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01/10 17:15
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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with improved gross margins and reduced net loss. The company is expanding its market presence with product launches in Europe and increased DTC marketing spend. Despite some uncertainties in timelines and payer transitions, the guidance is optimistic with expected patient growth and revenue. Positive trends in patient acquisition and competitive dynamics further support a positive outlook. The Q&A section indicates management's confidence in growth opportunities, although some details were vague. Overall, the sentiment is positive, likely leading to a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Revenue Third quarter revenue grew by 90% year-over-year to $8.1 million compared to $4.3 million in the prior-year period. This growth was driven by the launch of Eversense 365 in the U.S. and increased patient adoption.
New Patient Shipments New patient shipments increased by 160% year-over-year in the third quarter. This growth was attributed to effective direct-to-consumer marketing and increased demand for Eversense 365.
Digital Campaign Leads Patient leads through digital campaigns increased by 300% year-over-year and 85% sequentially in the third quarter. This was due to meaningful investments in direct-to-consumer advertising.
New Insertions New insertions increased nearly 150% year-over-year and more than 50% sequentially in the third quarter. This reflects accelerating adoption of Eversense 365 among patients and providers.
Installed Base The installed base grew over 150% year-over-year and nearly 40% sequentially in the third quarter. This was driven by new patient starts and the adoption of Eversense 365.
Gross Profit Gross profit for the third quarter was $3.5 million, an increase of $7.5 million from the prior-year period. This improvement was due to favorable margins on the 365-day product sales and the absence of one-time charges from the prior year.
Gross Profit Margins Gross profit margins improved to over 40% in the third quarter compared to 25% at the end of 2024. This improvement was driven by the performance of Eversense 365 and operational efficiencies.
Research and Development Expenses R&D expenses decreased by $2.7 million year-over-year to $7.8 million in the third quarter. This was due to the completion of Eversense 365 system clinical trials and a reduction in headcount.
Selling, General, and Administrative Expenses SG&A expenses increased by $7 million year-over-year to $15.3 million in the third quarter. This was primarily due to higher personnel costs, promotional expenses, and sales commission expenses.
Net Loss Net loss decreased by $4.5 million year-over-year to $19.5 million in the third quarter. This improvement was driven by better gross margins and reduced R&D costs.
Eversense 365: Achieved 90% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, driven by 160% increase in new patient shipments. Record-breaking quarter with highest new patient starts and insertions. CE mark application in Europe submitted, with approval expected by end of 2025. Planned European launch in H1 2026.
Gemini and Freedom pipeline products: IDE for Gemini on track for submission in Q4 2025, with U.S. approval expected in late 2026. IDE for Freedom to be filed in H2 2026, targeting commercial launch by early 2028.
Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Marketing: Investments led to a 300% year-over-year and 85% sequential increase in patient leads. 60% of new patients in Q3 originated from DTC advertising. Social media campaigns are a key focus.
European Market Expansion: Transitioning commercialization from Ascensia to Senseonics' own sales force. European CGM employees to transition in Q1 2026. Distribution agreements being finalized.
Operational Integration: Reassumed control of Eversense commercialization from Ascensia. Transition to be completed by January 1, 2026, in the U.S. and H1 2026 in Europe. CRM and ERP systems expanded to support this.
Eon Care Network: Expanded insertion capacity, now representing 25% of all insertions nationwide. Added 75 new trained inserters in Q3 2025, a 140% year-over-year increase.
Insulin Pump Integration: Sequel's twiist insulin delivery system to integrate with Eversense 365, enabling closed-loop system. Expected to drive growth in 2026.
Margin Expansion: Gross profit margins improved to over 40% in Q3 2025, projected to reach 50% in 2026 and 70% at scale.
Regulatory Approval Delays: The CE mark application for Eversense 365 in Europe is still under review, with approval expected by the end of 2025. Any delays in this process could impact the planned launch in the first half of 2026 and subsequent revenue growth.
