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TALO Fundamental Analysis






TALO Earnings Analysis
Positive
Record Production Achievement: Talos Energy achieved record production of 98,700 barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q4 2024, with 70% being oil and 79% liquids, showcasing strong operational performance.
Record EBITDA Achievement: The company reported record EBITDA of $362 million for Q4 2024, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Record Free Cash Flow: Talos generated record free cash flow of $511 million for the full year 2024, demonstrating strong financial health and cash generation capabilities.
Operational Excellence Achieved: The successful drilling of the Katmai West number 2 well was completed 35% under budget and over a month ahead of schedule, highlighting operational excellence.
Strong Financial Position: Talos ended 2024 with a healthy cash position of $108 million and reduced its leverage ratio to 0.8x net debt to EBITDA, indicating strong financial discipline.
Reserve Base Enhancement: The acquisition of QuarterNorth in 2024 significantly enhanced Talos' reserve base, with proved reserves increasing to 194 million barrels of oil equivalent, 74% of which is oil.
Capital Investment Strategy: The company has a robust capital program for 2025, expecting to invest between $500 million and $540 million, which is strategically balanced across development and exploration projects.
Future Growth Potential: Talos is well-positioned for future growth with significant potential in the Daenerys prospect and the Wilcox trend, indicating a strong pipeline of opportunities.
Safety Record Excellence: The company maintained an outstanding safety record, completing approximately 6.6 million man hours in 2024 without a reportable incident, reflecting a strong commitment to health and safety.
Negative
2025 Production Guidance Update: Production guidance for 2025 is expected to be between 90,000 and 95,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which is a decrease from the current production levels above 100,000 barrels per day due to scheduled maintenance and weather-related downtime.
Rising Operational Costs: The company anticipates cash operating expenses to be between $580 million and $610 million, which may indicate rising operational costs that could impact profitability.
Overhead Cost Management Challenges: General and administrative expenses are projected to be between $120 million and $130 million, suggesting potential challenges in managing overhead costs effectively.
Well Completion Delays: The completion of the Sunspear and Katmai West number 2 wells is expected to be delayed, which could affect production timelines and revenue generation in the near term.
Maintenance Projects Impact: The company has scheduled several large maintenance projects for later in 2025, which will further reduce production rates and could impact overall financial performance for the year.
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Should I buy or sell TALO Stock?
Analysis and Insights
Based on the provided data and analysis, here is a concise recommendation:
Buy TALO stock as it presents a potential buying opportunity due to its low RSI of 28.5, indicating oversold conditions, and strong analyst consensus with an average price target of $15.67, suggesting significant upside potential.