MRK Stock Price Prediction

Merck & Co Inc

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75.970

-1.680(-2.160%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Merck & Co Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MRK has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

MRK stock price ended at $75.97 on Friday, after losing -2.16%

The Merck & Co Inc stock price decreased by -2.16% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), dropping from 77.96 to 75.97. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.47% , ranging from a day low of $75.82 to a day high of 78.45. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -8.18% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 555.49K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 15.61M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.20B.

MRK Technical Signals

MRK(Merck & Co Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-04-10. The total price change during this trend is -2.04%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MRK over the last 5 trading days is 1.08B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

MRK Moving Average Analysis

Merck & Co Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 10, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $87.20818, and $91.032. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $74.83581999999998, and $71.01199999999999. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MRK Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Merck & Co Inc(MRK) as of 09 May 2025 is 15.85%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 77.65 to 75.97. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20

16.52

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

13.301

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-98.501

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-2.96

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-6.77

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-1.665

Bearish

Closing price

close < fibonacci_S1

75.97

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

MRK Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Merck & Co Inc(MRK), our algorithm predicts MRK's 1-month price at $93.07, with an 11.89%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.48%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Merck & Co Inc (MRK.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a 11.89% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MNSO.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.48%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MRK

Future prediction

Up: 11.89%

MNSO

Up: 11.89%Similarity: 97.48%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

MNSO.N

97.48%

+11.89%

PFE.N

97.06%

-7.93%

NKTR.O

97.04%

-28.57%

AGNC.O

96.94%

0.00%

AX.N

96.89%

+20.18%

XERS.O

96.87%

-11.23%

ALTO.O

96.85%

+4.42%

SAP.N

96.80%

-2.59%

CNK.N

96.66%

+8.96%

FPI.N

96.61%

+5.92%

MRK Seasonality Analysis

Based on MRK's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MRK. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Merck & Co Inc (MRK.N) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while February has the lowest probability (27.27%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Merck & Co Inc. (MRK)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.