SCVL Valuation

Shoe Carnival Inc

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21.200

+0.48(2.317%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

SCVL Relative Valuation

SCVL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SCVL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 11.29 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 9.34. The fair price of Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) is between 18.98 to 26.69 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

18.98-26.69

Current Price：20.72

Fair

11.29

Trailing

Forward

8.66

EV/EBITDA

Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.66. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.08, Undervalued between 3.08 and 5.11, Fairly Valued between 9.16 and 5.11, Overvalued between 9.16 and 11.19, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.19. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.66 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.07

EV/EBIT

Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL) has a current EV/EBIT of 13.07. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 8.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.29, Undervalued between 3.29 and 6.13, Fairly Valued between 11.80 and 6.13, Overvalued between 11.80 and 14.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.64. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 13.07 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.48

Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL) has a current PS of 0.48. The 5-year average PS is 0.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.32, Undervalued between 0.32 and 0.47, Fairly Valued between 0.77 and 0.47, Overvalued between 0.77 and 0.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.92. The current Forward PS of 0.48 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.80

P/OCF

Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL) has a current P/OCF of 7.80. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.61, Undervalued between 3.61 and 5.38, Fairly Valued between 8.92 and 5.38, Overvalued between 8.92 and 10.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.69. The current Forward P/OCF of 7.80 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.32

P/FCF

Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL) has a current P/FCF of 16.32. The 5-year average P/FCF is 13.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.71, Undervalued between -1.71 and 5.85, Fairly Valued between 20.98 and 5.85, Overvalued between 20.98 and 28.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 28.54. The current Forward P/FCF of 16.32 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.29 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -33.02% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.63, the current P/B ratio is about -46.98% higher. Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 6.98%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.09%, the current FCF yield is approximately 70.82% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.73% , the current FCF yield is about 3.77% lower.

0.87

P/B

Median3y

1.29

Median5y

1.63

6.98

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.09

Median5y

6.73

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SCVL's competitors is 0.32, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Shoe Carnival Inc Corp (SCVL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.48, which is 51.44% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -7.54%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SCVL decreased by 48.60% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 8.61 to 8.67.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -7.54%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SCVL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-7.54%

300.37M → 277.72M

Revenue Growth

-41.67%

5.76 → 3.36

Margin Expansion

0.61%

8.61 → 8.67

P/E Change

-48.60%