Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Red Cat Holdings Inc(RCAT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Red Cat Holdings Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q4 | 2025-11-13 | After Hours | -0.07 | -0.16 | -128.57 | 8.18M | 9.65M | +18.00 | -7.49 | -14.60 |
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-08-14 | After Hours | -0.12 | -0.14 | -16.67 | 7.73M | 3.22M | -58.34 | -10.25 | -4.06 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-05-14 | After Hours | -0.10 | -0.27 | -170.00 | 2.40M | 1.63M | -32.10 | -2.41 | +1.95 |
| - | 2025-03-31 | After Hours | - | - | - | - | - | - | +8.67 | +4.93 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2024-09-23 | After Hours | -0.08 | -0.17 | -112.50 | 3.85M | 2.78M | -27.81 | -18.04 | -19.62 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2024-08-08 | After Hours | - | -0.05 | - | 6.64M | 6.31M | -5.01 | +22.77 | +39.11 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-03-18 | - | - | -0.08 | - | 5.80M | 5.85M | +0.83 | +4.00 | +2.67 |
RCAT Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Red Cat Holdings Inc reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-11-13. The company achieved an EPS of -0.16, compared to analyst estimates of -0.07 by -128.57% . Revenue for the quarter reached 9.65M compared to expectations of 8.18M by 18.00% .
The stock price reacted with a -7.49% one-day change and a -14.60% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Red Cat Holdings Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
RCAT Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Red Cat Holdings Inc(RCAT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 20.92M and an EPS of -0.14.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -49.23%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 3.82%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -54% . These revisions correlate with a -2.35% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Red Cat Holdings Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between RCAT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-49.23%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+3.82%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-54%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-2.35%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:35.41M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.54
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Stock Price8.32
RCAT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Red Cat Holdings Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-11-13,After Hours):
EPS: -0.16 (Actual) vs.-0.07 (Estimate) (-128.57%)
Revenue: 9.65M (Actual) vs. 8.18M (Estimate) (18.00%)
Price Reaction: -7.49%(1-Day), -14.60%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-08-14,After Hours):
EPS: -0.14 (Actual) vs.-0.12 (Estimate) (-16.67%)
Revenue: 3.22M (Actual) vs. 7.73M (Estimate) (-58.34%)
Price Reaction: -10.25%(1-Day), -4.06%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-05-14,After Hours):
EPS: -0.27 (Actual) vs.-0.10 (Estimate) (-170.00%)
Revenue: 1.63M (Actual) vs. 2.40M (Estimate) (-32.10%)
Price Reaction: -2.41%(1-Day), 1.95%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how RCAT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, RCAT sees a -0.87% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +6.05% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.48%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -7.49% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -4.13% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Red Cat Holdings Inc (RCAT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-14
The earnings call reveals several concerns: regulatory delays affecting production, supply chain challenges, competitive pressures, and significant cash burn despite a recent capital raise. The reiterated guidance lacks year-over-year growth, and backlog reduction further exacerbates the situation. Unclear responses in the Q&A about CapEx and revenue contributions add uncertainty. These factors, combined with reliance on government contracts, suggest a negative sentiment.
Red Cat Holdings Inc (RCAT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-06
The earnings call highlights operational progress, including the Long Beach factory's successful launch and anticipated margin expansion from the Black Widow's navigation software. The strategic partnership with Palantir and increased revenue guidance further support a positive outlook. Despite some risks, such as the CFO transition and operational scaling, the overall sentiment is bolstered by the optimistic guidance, potential new contracts, and funding opportunities, indicating a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-12-16
The earnings call reveals several concerns: a 24% revenue decline, negative gross margins, and increased cash usage. Despite potential cash inflows, reliance on external financing and competitive pressures add uncertainty. The Q&A highlights unclear responses on revenue per drone and NATO contracts, indicating potential risks. While partnerships and strategic initiatives show promise, the financial health and market competition issues overshadow them, suggesting a negative stock reaction.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-09-23
The earnings call presents a mix of positive and cautious elements. Financial performance shows strong revenue growth and decreased cash usage, but negative margins are a concern. Product development is promising with new launches and a strong backlog. Market strategy is ambitious with partnerships and diversification. Financial health is stable with secured financing, but cash flow management is critical. Shareholder returns lack specific plans, slightly dampening sentiment. Q&A insights reveal cautious optimism with potential risks. Overall, the positive elements outweigh the negatives, likely leading to a positive stock price movement.
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-10
The earnings call highlights record revenue growth and improved financial metrics, with a strong liquidity position. Despite competitive pressures and regulatory challenges, the company is expanding production and has optimistic guidance for 2025. The Q&A section reveals strong demand signals and strategic production scaling, further supporting positive sentiment. However, the lack of a share buyback program and some uncertainties in production capacity slightly temper the outlook. Overall, the positive financial performance and growth prospects suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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FAQ
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