TLK Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how TLK performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TLK sees a +4.07% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.61% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.53%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
TLK Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
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TLK Earnings Analysis
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Corporation (TLK.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Revenue Increase Report: 1. Positive Revenue Growth: PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia reported a revenue increase of 0.9% year-on-year, reaching IDR 112.2 trillion for the nine months of 2024.
Data Payload Expansion: 2. Strong Data Payload Growth: Data Payload grew by 12.4% year-on-year, indicating a successful shift from legacy business to data services.
Broadband Customer Surge: 3. Significant Fixed Broadband Expansion: The fixed broadband business saw a remarkable 200.6% year-on-year growth, driven by the integration of IndiHome and the addition of 682,000 new customers.
Mitratel Revenue Growth: 4. Mitratel Revenue Contribution: Mitratel contributed IDR 6.82 trillion in revenue, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year growth with an impressive EBITDA margin of 83.2%.
Strong Financial Position: 5. Healthy Gearing Ratio: The company's net debt-to-EBITDA ratio remained strong at 0.6 times, indicating a solid financial position.
Negative
EBITDA Decline Analysis: 1. Declining EBITDA: EBITDA decreased by 4.1% year-on-year to IDR 56.6 trillion, with normalized EBITDA down 2.1% to IDR 57.8 trillion, resulting in a margin drop to 51.5%.
Operating Income Decline: 2. Operating Income Drop: Operating net income fell by 5.1% year-on-year to IDR 18.6 trillion after adjusting for one-off costs, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Rising Personnel Expenses: 3. Increased Personnel Costs: Personnel expenses surged by 12.7% year-on-year due to the Early Retirement Program, impacting overall cost management efforts.
Revenue Decline Analysis: 4. Telkomsel Revenue Decline: Telkomsel experienced a 2.1% revenue decline in Q3 2024, attributed to seasonal factors and weakened purchasing power, despite a strong year-to-date growth of 16.4%.
Declining EBITDA Margin: 5. Lower EBITDA Margin Outlook: The EBITDA margin for Telkomsel is projected to decline to 45%-46% by year-end 2024, reflecting ongoing cost pressures and competitive challenges.
TLK FAQs
How does TLK typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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TLK Earning Call Sentiment
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
TLK.N
-1.18%Positive
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: modest revenue growth, but declining EBITDA and operating income due to increased expenses. The Q&A highlights competitive pressures and unclear management responses, especially on synergy and monetization strategies, which are concerning. The lack of shareholder return plans and no new partnerships or strong guidance further contribute to a neutral sentiment. Despite some growth in digital and fixed broadband, the overall financial health remains challenged, resulting in an anticipated neutral stock price movement.
