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SCVL Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Shoe Carnival Inc(SCVL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Shoe Carnival Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2026Q32025-11-20Pre-Market0.530.53-297.20M297.16M-0.01-5.99-1.50
FY2026Q22025-09-04Pre-Market0.550.70+27.27314.48M306.39M-2.57+20.25+9.71
FY2026Q12025-05-30Pre-Market0.270.34+25.93280.70M277.72M-1.06+4.23+5.59
FY2025Q42025-03-20Pre-Market0.420.54+28.57275.92M262.94M-4.70-0.93-2.96
FY2025Q32024-11-21Pre-Market0.610.71+16.39316.23M306.89M-2.95+1.11+0.39
FY2025Q22024-09-05Pre-Market0.800.83+3.75336.33M332.70M-1.08+8.20+5.89
FY2025Q12024-05-23-0.600.64+6.67294.54M300.37M+1.98+5.49+10.76
FY2024Q42024-03-21-0.590.59-280.27M280.17M-0.04+8.16+8.44
FY2024Q32023-11-16-0.970.80-17.53321.34M319.91M-0.45-8.61-2.23
FY2024Q22023-08-29-0.810.71-12.35286.35M294.17M+2.73+0.50+1.19
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SCVL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Shoe Carnival Inc reported performance for FY2026Q3, announced on 2025-11-20. The company achieved an EPS of 0.53, compared to analyst estimates of 0.53 by 0.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 297.16M compared to expectations of 297.20M by -0.01% .
The stock price reacted with a -5.99% one-day change and a -1.50% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Shoe Carnival Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

SCVL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Shoe Carnival Inc(SCVL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q4 project quarter revenue of 256.74M and an EPS of 0.32.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.18%. For the upcoming Q4 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.21% . These revisions correlate with a -25.97% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Shoe Carnival Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between SCVL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
No Change
down Image
0.00%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.18%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2026
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.21%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-25.97%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:1.14B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:1.84
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Stock Price18.22
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SCVL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Shoe Carnival Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2026Q3 (2025-11-20,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.53 (Actual) vs.0.53 (Estimate) (0.00%)
Revenue: 297.16M (Actual) vs. 297.20M (Estimate) (-0.01%)
Price Reaction: -5.99%(1-Day), -1.50%(5-Day)
FY2026Q2 (2025-09-04,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.70 (Actual) vs.0.55 (Estimate) (27.27%)
Revenue: 306.39M (Actual) vs. 314.48M (Estimate) (-2.57%)
Price Reaction: 20.25%(1-Day), 9.71%(5-Day)
FY2026Q1 (2025-05-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.34 (Actual) vs.0.27 (Estimate) (25.93%)
Revenue: 277.72M (Actual) vs. 280.70M (Estimate) (-1.06%)
Price Reaction: 4.23%(1-Day), 5.59%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how SCVL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SCVL sees a +1.43% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.10% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.24%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in OCT/2025, the stock changed 5.99% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 16.05% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-20
Despite a decline in net sales and earnings, the company has raised its EPS guidance, indicating optimism. The rebannering strategy and Shoe Station's growth are positive, but the heavy reliance on Shoe Station's success and increased SG&A expenses are concerns. The Q&A revealed uncertainties about earnings drag and profitability recovery, but also highlighted inventory reduction plans and potential growth in premium brands. Considering the small-cap nature of the company, the mixed signals from strong guidance and current financial challenges suggest a neutral stock price movement.
Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-09-04
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While Shoe Station sales and margins improved, Shoe Carnival sales declined, and inventory levels rose. Management's focus on margin integrity and cash generation is positive, but lack of specific guidance on product launches and inventory details raises concerns. The reaffirmed guidance and strategic expansion plans provide stability, yet the overall sentiment remains neutral due to uncertainties and management's evasive responses in the Q&A session. Given the small-cap nature of the company, this neutral sentiment suggests limited stock price movement in the short term.
Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-30
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: a decrease in net income and EPS, yet strong cash position and no debt. The rebanner strategy shows potential with promising initial results, but competitive pressures and unclear future costs create uncertainty. The Q&A suggests optimism for Shoe Station's growth, but concerns about Shoe Carnival's performance persist. Overall, the strategic initiatives and strong cash position are positives, but the financial decline and competitive challenges balance the sentiment, resulting in a neutral stock price prediction.
Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-30
The earnings call shows a mixed picture with some positive elements, like Shoe Station's growth and strong cash position, but overall negative sentiment due to declining net income and EPS, weak guidance, and management's unclear responses on future impacts. The rebanner initiative's cost and unclear EPS impact further add uncertainty. Given the small-cap nature of the company, the negative aspects are likely to have a stronger impact, leading to a predicted stock price movement in the negative range of -2% to -8%.
Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-20
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows a slight decline in Q4 sales and margins, but annual growth is driven by acquisitions. The dividend increase is positive for shareholders, but competitive pressures and economic uncertainties pose risks. The rebanner strategy involves upfront costs but promises long-term gains. Q&A revealed some uncertainties about tariffs and market conditions. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, with positive shareholder returns and cautious guidance, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-11-22
The earnings call highlights several negative factors: hurricane disruptions, warm weather impacting sales, and a downward revision in sales guidance. Despite strong financial metrics like gross profit margin and adjusted EPS, the lack of share repurchases and retail calendar shift create headwinds. The Q&A section did not alleviate concerns, as management couldn't provide clarity on recovery or China exposure. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a 'Negative' prediction (-2% to -8%).
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-09-05
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with net sales and EPS growth, improved gross profit margin, and increased cash reserves. Despite challenges in supply chain management and customer purchasing uncertainty, the company's digital marketing and customer retention strategies are effective. The Q&A section suggests cautious optimism, with management raising guidance and expressing confidence in capturing new customers. The lack of share repurchases is neutral, while the positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance outweigh potential risks, leading to a positive stock price prediction.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of SCVL’s latest earnings report for FY2026Q3?

SCVL reported its FY2026Q3 earnings on 2025-11-20, showcasing a revenue of 297.16M against an estimate of 297.20M, resulting in a -0.01% surprise. The EPS was 0.53, surpassing the expected 0.53 by 0% . The stock experienced a -5.99% price change on the earnings day and a -1.5% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did SCVL’s stock price react after the FY2026Q3 earnings release?

Following SCVL’s FY2026Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-20, the stock price moved by -5.99% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.50% change. Historically, SCVL’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.43% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.10% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for SCVL for 2026/Q4?

For 2026/Q4, analysts estimate SCVL’s annual revenue to reach 256.74M, while the EPS is projected at 0.32. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue No Change by 0% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.21% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does SCVL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between SCVL’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.21% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from SCVL’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, SCVL’s stock price typically moves by +1.43% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.10% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.32 and revenue of 256.74M.
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What is the sentiment in Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

Despite a decline in net sales and earnings, the company has raised its EPS guidance, indicating optimism. The rebannering strategy and Shoe Station's growth are positive, but the heavy reliance on Shoe Station's success and increased SG&A expenses are concerns. The Q&A revealed uncertainties about earnings drag and profitability recovery, but also highlighted inventory reduction plans and potential growth in premium brands. Considering the small-cap nature of the company, the mixed signals from strong guidance and current financial challenges suggest a neutral stock price movement.
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