Quarterly Results
MPLX Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, MPLX remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 3.23B and an EPS of 1.05.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 3.09%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 5.28%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.78% . These revisions correlate with a 10.88% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in MPLX long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MPLX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MPLX sees a -1.42% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.24% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.26%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.74% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 3.26% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of MPLX's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
MPLX reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 3.62B against an estimate of 3.16B, resulting in a 14.57% surprise. The EPS was 1.52, surpassing the expected 1.07 by 42.06% . The stock experienced a 0.69% price change on the earnings day and a 0.83% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did MPLX's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following MPLX's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 0.69% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.83% change. Historically, MPLX's stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.42% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.24% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MPLX for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MPLX’s annual revenue to reach 3.23B, while the EPS is projected at 1.05. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 3.09% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.78% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does MPLX's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between MPLX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 3.09%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.78% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from MPLX's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, MPLX's stock price typically moves by -1.42% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.24% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.05 and revenue of 3.23B.
What is the sentiment in MPLX LP (MPLX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
MPLX demonstrates strong performance with a 7% increase in adjusted EBITDA and robust growth projections. The strategic expansions, such as the BANGL pipeline and sour gas treating capacity, along with a solid cash position, contribute to optimism. Despite flat pipeline volumes and a slight terminal volume decrease, the market strategy and shareholder return plan are favorable. The Q&A reveals confidence in filling pipeline capacity and achieving EBITDA growth, although some details remain unclear. Overall, the sentiment leans positive due to strategic growth plans and financial health.

