Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call highlights strong revenue growth, robust bookings, and strategic partnerships with companies like Intel, reflecting positive business momentum. Despite a slight decrease in cash equivalents due to CapEx, the company's focus on expanding its product lineup and customer base, along with optimistic future guidance, suggests a positive outlook. The Q&A section reveals strong analyst sentiment and confidence in growth prospects, although some details were vague. Considering the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to move positively by 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Bookings Bookings for the third quarter totaled over $100 million, which is greater than the prior 2 quarters combined. On a year-to-date basis, bookings for the 3-quarter period were 49% higher than the comparable period of last year. The increase was driven by multiple large deals signed across the product portfolio of Exensio and secureWISE.
Backlog The backlog at the end of Q3 was $292 million, which is 25% higher than last quarter and 22% higher than the same period a year ago. The growth in backlog reflects the strong business activity and contracts closed during the quarter.
Total Revenue Total revenue for Q3 was $57.1 million, which is 10% higher than last quarter and 23% higher on a year-over-year basis. The growth was driven by business from leading-edge customers and equipment software.
Analytics Revenue Analytics revenue for Q3 was $54.7 million, which is 12% higher than the prior quarter and 22% higher on a year-over-year basis. The growth was attributed to business from leading-edge customers and equipment software.
Integrated Yield Ramp Revenue Integrated Yield Ramp revenue was 4% of total revenue in Q3, lower by $0.5 million compared to the prior quarter but up by $0.8 million on a year-over-year basis.
Gross Margins Gross margins for Q3 were 76%, slightly ahead of last quarter but down 1% compared to the same quarter last year. The decline year-over-year was due to meaningful perpetual software revenue in the prior year's quarter.
Operating Expenses Operating expenses in Q3 grew 3% compared to the prior quarter, primarily due to spending on development improvements for the platform and increased variable compensation accruals due to strong results.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) EPS for Q3 was $0.25, the strongest quarter for the year. For the first 3 quarters of 2025, EPS was $0.64, which is $0.06 ahead of the comparable period of last year.
Operating Cash Flow Operating cash flow for Q3 was $3.3 million, and for the first 9 months of the year, it was $6.7 million. The cash flow reflects investments in acquisitions and building eProbe machines.
Cash Balance The cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments at the end of Q3 were approximately $35.9 million, compared to $40.4 million at the end of the prior quarter. The decrease was due to investments in CapEx and acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures (CapEx) CapEx for Q3 was $6.3 million, which is lower than $8.5 million in Q2 and $8.2 million in Q1. The investments were focused on building eProbe machines and integration costs for the secureWISE acquisition.
Exensio Studio AI: Integration of Tiber AI Studio into Exensio to enable engineers to train and deploy AI models effectively. This integration addresses challenges in scaling and maintaining large AI deployments.
eProbe Machines: Two additional machines shipped and being installed at a production site under a subscription model, expanding beyond R&D facilities.
Geographic Diversification: Increased investments in 3D manufacturing and geographic diversification of manufacturing locations to mitigate risks and enhance production efficiency.
Customer Base Expansion: Customer base grew from 150 in 2020 to over 370, including fabs, fabless, equipment companies, and cloud providers.
Revenue Growth: Achieved record quarterly revenue of $57.1 million, a 10% increase from the previous quarter and 23% year-over-year growth.
Backlog Growth: Backlog increased to $292 million, 25% higher than the previous quarter and 22% higher year-over-year.
Gross Margins: Reported gross margins of 76%, slightly ahead of the long-term target of 75%.
AI-Driven Collaboration: Promoting AI-driven collaboration to enhance cost-effective and efficient manufacturing, especially in geographically diversified locations.
Integration of Acquisitions: Integration of secureWISE and Cimetrix to provide comprehensive analytics and smart tools for the semiconductor supply chain.
Geographic Diversification of Manufacturing: Diversifying manufacturing locations comes with the risk of driving up production costs and slowing innovation. This could impact the economic viability of new processes, products, and facilities.
Scaling and Maintaining AI Deployments: Customers face challenges in scaling and maintaining large AI deployments, which could hinder the adoption and efficiency of AI-driven solutions.
Investment in SecureWISE and eProbe Machines: Significant cash investments in secureWISE acquisition and eProbe machines have been made, but the full subscription run rate return on these investments has not yet been realized, creating short-term financial strain.
Increased Operating Expenses: Operating expenses grew by 3% in Q3 due to development improvements and increased variable compensation, which could pressure margins if not offset by revenue growth.
Supply Chain and Production Risks: The integration of Cimetrix, secureWISE, and AI-enabled monitoring aims to improve production efficiency, but any delays or issues in this integration could disrupt operations.
Revenue Growth: The company reaffirms its prior guidance of 21% to 23% annual revenue growth for 2025.
Profitability and Cash Flow: The company anticipates cash to grow over the next year as integration costs of the secureWISE acquisition are largely behind and additional eProbe machines are shipped and qualified on a subscription model.
Long-term Financial Targets: The company plans to share more details about its long-term targets for the next phase of growth during the Analyst Day and user conference on December 3.
AI and Analytics Integration: The company is integrating Tiber AI Studio into Exensio to enable engineers to train and deploy AI models more effectively, addressing challenges in scaling and maintaining large AI deployments.
Market Trends and Investments: The industry is making significant investments in 3D manufacturing, geographic diversification of manufacturing locations, and AI-driven collaboration to enable cost-effective and efficient manufacturing.
Capital Expenditures: The company invested $6.3 million in CapEx during the quarter, primarily for building eProbe machines to meet customer demand in 2025 and 2026.
Stock Repurchase: We repurchased $0.2 million of our stock this quarter at a per share price of $19.55 per share.
The earnings call highlights strong revenue growth, robust bookings, and strategic partnerships with companies like Intel, reflecting positive business momentum. Despite a slight decrease in cash equivalents due to CapEx, the company's focus on expanding its product lineup and customer base, along with optimistic future guidance, suggests a positive outlook. The Q&A section reveals strong analyst sentiment and confidence in growth prospects, although some details were vague. Considering the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to move positively by 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, including 24% YoY revenue growth and improved margins. The integration of SecureWise and partnerships, especially with SAP, are progressing well, enhancing product offerings. Despite some concerns about CapEx and China market disruptions, the company's strategic positioning and optimistic guidance, particularly with Intel, suggest positive sentiment. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity to these factors, leading to a predicted positive stock price movement in the near term.
While PDF Solutions reported strong financial performance with a 16% revenue increase and improved margins, the Q&A section revealed concerns about the integration of SecureWise, potential revenue variability from eProbe sales, and economic uncertainties. The lack of a share repurchase program and increased debt are also concerns. However, positive aspects include strong bookings, growth in IYR revenue, and promising AI integration efforts. Given the mixed signals, the overall sentiment is neutral, with the stock likely to remain stable over the next two weeks.
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance, with a 22% YoY revenue increase in Q4 and improved gross margins. The ongoing AI integration and successful product development, including eProbe and ModelOps, indicate future growth potential. Despite some risks like customer caution and supply chain challenges, the company's positive cash flow and share buybacks enhance shareholder value. The Q&A session highlighted management's confidence in the eProbe pipeline and ModelOps receptivity, balancing concerns about backlog changes. Given the company's small-cap status, the stock is likely to react positively, with a 2% to 8% increase expected.
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