming subs beat.

Beat

45%

+2-4%

Steady Parks growth, ESPN subs meet targets, DTC margins align with upward revisions.

Neutral

20%

Flat

Mixed Parks/ESPN metrics, soft DTC margin progression.

Miss

-3-5%

Parks demand softens post-Epic Universe, ESPN subs lag.

Strong Miss

-8-10%

Macro-driven travel slump, ESPN streaming delays.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

Parks resilience, ESPN streaming launch, and film success drive top-line growth ahead of modest consensus revisions (+0.4%).

EPS

Beat

Cost controls, DTC margin improvements, and studio performance offset Hulu payment headwinds.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Revenue Drivers:

Experiences Segment Resilience: Analysts highlight "relatively resilient" attendance and travel trends in parks despite Universal’s Epic Universe opening. CEO Iger downplayed pricing concerns, suggesting sustained demand.
ESPN Audience Growth: The NFL’s RedZone acquisition for ESPN (The Athletic) and the launch of a $ 29.99/month flagship ESPN streaming service (WSJ) position ESPN to monetize live sports and stabilize audience engagement.
Streaming Margins: Full Hulu integration and DTC bundling (Guggenheim, Loop Capital) are expected to drive incremental revenue and engagement.

EPS Drivers:

Cost Discipline: Layoffs (Deadline) and refined operating expense outlook (Guggenheim) support margin expansion.
Content Momentum: Strong box office performance from Lilo & Stitch (WSJ) and upcoming Zootopia 2/Avatar 3 (Jefferies) bolster studio profitability.

Risks:

The $438M Hulu payment reduces net income but is excluded from Adjusted EPS (June 9 news).
Universal’s Epic Universe and macro travel risks are partially offset by analyst confidence in park demand (MoffettNathanson).

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Bullish Plays:

Stock: Long $DIS ahead of earnings, targeting $130-135 on Beat/Strong Beat.
Options: Buy August $125 calls for leveraged upside; sell $115 puts to capitalize on downside support.

Hedging:

Pair with short theme park competitor $CCZ (Comcast) to mitigate Universal-specific risks.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

DIS Transcript

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive11-13

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased operating income across segments and successful strategic initiatives like the ESPN direct-to-consumer launch. The Q&A session reveals optimism for future cash flow and growth in various business areas, despite some uncertainties like the YouTube TV dispute. The integration of Hulu into Disney+ and partnerships like the NFL deal are positive indicators. However, the lack of detailed guidance on certain issues tempers the overall sentiment slightly. Given these factors, a positive stock price movement between 2% to 8% is expected.

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Presents At Bank Of America 2025 Media, Communications & Entertainment Conference (Transcript)

Neutral9-4

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive8-6

The earnings call highlights several positive developments: 20% EPS growth, strong performance in the Experiences segment, and increased sports viewership. The Q&A section reveals optimistic management sentiment, especially regarding ESPN's NFL deal and the integration of Hulu into Disney+. Despite some deferred guidance, the overall outlook is positive, with strong domestic park performance and new cruise line expansions. These factors suggest a likely stock price increase, aligning with positive sentiment.

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) MoffettNathanson 2025 Media, Internet & Communications Conference Call Transcript

Neutral5-14

DIS Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Walt Disney Co FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Walt Disney Co (DIS) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onAug 6, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Walt Disney Co FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 23.75B in revenue and an EPS of 1.46 for Walt Disney Co's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Walt Disney Co FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forWalt Disney Co's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Aug 6, 2025. Walt Disney Co The earnings forecast anticipates a Beat prediction driven by resilient park attendance, ESPN's streaming growth, and cost discipline.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade DIS Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theAug 6, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Walt Disney Co FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!