FRO Earnings

FRO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-21, showcasing a revenue of 257.04M against an estimate of 269.02M, resulting in a -4.46% surprise. The EPS was 0.19, surpassing the expected 0.25 by -24% . The stock experienced a 3.64% price change on the earnings day and a -5.88% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following FRO's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-21, the stock price moved by 3.64% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -5.88% change. Historically, FRO's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.04% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.51% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate FRO’s annual revenue to reach 454.62M, while the EPS is projected at 1.13. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.89% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 16.35% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between FRO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.89%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 16.35% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, FRO's stock price typically moves by +2.04% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.51% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.13 and revenue of 454.62M.

The earnings call reveals a mixed sentiment. Strong cash generation potential and positive market dynamics are counterbalanced by uncertainty in Q4 earnings and vague management responses. The tanker market's favorable outlook is tempered by challenges like high resale values and age restrictions for older ships. The lack of a clear strategy for debt reduction or fleet expansion further contributes to a neutral sentiment. Analysts' concerns about LR2 fleet sales and spot rate impacts also weigh on the outlook, leading to a neutral prediction for stock movement.