Should I Buy HCM II Acquisition Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. HOND has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
HOND stock price ended at $10.95 on Friday, after losing -0.36%
The HCM II Acquisition Corp stock price decreased by -0.36% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), dropping from 11.09 to 10.95. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.93% , ranging from a day low of $10.9 to a day high of 11.11. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 1.15% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 280.97K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 285.89K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.14M.
HOND Technical Signals
HOND(HCM II Acquisition Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is +1.47%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of HOND over the last 5 trading days is 2.16M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
HOND Moving Average Analysis
HCM II Acquisition Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 17, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $11.279783333333334, and $11.480333333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $10.630883333333333, and $10.430333333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
HOND Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of HCM II Acquisition Corp(HOND) as of 12 May 2025 is 3.27%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 10.90 to 10.91. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.23
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.21
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.108
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
168.046
Bearish
HOND Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to HCM II Acquisition Corp(HOND), our algorithm predicts HOND's 1-month price at $12.24, with an 12.33%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.46%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for HCM II Acquisition Corp (HOND.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 12.33% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with OFG.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.46%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
HOND
No Data
OFG
Up: 12.33%Similarity: 97.46%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
OFG.N
97.46%
+12.33%
NOMD.N
97.37%
+5.16%
EGY.N
97.33%
+19.30%
NTGR.O
97.07%
-0.80%
FBP.N
97.02%
+9.67%
COKE.O
97.02%
-10.58%
FRT.N
97.00%
+0.53%
HWC.O
96.97%
+18.61%
VIV.N
96.94%
+8.61%
UMBF.O
96.87%
+17.19%
HOND Seasonality Analysis
Based on HOND's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is100.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in HOND. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying HCM II Acquisition Corp (HOND.O) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while June has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows HCM II Acquisition Corp. (HOND)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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