GSM Valuation

Ferroglobe PLC

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4.180

+0.05(1.211%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GSM Relative Valuation

GSM's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GSM is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.49 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 3.89. The fair price of Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) is between 13.19 to 15.43 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 4.18 USD , Ferroglobe PLC is Undervalued By 68.31%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

13.19-15.43

Current Price：4.18

68.31%

Undervalued

36.35

Trailing

Forward

5.38

EV/EBITDA

Ferroglobe PLC. (GSM) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.38. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.21, Undervalued between 1.21 and 3.04, Fairly Valued between 6.70 and 3.04, Overvalued between 6.70 and 8.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.54. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.38 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.89

EV/EBIT

Ferroglobe PLC. (GSM) has a current EV/EBIT of 16.89. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.99. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -10.20, Undervalued between -10.20 and -1.11, Fairly Valued between 17.08 and -1.11, Overvalued between 17.08 and 26.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.17. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 16.89 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.49

Ferroglobe PLC. (GSM) has a current PS of 0.49. The 5-year average PS is 0.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.17, Undervalued between 0.17 and 0.33, Fairly Valued between 0.66 and 0.33, Overvalued between 0.66 and 0.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.82. The current Forward PS of 0.49 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Ferroglobe PLC. (GSM) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.26. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.89, Undervalued between -1.89 and -0.82, Fairly Valued between 1.33 and -0.82, Overvalued between 1.33 and 2.40, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.40. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.06

P/FCF

Ferroglobe PLC. (GSM) has a current P/FCF of 13.06. The 5-year average P/FCF is 5.36. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.32, Undervalued between -3.32 and 1.02, Fairly Valued between 9.70 and 1.02, Overvalued between 9.70 and 14.04, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.04. The current Forward P/FCF of 13.06 falls within the Overvalued range.

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.15 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -15.59% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.93, the current P/B ratio is about -49.93% higher. Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.61%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 21.64%, the current FCF yield is approximately -92.57% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 22.79% , the current FCF yield is about -92.94% lower.

0.97

P/B

Median3y

1.15

Median5y

1.93

1.61

FCF Yield

Median3y

21.64

Median5y

22.79

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GSM's competitors is 5.58, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ferroglobe PLC Corp (GSM) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.49, which is -91.21% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -14.23%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GSM decreased by 9.64% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -3.74 to -9.04.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -14.23%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GSM in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-14.23%

451.05M → 386.86M

Revenue Growth

-137.14%

7.62 → -2.83

Margin Expansion

141.73%

-3.74 → -9.04

P/E Change

-9.64%