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STEL Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Stellar Bancorp Inc(STEL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Stellar Bancorp Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-24Pre-Market0.500.50-106.13M105.73M-0.38+1.19-0.44
FY2025Q22025-07-25Pre-Market0.450.51+13.33104.92M104.22M-0.67-0.44-4.82
FY2025Q12025-04-25Pre-Market0.440.46+4.55105.66M104.86M-0.76-4.19-7.56
FY2024Q42025-01-30After Hours0.480.52+8.33107.45M108.07M+0.58-0.98+3.87
FY2024Q32024-10-25Pre-Market0.490.63+28.57106.00M107.81M+1.71+0.46+3.73
FY2024Q22024-07-26-0.480.56+16.67106.56M106.83M+0.25+1.49-3.96
FY2024Q12024-04-26-0.480.49+2.08107.14M108.50M+1.28-5.82-3.69
FY2023Q42024-01-26-0.560.55-1.79108.24M113.01M+4.41+0.23-6.18
FY2023Q32023-10-27-0.560.58+3.57109.07M111.42M+2.15-3.38+3.06
-2023-07-28-0.690.66-4.35----2.40-6.52
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STEL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Stellar Bancorp Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-24. The company achieved an EPS of 0.50, compared to analyst estimates of 0.50 by 0.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 105.73M compared to expectations of 106.13M by -0.38% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.19% one-day change and a -0.44% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Stellar Bancorp Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

STEL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Stellar Bancorp Inc(STEL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 107.89M and an EPS of 0.51.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.18%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 2.15%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.65% . These revisions correlate with a 3.16% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Stellar Bancorp Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between STEL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.18%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.15%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+0.65%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+3.16%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:422.86M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.00
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Stock Price31.97
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STEL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Stellar Bancorp Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-24,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.50 (Actual) vs.0.50 (Estimate) (0.00%)
Revenue: 105.73M (Actual) vs. 106.13M (Estimate) (-0.38%)
Price Reaction: 1.19%(1-Day), -0.44%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-25,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.51 (Actual) vs.0.45 (Estimate) (13.33%)
Revenue: 104.22M (Actual) vs. 104.92M (Estimate) (-0.67%)
Price Reaction: -0.44%(1-Day), -4.82%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-25,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.46 (Actual) vs.0.44 (Estimate) (4.55%)
Revenue: 104.86M (Actual) vs. 105.66M (Estimate) (-0.76%)
Price Reaction: -4.19%(1-Day), -7.56%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how STEL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, STEL sees a -3.00% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.44% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.03% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 1.01% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-24
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: improved net interest margin and tangible book value, but declining noninterest income and rising expenses. The Q&A section reveals optimism about growth and credit management but lacks clarity on M&A and payoff timelines. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, and while there are positive elements, uncertainties and cost pressures balance the sentiment, leading to a neutral prediction.
Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-25
The earnings call highlights a strong financial performance with increased non-interest income and a rise in tangible book value. Despite a competitive landscape, the bank is strategically managing expenses and focusing on core funding to improve margins. Share repurchases and loan originations indicate confidence in growth. The Q&A reveals a positive outlook on loan growth and market share gains, with management maintaining a disciplined approach to M&A. Overall, these factors suggest a positive sentiment towards the stock price, likely resulting in a 2% to 8% increase over the next two weeks.
Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-26
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: a cautious growth strategy due to economic uncertainty and tariff impacts, but also meaningful share repurchases and continued net interest margin progress. The Q&A indicates optimism in growth potential and competitive deposit onboarding, but concerns over non-accruals and unclear responses on tariffs suggest caution. Given Stellar Bancorp's small market cap, these mixed factors likely result in a neutral stock price reaction, with potential volatility as further economic conditions unfold.
Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-25
Stellar Bank's earnings call presents mixed signals. While there are positive aspects such as a strong capital position, share repurchase programs, and increased net income, there are also concerns. Economic uncertainties, competitive deposit markets, and cautious growth outlooks temper the optimism. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism but highlights challenges in deposit costs and credit issues. Given the small-cap nature of the bank, these mixed signals suggest a neutral stock price reaction, with potential for volatility depending on economic developments and management's strategic decisions.
Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-25
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong net income, EPS, and shareholder returns are offset by declining net interest income, competitive pressures, and cautious credit monitoring. The Q&A reveals positive trends in customer acquisition but also highlights management's unclear responses on credit concerns. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, with no strong catalysts to drive significant stock movement. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with potential for slight fluctuations based on external economic factors.
Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-01
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased net income and earnings per share, improved net interest margin, and strong capital ratios. Despite concerns over professional fees and competitive pressures, the management's optimistic guidance on loan and deposit growth, along with potential for increased dividends, suggests a positive outlook. The market cap indicates moderate stock price sensitivity, supporting a 'Positive' prediction (2% to 8%).
Stellar Bancorp, Inc. (STEL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-25
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with increased net income, EPS, and ROAA. The company's strategic initiatives, such as share repurchases and debt redemption, enhance shareholder value. Despite some unclear guidance on margins, the reduction in non-performing loans and strong capital growth are positive indicators. The Q&A section reveals a cautious but optimistic outlook on loan growth and deposit costs, supporting a positive sentiment. Given the market cap of approximately $1.19 billion, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Stellar Bancorp, Inc. (STEL) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-26
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows some improvement in net income and returns, but net interest income and margin have slightly decreased. The Q&A reveals concerns about loan growth and interest rate impacts, though management is optimistic about new accounts and potential margin expansion. The lack of a share repurchase program and uncertainty in interest rate guidance temper positive aspects. Considering the company's small market cap, the stock is likely to remain stable, with potential minor fluctuations due to mixed signals.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of STEL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

STEL reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-24, showcasing a revenue of 105.73M against an estimate of 106.13M, resulting in a -0.38% surprise. The EPS was 0.5, surpassing the expected 0.5 by 0% . The stock experienced a 1.19% price change on the earnings day and a -0.44% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did STEL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following STEL’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-24, the stock price moved by 1.19% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -0.44% change. Historically, STEL’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -3.00% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.44% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for STEL for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate STEL’s annual revenue to reach 107.89M, while the EPS is projected at 0.51. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.18% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.65% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does STEL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between STEL’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.18%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.65% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from STEL’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, STEL’s stock price typically moves by -3.00% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.44% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.51 and revenue of 107.89M.
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What is the sentiment in Stellar Bancorp Inc (STEL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call presents a mixed picture: improved net interest margin and tangible book value, but declining noninterest income and rising expenses. The Q&A section reveals optimism about growth and credit management but lacks clarity on M&A and payoff timelines. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, and while there are positive elements, uncertainties and cost pressures balance the sentiment, leading to a neutral prediction.
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