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IVR Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc(IVR) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-30After Hours0.560.58+3.5745.40M46.75M+2.99+5.02+7.67
FY2025Q22025-07-24After Hours0.560.58+3.5746.21M46.36M+0.32+0.92-
FY2025Q12025-05-07After Hours0.560.64+14.2945.15M48.05M+6.42+1.36+3.81
FY2024Q42025-02-20After Hours0.660.53-19.7050.18M46.01M-8.31-0.89-1.56
FY2024Q32024-11-05After Hours0.790.68-13.9251.96M48.51M-6.63-1.84+1.60
FY2024Q22024-08-08After Hours0.750.86+14.6749.75M52.72M+5.96+0.91-0.68
FY2024Q12024-05-08-1.060.86-18.8762.10M52.06M-16.17+0.22+1.43
FY2023Q42024-02-22-1.030.95-7.7755.50M56.27M+1.38-0.12+0.81
FY2023Q32023-11-06-1.401.51+7.8672.61M---0.88-4.42
FY2023Q22023-08-03-1.071.45+35.5164.93M72.57M+11.77-3.25-2.74
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IVR Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-30. The company achieved an EPS of 0.58, compared to analyst estimates of 0.56 by 3.57% . Revenue for the quarter reached 46.75M compared to expectations of 45.40M by 2.99% .
The stock price reacted with a 5.02% one-day change and a 7.67% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

IVR Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc(IVR) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 47.99M and an EPS of 0.58.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.89%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.8%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 8.99% . These revisions correlate with a 3.13% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between IVR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+2.89%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.8%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+8.99%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+3.13%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:183.84M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.37
—
Stock Price8.23
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IVR Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-30,After Hours):
EPS: 0.58 (Actual) vs.0.56 (Estimate) (3.57%)
Revenue: 46.75M (Actual) vs. 45.40M (Estimate) (2.99%)
Price Reaction: 5.02%(1-Day), 7.67%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-24,After Hours):
EPS: 0.58 (Actual) vs.0.56 (Estimate) (3.57%)
Revenue: 46.36M (Actual) vs. 46.21M (Estimate) (0.32%)
Price Reaction: 0.92%(1-Day), 0.00%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.64 (Actual) vs.0.56 (Estimate) (14.29%)
Revenue: 48.05M (Actual) vs. 45.15M (Estimate) (6.42%)
Price Reaction: 1.36%(1-Day), 3.81%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how IVR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, IVR sees a -1.49% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.08% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 5.02% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 6.97% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-31
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows positive economic return and increased book value, but concerns about labor market weakness, funding pressures, and regulatory changes create uncertainties. The Q&A section highlights cautious sentiment about the yield curve and capital structure changes. The company's strong dividend and strategic allocation support a neutral sentiment, balancing risks and positive returns. Without market cap data, a neutral prediction is prudent, considering both positive and negative factors.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-07-25
The earnings call summary highlights several negative financial aspects, including a negative economic return of 4.8%, a decline in book value, and concerns over fiscal policy impacting hedges. While management expresses confidence in their strategies, the Q&A reveals uncertainties in swap spreads and leverage management. Additionally, there is no strong positive catalyst such as a new partnership or record high revenue. Given these factors, the sentiment is negative, likely leading to a stock price decline of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-08
The earnings call reveals several concerns: declining book value, increased market volatility, and weaker investor demand. Management's reduction in leverage and vague responses in the Q&A section further contribute to uncertainty. Although there is a positive outlook for agency mortgages, the negative economic return and reduced book value, coupled with unclear guidance and potential prepayment risks, suggest a negative stock price reaction in the short term.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-08
The earnings call summary indicates a cautious outlook with declining book value and leverage reduction due to market volatility. The Q&A reveals management's conservative stance on leverage and hedging, and a lack of clarity on dividend impact from portfolio size. Despite some positive aspects like attractive spreads and covered dividends, the overall sentiment is negative due to economic uncertainty, potential slowdown, and policy risks. Without market cap data, the prediction is a negative stock price movement of -2% to -8%.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-02-22
The earnings call reveals several negative indicators: a decline in earnings available for distribution, a decrease in book value, and a negative economic return. The Q&A section highlights concerns about agency RMBS and CMBS risks and a cautious outlook due to policy uncertainties. Despite a strong liquidity position, the increased debt-to-equity ratio and competitive pressures are worrisome. These factors, combined with the lack of clear guidance on market conditions, suggest a negative sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price decline of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-06
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Basic financial performance and expenses show increased leverage and decreased earnings per share, which is negative. However, the increase in book value and strong liquidity position are positive. The Q&A section reveals concerns about market volatility and leverage, but management's responses are steady, indicating no significant changes. The dividend declaration is stable, but the lack of clear guidance on future dividends and increased leverage tempers optimism. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no strong catalysts for significant stock movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of IVR’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

IVR reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-30, showcasing a revenue of 46.75M against an estimate of 45.40M, resulting in a 2.99% surprise. The EPS was 0.58, surpassing the expected 0.56 by 3.57% . The stock experienced a 5.02% price change on the earnings day and a 7.67% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did IVR’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following IVR’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-30, the stock price moved by 5.02% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 7.67% change. Historically, IVR’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.49% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.08% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for IVR for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate IVR’s annual revenue to reach 47.99M, while the EPS is projected at 0.58. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.89% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 8.99% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does IVR’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between IVR’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.89%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 8.99% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from IVR’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, IVR’s stock price typically moves by -1.49% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.08% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.58 and revenue of 47.99M.
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What is the sentiment in Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows positive economic return and increased book value, but concerns about labor market weakness, funding pressures, and regulatory changes create uncertainties. The Q&A section highlights cautious sentiment about the yield curve and capital structure changes. The company's strong dividend and strategic allocation support a neutral sentiment, balancing risks and positive returns. Without market cap data, a neutral prediction is prudent, considering both positive and negative factors.
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