Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. JPM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
JPM stock price ended at $267.33 on Friday, after losing-0.06%
The JPMorgan Chase & Co stock price decreased by -0.06% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), dropping from 266.97 to 267.49. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.80% , ranging from a day low of $264.76 to a day high of 269.52. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.34% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 571.58K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 9.21M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.46B.
JPM Technical Signals
JPM(JPMorgan Chase & Co Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-07. The total price change during this trend is +7.15%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of JPM over the last 5 trading days is 1.93B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
JPM Moving Average Analysis
JPMorgan Chase & Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 17, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $268.94955981666664, and $275.98599981666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $246.18243981666666, and $239.14599981666666. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
JPM Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of JPMorgan Chase & Co(JPM) as of 12 May 2025 is 13.85%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 253.08 to 260.05. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
20.55
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
20.33
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
6.806
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
71.922
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
97.94
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
145.711
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
100
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-0.104
Bearish
JPM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to JPMorgan Chase & Co(JPM), our algorithm predicts JPM's 1-month price at $275.48, with an 8.85%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.88%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 8.85% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.88%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
JPM
No Data
MS
Up: 8.85%Similarity: 97.88%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
MS.N
97.88%
+8.85%
SCHW.N
97.20%
+5.04%
ARES.N
97.17%
+3.04%
WAB.N
96.99%
+6.72%
RS.N
96.83%
+2.39%
GE.N
96.62%
+7.78%
ITT.N
96.54%
+6.61%
NTAP.O
96.48%
+7.57%
NWSA.O
96.43%
+1.00%
RJF.N
96.42%
+5.94%
JPM Seasonality Analysis
Based on JPM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in JPM. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. JPM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).
How has JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
JPM's stock price rose by 29.64% in 2023,increased by 42.63% in 2024, and went up by 12.65% in 2025.
Is JPM a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
JPM has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for JPM is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of JPM.
What is the trend of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM)'s moving average?
JPMorgan Chase & Co's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 17 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal.
What is price prediction for JPM stock next month?
The price prediction chart for JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) stock, as of May 11 2025, forecasts a 8.85% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MS stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.88%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for JPM Stock?
### **Price Prediction for JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Stock in 2025**
Based on current trends and analyst forecasts, here is the price prediction for JPMorgan Chase (JPM) stock in 2025:
1. **Bullish Case**: JPMorgan Chase (JPM) could reach **$305** by year-end, driven by strong earnings momentum and increased buybacks, as highlighted by UBS's recent price target increase.
2. **Bearish Case**: The stock may drop to **$251**, reflecting concerns over higher provisions and economic uncertainty, as noted by Truist's revised target.
3. **Neutral Case**: JPM is expected to trade around its current level of **$253**, supported by stable margins and moderate loan growth, with technical indicators suggesting a balanced outlook.
What is price prediction 2030 for JPM Stock?
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is expected to reach a price target of **$305 by 2030**, driven by strong earnings growth and improved net interest income. Analysts have raised their price targets, citing the bank's ability to navigate economic challenges and maintain profitability. This prediction aligns with UBS's recent upgrade and reflects confidence in JPM's long-term performance.