The chart below shows how OPFI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, OPFI sees a -1.91% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.85% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +4.04%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Per Share Beat: OppFi Inc. reported an EPS of $0.23, exceeding expectations of $0.14.
Record Revenue Achievement: The company achieved record total revenue for Q4 and the full year of 2024, indicating strong financial performance.
Q1 2025 Income Expectations: Expectations for Q1 2025 adjusted net income have been increased by more than 2 times due to solid performance.
Auto Approval Improvement: The auto approval percentage improved to almost 80% in Q4 2024 from 73% in Q4 2023, enhancing funnel metrics and contributing to a 23% year-over-year increase in net revenue.
Enhanced Credit Evaluation Process: The continuous refinement of the machine learning model has improved the credit evaluation process, allowing for better identification and approval of higher quality applicants.
Enhanced Risk Evaluation: OppFi launched Model 6 in 2024, which enhances risk evaluation and targets better quality borrowers, contributing to improved operational efficiency.
Improved Charge-Off Rates: Net charge-off rates improved by 10% as a percentage of revenue compared to the prior year, indicating better risk management.
Negative
Revenue Growth Fluctuations: Despite beating earnings expectations, the company faced challenges in maintaining consistent growth, as indicated by fluctuations in revenue growth rates throughout the year.
Auto Approval Sustainability Concerns: The improvement in auto approval percentage to almost 80% may not be sustainable, raising concerns about the long-term viability of this growth strategy.
Charge-Off Rate Improvement Risks: While net charge-off rates improved by 10%, there is still a risk associated with long-term charge-offs that could impact future profitability.
AI Credit Evaluation Risks: The reliance on AI tools and machine learning models for credit evaluation may expose the company to technological risks and potential inaccuracies in borrower assessments.
Future Performance Risks: The company’s guidance for 2025, while optimistic, may not account for potential economic downturns or regulatory changes that could affect performance.
OppFi Inc. (NYSE:OPFI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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