SDHC

Smith Douglas Homes Corp

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Advanced Chart

21.660

+1.9(9.615%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

21.755

Open

20.080

VWAP

21.37

Vol

58.30K

Mkt Cap

1.11B

Low

19.530

Amount

1.25M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

11.19

Total Shares

51.43M

1.36B

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

0.37

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is a holding company. The Company is a private home builder engaged in the design, construction, and sale of single-family homes in communities in certain markets in the southeastern United States. Its segments are Southeast segment consists of Atlanta, Central Georgia, Charlotte, Greenville, and Raleigh divisions and Central segment consists of Alabama, Houston, and Nashville divisions. It operates a land-light business model whereby the Company purchases finished lots via lot-option contracts from various third-party land developers or land bankers. It designs, sells, and builds a range of single-family homes in each of its markets, with a core focus on the entry-level and empty-nest homebuyer segments. It also offers a variety of floor plans ranging from 1,100 square feet to over 3,000 square feet. Its plan library includes open-concept homes with single-level living, modern villas, and townhomes, and functional two and three-story homes.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

273.86M

-4.74%

0.332

-86.63%

274.01M

-1.38%

0.408

-29.62%

216.01M

-2.23%

0.254

-32.66%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -7.79% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 7.71%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-7.79%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-18.73%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+7.71%

In Past 3 Month

4 Analyst Rating

-16.30% Downside

Wall Street analysts forecast SDHC stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SDHC is 18.13 USD with a low forecast of 16.00 USD and a high forecast of 20.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

3 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

-16.30% Downside

Current: 21.660

Low

16.00

Averages

18.13

High

20.00

-16.30% Downside

Current: 21.660

Low

16.00

Averages

18.13

High

20.00

RBC Capital

Mike Dahl

Sector Perform

downgrade

$21 -> $16

2025-05-20

Reason

RBC Capital

Mike Dahl

Price Target

$21 -> $16

2025-05-20

downgrade

Sector Perform

Reason

RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl lowered the firm's price target on Smith Douglas Homes to $16 from $21 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is modeling a weaker macro backdrop while citing the management's continued focus on maintaining pace over price by using incentives to drive volumes, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Smith Douglas's asset light model remains attractive in the long-term, but the firm expects continued volatility in the stock given near-term macro and earnings headwinds with limited near-term catalysts ahead, RBC added.

Wells Fargo

Sam Reid

Hold

Maintains

$21 → $20

2025-04-14

Reason

Wells Fargo

Sam Reid

Price Target

$21 → $20

2025-04-14

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Wells Fargo

Sam Reid

Hold

Maintains

$24 → $21

2025-03-13

Reason

Wells Fargo

Sam Reid

Price Target

$24 → $21

2025-03-13

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Wells Fargo

Sam Reid

Hold

Maintains

$33 → $24

2025-01-13

Reason

Wells Fargo

Sam Reid

Price Target

$33 → $24

2025-01-13

Maintains

Hold

Reason

JP Morgan

Michael Rehaut

Hold

Maintains

$36 → $35

2024-12-13

Reason

JP Morgan

Michael Rehaut

Price Target

$36 → $35

2024-12-13

Maintains

Hold

Reason

JP Morgan

Michael Rehaut

Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$41 → $36

2024-11-25

Reason

JP Morgan

Michael Rehaut

Price Target

$41 → $36

2024-11-25

Downgrades

Buy

Hold

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Smith Douglas Homes Corp (SDHC.N) is 15.97, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 16.05. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Smith Douglas Homes Corp 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

16.05

Current PE

15.97

Overvalued PE

18.32

Undervalued PE

13.78

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

4.16

Current EV/EBITDA

6.51

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

5.28

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

3.04

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PS

0.24

Current PS

0.18

Overvalued PS

0.29

Undervalued PS

0.19