Should I Buy KRC? KRC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Kilroy Realty Corp (KRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

34.130

1 Day change

-1.02%

52 Week Range

45.030

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

KRC is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The stock is in a confirmed bearish trend (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5, MACD still negative) and is only showing “oversold” conditions that can produce short-lived bounces, not a trend reversal. With a key earnings catalyst on 2026-02-09 and analysts increasingly cautious about 2026 earnings/FFO pressure, the risk/reward favors staying out (or reducing) rather than buying immediately.

Technical Analysis

Trend/price action: Bearish primary trend with stacked bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Momentum: MACD histogram -0.308 (below zero) but negatively contracting—selling pressure may be easing, yet momentum remains bearish. RSI: RSI_6 at 14.0 signals deeply oversold, which often supports a tactical bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy signal in a downtrend. Key levels: Pivot 36.282 (overhead magnet/resistance). Immediate support is S1 34.577—price 34.48 is slightly below this, so the stock is sitting on/just under support (fragile). Next support S2 33.523. Resistance levels: 37.988 then 39.042. Pattern-based forward odds: Similar-pattern model suggests ~70% chance of -0.56% next day, but +4.8% next week and +4.88% next month—consistent with an oversold bounce potential, not a confirmed reversal. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open-interest put/call ratio of 0.56 indicates more calls than puts outstanding (more bullish longer-dated positioning). Flow/sentiment: Option volume put/call ratio of 29.69 is extremely put-skewed on the day—suggesting heavy short-term hedging/speculation to the downside (or panic protection) even while OI is call-leaning. Volatility: 30D IV 34.03 vs historical vol 22.13 implies options are pricing elevated near-term movement (event risk), consistent with the upcoming earnings (2026-02-09). Net read: sentiment is nervous in the near term; not a clean “bullish” options setup for buying stock immediately.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Deeply oversold RSI (
increases odds of a short-term technical bounce if support around 34.6 holds.
Some constructive longer-horizon analyst views remain (e.g., prior upgrades citing SF recovery/leasing momentum optionality).
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-
could act as a catalyst if guidance surprises positively.
Dividend/tax treatment updates are routine but reinforce REIT income focus.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Clear bearish trend structure (bearish MA stack) and MACD still below zero—trend is down until proven otherwise.
Price is slightly under S1 (34.577); a failure to reclaim quickly raises risk of a drift to S2 (~33.52).
Analyst caution on 2026: Deutsche Bank issued a short-term “Catalyst Call: Sell,” citing multiple expansion as overdone and expected earnings pressure in
Elevated put-heavy option volume implies heightened near-term downside concern/hedging.
Revenue is declining YoY, and the market narrative for West Coast office remains cautious into 2026.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: 279.744M, down -3.52% YoY (top-line pressure). - Net income: 155.669M, up +198.19% YoY. - EPS: 1.31, up +197.73% YoY. - Gross margin: 36.32%, up +0.47% YoY. Interpretation: Profit/EPS surged while revenue fell—this mix often suggests non-operating items, timing, or one-offs helped earnings more than underlying growth. Core growth trend is not clearly improving based on revenue, which matters heading into 2026 office/FFO scrutiny.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Ratings skew Neutral/Hold with price targets drifting down or being tempered, and one notable near-term bearish catalyst call. Deutsche Bank kept Hold but added a short-term “Catalyst Call: Sell” (PT $34–$35 range) arguing multiple expansion is overdone and 2026 pressure is being overlooked. KeyBanc downgraded to Sector Weight. Others remain In Line/Equal Weight/Neutral, while earlier (Nov 2025) there were upgrades (RBC to Outperform; BMO to Market Perform) on SF recovery/leasing optionality. Wall Street pros: Potential benefit from leasing momentum at KOP2 and longer-run SF recovery/entitlements optionality. Wall Street cons: West Coast office headwinds, cautious 2026 outlook/FFO pressure, and valuation/multiple expansion risk after a rally. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity listed as Neutral with no significant recent trends.

14 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast KRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KRC is 41.92 USD with a low forecast of 34 USD and a high forecast of 47 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

11 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 34.480

Low

Averages

41.92

High

Current: 34.480

Low

Averages

41.92

High

Deutsche Bank

Hold

maintain

$34

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Price Target

$34

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

maintain

Hold

Reason

Deutsche Bank placed a "Catalyst Call: Sell" on Kilroy Realty as a short-term investment idea. The firm believes the stock's multiple expansion "may be overdone." The recent rally overlooks Kilroy's market and portfolio specific headwinds that will create earnings pressure in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Deutsche Bank keeps a Hold rating on Kilroy with a $34 price target.

Deutsche Bank

Hold

maintain

$34 -> $35

2026-01-06

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Price Target

$34 -> $35

2026-01-06

maintain

Hold

Reason

Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Kilroy Realty to $35 from $34 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The analyst has a neutral view on the office real estate investment trusts heading into 2026.

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KRC Should I Buy

KRC Should I Buy

Should You Buy Kilroy Realty Corp (KRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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