The chart below shows how FLG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FLG sees a +0.43% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.93% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.58%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Adjusted Net Loss Improvement: The company reported an adjusted net loss of $0.23 per diluted share, which was better than the consensus estimate of $0.27 per share and an improvement from the previous quarter's loss of $0.40.
Commercial Lending Expansion: Flagstar Financial is making significant progress in building its commercial lending business, with over $1 billion in C&I loan commitments and $769 million in originations, up over 40% from the previous quarter.
Leadership Change for Growth: The hiring of Mark Fitzgibbon to lead the private bank and wealth management business is expected to drive growth in these core areas, with plans to add more talent moving forward.
Capital and Liquidity Improvement: The company has successfully built capital, improved liquidity, and enhanced credit quality in its commercial real estate and multifamily portfolios, with a focus on margin expansion and cost reductions.
Strong CET1 Capital Ratio: The CET1 capital ratio remains strong at around 12%, one of the highest among regional banks, indicating a solid capital position.
Cost Savings Progress: Noninterest expenses decreased by $71 million quarter over quarter, putting the company on track to achieve its full 2025 forecasted run rate for cost savings.
Deposit Cost Management: The company is actively managing its deposit costs and plans to reduce broker deposits by an additional $3 billion and FHLB advances by $1 billion over the next three quarters.
Improved Credit Quality: The overall criticized assets declined quarter over quarter, and net charge-offs decreased by 48%, reflecting improved credit quality and risk management.
Office Exposure Reduction: The company has reduced its office exposure by approximately $800 million or 25% over the past five quarters, indicating proactive risk management in its portfolio.
Profitability Turnaround Strategy: Flagstar Financial is on track to return to profitability by the fourth quarter of 2025, with a strong focus on executing its turnaround strategy.
Negative
EPS Performance Analysis: Reported EPS of $-0.26 was in line with expectations but still indicates a loss.
Adjusted Net Loss Per Share: Adjusted net loss available to common shareholders was $0.23 per diluted share, which, while better than the previous quarter, still reflects ongoing financial struggles.
Negative Revenue Report: Despite a reduction in noninterest expenses, the company still reported a negative adjusted pre-provision pretax net revenue of $-23 million.
Non-Accrual Loans Increase: The company experienced a significant increase in non-accrual loans, with one borrower totaling $563 million moved to non-accrual status, indicating potential credit quality issues.
C&I Loan Decline: The overall C&I loans declined again this quarter, suggesting challenges in achieving growth targets despite hiring new bankers.
Deposit Decline and Funding Risks: The company’s deposits decreased by approximately $2 billion, indicating a reliance on wholesale funding that may not be sustainable in the long term.
Net Interest Income Forecast: The forecast for 2025 net interest income was slightly lowered, which could signal concerns about future profitability.
Portfolio Reduction Risks: The company is still in the process of reducing its multifamily and commercial real estate portfolios, which may indicate ongoing risk in these areas.
Flagstar Financial, Inc. (NYSE:FLG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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