Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Methanex Corp(MEOH) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Methanex Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-10-29 | After Hours | 0.51 | 0.06 | -88.24 | 973.98M | 927.44M | -4.78 | -0.32 | +5.71 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-04-30 | After Hours | 1.25 | 1.30 | +4.00 | 1.02B | 896.47M | -12.12 | +3.45 | +3.36 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-01-29 | After Hours | 1.01 | 1.24 | +22.77 | 994.53M | 949.00M | -4.58 | +3.83 | +4.75 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-30 | - | 0.49 | 0.62 | +26.53 | 939.93M | 920.36M | -2.08 | -1.85 | -12.72 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-04-24 | - | 0.30 | 0.65 | +116.67 | 845.77M | 916.00M | +8.30 | -0.50 | -0.08 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-01-31 | - | 0.28 | 0.52 | +85.71 | 839.15M | 922.42M | +9.92 | -2.55 | -2.00 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-10-25 | - | -0.08 | 0.02 | +125.00 | 759.34M | 823.00M | +8.38 | -1.28 | +3.77 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-07-26 | - | 0.55 | 0.60 | +9.09 | 879.31M | 939.37M | +6.83 | -2.85 | -1.79 |
| - | 2023-04-26 | - | 0.92 | 1.11 | +20.65 | - | - | - | -0.95 | +2.79 |
| - | 2023-02-02 | - | 0.46 | 0.73 | +58.70 | - | - | - | -3.63 | +7.14 |
MEOH Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Methanex Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 0.06, compared to analyst estimates of 0.51 by -88.24% . Revenue for the quarter reached 927.44M compared to expectations of 973.98M by -4.78% .
The stock price reacted with a -0.32% one-day change and a 5.71% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Methanex Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
MEOH Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Methanex Corp(MEOH) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.04B and an EPS of 0.76.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.87%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -10.56%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.16% . These revisions correlate with a -3.19% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Methanex Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between MEOH's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-3.87%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-10.56%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-1.16%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-3.19%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.67B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.09
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Stock Price37.38
MEOH Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Methanex Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,After Hours):
EPS: 0.06 (Actual) vs.0.51 (Estimate) (-88.24%)
Revenue: 927.44M (Actual) vs. 973.98M (Estimate) (-4.78%)
Price Reaction: -0.32%(1-Day), 5.71%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: 1.30 (Actual) vs.1.25 (Estimate) (4.00%)
Revenue: 896.47M (Actual) vs. 1.02B (Estimate) (-12.12%)
Price Reaction: 3.45%(1-Day), 3.36%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-29,After Hours):
EPS: 1.24 (Actual) vs.1.01 (Estimate) (22.77%)
Revenue: 949.00M (Actual) vs. 994.53M (Estimate) (-4.58%)
Price Reaction: 3.83%(1-Day), 4.75%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MEOH performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MEOH sees a +1.85% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.97% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.50%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.32% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 13.59% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Methanex Corp (MEOH) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-07-31
The earnings call reveals several concerns: production curtailments, lower EBITDA expectations, and gas supply challenges. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties, such as unclear management responses on pro forma net income and trapped value, and potential risks like gas supply in New Zealand. Despite some positive aspects, like potential synergies and tight ammonia markets, the overall sentiment leans negative due to financial and operational uncertainties, impacting the stock price negatively.
Methanex Corp (MEOH) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings call reflects a mixed financial performance with higher average realized prices and sales but lower production due to supply chain challenges and gas curtailments. The Q&A reveals management's cautious stance on capital allocation and lack of clarity on key issues like pricing and tariffs. The anticipated lower adjusted EBITDA and production issues, along with uncertainties around the OCI acquisition, contribute to a negative sentiment. The company's strong liquidity is a positive, but the overall outlook is clouded by risks and uncertainties, leading to a likely negative stock price movement.
Methanex Corporation (MEOH) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-09
The earnings call reveals mixed sentiments: strong financial metrics with increased prices and a solid cash position, but concerns about gas supply constraints in New Zealand and competitive pressures. The Q&A session indicates uncertainty in gas supply and unclear management responses on critical issues. Positive factors include increased prices and ongoing debt management, but these are offset by operational challenges and market volatility. Considering the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to remain relatively stable, resulting in a neutral prediction.
Methanex Corporation (MEOH) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-31
The earnings call reflects mixed signals. Basic Financial Performance and Expenses show some strength with increased prices and EBITDA, but are offset by production issues and bond repayment focus. The Product Development update on G3 is positive, though limited in immediate impact. Market Strategy lacks clarity, especially regarding New Zealand operations. No share repurchase plan affects Shareholder Return sentiment. Q&A reveals cautious optimism but highlights uncertainties, particularly with Entropy dependence on government funding. Overall, the sentiment is neutral with moderate positive and negative factors balancing each other.
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FAQ
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