NCDL Forecast — Price Prediction for 2025. Should I Buy NCDL?
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-0.5%
1-Week Prediction
-4.68%
1-Month Prediction
-16.61%
2026 Prediction
+33.35%
2030 Prediction
+62.93%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that NCDL stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $14.5, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $13.89. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $12.15. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $19.43, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $23.74. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NCDL has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
NCDL stock price ended at $14.57 on Monday, after rising1.18%
The Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp stock price increased by 1.18% on the last trading day (15 Dec 2025), rising from 14.49 to 14.57. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.53% , ranging from a day low of $14.41 to a day high of 14.63. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.41% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 59.59K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 460.95K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.70M.
NCDL Technical Signals
NCDL(Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-12-04. The total price change during this trend is -1.69%. Recently, the price has increased while volume droped, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of NCDL over the last 5 trading days is 5.17M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
NCDL Moving Average Analysis
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, December 16, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $15.14, and $15.40. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.30, and $14.04. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
NCDL Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp(NCDL) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 7.43%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 14.89 to 14.80. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.182
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.076
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
9.997
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.06
Bearish
NCDL Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Month
Min. Price
Avg. Price
Max. Price
Potential ROI
Jan 2026
$13.74
$15.19
$15.72
-10.75%
Feb 2026
$17.36
$18.12
$18.76
+6.45%
Mar 2026
$14.16
$15.19
$17.44
-10.75%
Apr 2026
$13.31
$16.32
$17.08
-4.10%
May 2026
$17.39
$17.84
$20.73
+4.83%
Jun 2026
$17.06
$19.97
$20.76
+17.30%
Jul 2026
$12.75
$15.23
$16.78
-10.51%
Aug 2026
$14.06
$17.37
$17.98
+2.07%
Sep 2026
$18.00
$18.58
$20.92
+9.17%
Oct 2026
$18.08
$19.25
$19.44
+13.12%
Nov 2026
$18.42
$18.73
$21.36
+10.04%
Dec 2026
$18.45
$19.43
$22.39
+14.16%
In 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $12.75 and $22.39.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Jan 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.19. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.74 and a high of $15.72.
Feb 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.45%
In Feb 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $17.36 and a high of $18.76.
Mar 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Mar 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.19. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $14.16 and a high of $17.44.
Apr 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.10%
In Apr 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.32. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.31 and a high of $17.08.
May 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 4.83%
In May 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $17.84. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $17.39 and a high of $20.73.
Jun 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 17.30%
In Jun 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $19.97. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $17.06 and a high of $20.76.
Jul 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.51%
In Jul 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.23. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.75 and a high of $16.78.
Aug 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.07%
In Aug 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $17.37. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $14.06 and a high of $17.98.
Sep 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.17%
In Sep 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.58. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.00 and a high of $20.92.
Oct 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 13.12%
In Oct 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $19.25. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.08 and a high of $19.44.
Nov 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.04%
In Nov 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.73. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.42 and a high of $21.36.
Dec 2026: NCDL Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.16%
In Dec 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $19.43. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.45 and a high of $22.39.
NCDL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp(NCDL), our algorithm predicts NCDL's 1-month price at $16.39, with an 13.84%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.89%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL.N) stock, as of Sunday, December 14, 2025 , forecasts a 13.84% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NOG.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.89%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
NCDL
No data
NOG
Up: 13.84%Similarity: 92.89%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
NOG.N
92.89%
+13.84%
TRMB.O
92.64%
-7.22%
COLB.O
92.45%
+3.59%
GBCI.N
92.15%
+5.48%
BSX.N
92.12%
+6.87%
WSM.N
91.93%
+6.29%
HOPE.O
91.93%
+4.10%
MCO.N
91.92%
+3.14%
FSM.N
91.76%
-8.73%
EPAC.N
91.74%
-12.67%
NCDL Seasonality Analysis
Based on NCDL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is33.33%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in NCDL. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NCDL has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
NCDL's stock price rose by 6.15% in 2024,decreased by -10.12% in 2025, and went by in
Bearish technical signals of NCDL include: MOM_10 < 0.
Is NCDL a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
NCDL has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for NCDL is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of NCDL.
What is the trend of Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL)'s moving average?
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of December 16 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for NCDL stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL.N) stock, as of December 14 2025, forecasts a 13.84% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NOG stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.89%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $19.43. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.45 and a high of $22.39.
What is price prediction 2030 for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp (NCDL) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $23.74. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.87 and a high of $24.39.
Negative
Positive