Transition Risks with Ascensia: The transition of commercialization efforts from Ascensia Diabetes Care to Senseonics involves setting up new infrastructure, transferring employees, and finalizing agreements. Any missteps in this process could disrupt operations and impact sales.
Supply Chain and Tariff Challenges: The company is monitoring the impact of tariffs and supply chain issues, which could negatively affect margins if not mitigated effectively.
High Cash Utilization: The company expects cash utilization of approximately $60 million in 2025, which could strain financial resources if revenue growth or cost management does not meet expectations.
Dependence on DTC Marketing: The company’s growth heavily relies on direct-to-consumer (DTC) marketing investments. Any reduction in the effectiveness of these campaigns could slow patient acquisition and revenue growth.
Integration with Sequel's Twiist Pump: The integration of Eversense 365 with Sequel's Twiist insulin pump is a key growth driver for 2026. Delays or technical challenges in this integration could impact future revenue.
Revenue Recognition Changes: The transition from Ascensia's distribution model to Senseonics' direct model will eliminate revenue sharing but could introduce complexities in revenue recognition and financial reporting.
Economic and Market Conditions: Economic uncertainties and market conditions could impact patient adoption rates, especially given the high reliance on DTC marketing and out-of-pocket costs for patients.
Revenue Expectations: The company expects full year 2025 global net revenue to be approximately $35 million, with the majority of revenue in the fourth quarter due to continued momentum in new patient starts and reorders from the first U.S. 365 patients.
Margin Projections: Gross profit margins are expected to be between 35% and 40% for 2025, with projections to exceed 50% in 2026 and reach approximately 70% at scale for the unified business.
Market Trends and Growth Expectations: The company anticipates doubling the global patient base in 2025 compared to 2024. Significant new patient additions and top-line growth are expected due to expanding awareness and adoption of Eversense 365 in the U.S.
Product Launches and Approvals: The CE mark approval for Eversense 365 in Europe is expected by the end of 2025, with a planned launch in the first half of 2026. The IDE for Gemini is on track to be submitted in Q4 2025, with U.S. approval planned for late 2026. The IDE for Freedom is expected to be filed in the second half of 2026, targeting a commercial launch by early 2028.
Strategic Partnerships: The company is working with Sequel to integrate Eversense 365 with the twiist insulin delivery system, targeting a launch in 2026. Additional announcements on insulin pump integrations are expected in the coming quarters.
Operational Changes: The transition of Eversense commercialization from Ascensia Diabetes Care to Senseonics is expected to be completed by January 1, 2026, in the U.S., and during the first half of 2026 in Europe. This transition is anticipated to positively impact margins and operational efficiency.
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The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with improved gross margins and reduced net loss. The company is expanding its market presence with product launches in Europe and increased DTC marketing spend. Despite some uncertainties in timelines and payer transitions, the guidance is optimistic with expected patient growth and revenue. Positive trends in patient acquisition and competitive dynamics further support a positive outlook. The Q&A section indicates management's confidence in growth opportunities, although some details were vague. Overall, the sentiment is positive, likely leading to a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
The earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 37% increase in net revenue and improved gross profit margins. Despite a net loss, the company reduced R&D expenses and increased cash position through public offerings. The Q&A section highlights positive retention rates and potential growth from the consignment program and Eon Care. However, there are uncertainties in retention data for the 365 version and revenue impact from Eon Care. Overall, the financial results and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong points include the launch of Eversense 365, increased net revenue, and improved gross profit. However, concerns about regulatory issues, supply chain challenges, and competitive pressures balance these positives. The Q&A section reveals uncertainties about partnerships and integration timelines, further tempering optimism. Financial health is stable, but the lack of clear guidance and ongoing risks suggest a neutral outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Positive aspects include a 24% increase in net revenue and improved gross profit margins, alongside optimistic guidance for 2025. However, risks such as potential delays in CE Mark approval, competitive pressures, and partnership uncertainties with Mercy Health temper the overall sentiment. The Q&A reveals a lack of clarity on certain strategic integrations and commercial plans, adding to uncertainty. Given these factors, the stock is likely to experience a neutral movement in the next two weeks.
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