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The earnings call shows a mixed picture: a strong pre-order backlog and improved liquidity are positives, but the delay in certification to 2027 and increasing cash burn are concerns. The Q&A reveals management's inability to provide clear guidance on CapEx and certification timelines, which may worry investors. Despite a strong market interest, financial pressures and competitive risks in the eVTOL market balance the positives, leading to a neutral sentiment. The company's small-cap status suggests potential volatility, but the lack of clear catalysts tempers expectations for significant short-term stock price movement.
Liquidity $445 million in pro forma liquidity for Q3 2024, an increase due to $236 million raised since July, providing three years of cash consumption.
Cash Position $280 million in cash at the end of Q3 2024, which is $73 million more than the previous quarter due to new equity raised.
R&D Investment $32 million invested in R&D during Q3 2024, reflecting increased headcount and supplier engagement.
SG&A Expenses $9 million in SG&A during Q3 2024, reflecting a larger workforce.
Net Loss Net loss of $36 million in Q3 2024, partially offset by interest revenues and mark-to-market gains.
Cash Flow from Operations $34 million consumed in operations during Q3 2024, totaling $101 million for the first nine months of 2024.
Total Pre-Order Backlog Approximately 2,900 aircraft with a total value of $14.4 billion based on list price, with $1.6 billion in potential revenues from TechCare services.
Eve TechCare: Launched a fully integrated portfolio of services for maintenance, logistics of spare parts, flight hour programs for pilot and mechanics training, and customer support.
Vector: Conducted a successful five-day simulation of Vector, the air traffic coordination software, in Sao Paulo with positive feedback from partner Revo.
Certification Milestones: Published the base of certification by ANAC, establishing eVTOL requirements for commercial flight in Brazil. The FAA also published the SFAR, which is supportive of the industry.
Pre-order Backlog: Approximately 2,900 aircraft with a total value of $14.4 billion based on list price, including LOIs for Vector and contracts for TechCare.
Prototype Testing: Completed assembly of the full-scale engineering prototype and began testing, with plans to start flight tests in early 2025.
Funding and Liquidity: Raised $236 million since July, resulting in a pro forma liquidity of $445 million, sufficient for three years of cash consumption.
Focus on Customer Support: Emphasized the importance of customer support and services as a key differentiator in the eVTOL market, launching TechCare to ensure operational readiness.
Long-term Financing: Secured $90 million financing for the Brazilian production facility, with a long-term structure that includes a four-year grace period.
Regulatory Risks: The company faces regulatory challenges as it navigates the certification process with both ANAC in Brazil and the FAA in the United States. The recent publication of the certification basis by ANAC and the SFAR by the FAA are seen as supportive, but the complexity of compliance and the evolving nature of regulations pose risks to timelines and operational readiness.
Supply Chain Challenges: Eve Air Mobility is dependent on timely delivery of components, such as lift motors expected in December. Delays in the supply chain could impact the flight test schedule and overall development timeline.
Economic Factors: General economic conditions in Brazil and the global market can affect the company's operations and financial performance. The fluctuating Brazilian currency against the US dollar has been noted as a factor that could influence cash burn and development expenses.
Competitive Pressures: The company is operating in a competitive environment with other eVTOL manufacturers. The recent shakeout among competitors may present opportunities, but it also increases pressure to deliver a reliable and mature product to capture market share.
Cash Flow and Liquidity Risks: While the company has a strong liquidity position with $445 million, there is a need to manage cash flow carefully as it ramps up R&D and capital expenditures. The potential for increased cash burn in the coming years raises concerns about maintaining sufficient liquidity.
Prototype Development: Completed assembly of the full-scale engineering prototype and began testing, with plans to start flight tests in early 2025.
Certification Progress: Published certification basis by ANAC and SFAR by FAA, establishing standards for eVTOL operations.
Eve TechCare Launch: Introduced Eve TechCare, a comprehensive service portfolio for maintenance, logistics, and training to enhance eVTOL availability and reduce operating costs.
Vector Simulation: Conducted a successful five-day simulation of Vector air traffic coordination software in Sao Paulo, receiving positive feedback from partners.
Customer Engagement: Engaged with customers to firm up LOIs and service contracts, indicating strong interest in TechCare and Vector services.
Cash Consumption Guidance: Expecting cash consumption of $130 million to $170 million for 2024, with $34 million consumed in Q3.
Liquidity Position: Pro forma liquidity of $445 million, providing a runway of approximately three years.
CapEx for Production Facility: Secured $80 million to $90 million for the Brazilian production facility, with peak investments expected in 2026.
Revenue Projections: Potential revenue of $1.6 billion from TechCare services over the first few years of operation.
Certification Timeline: First flight of the engineering prototype expected in early 2025, with final certification anticipated in 2027.
Total Pre-Order Backlog: Approximately 2,900 aircraft for a total value of $14.4 billion based on the list price.
LOIs for TechCare: Contracts with 15 different customers for TechCare suite of aftermarket products and services, potentially bringing up to $1.6 billion in revenues.
Liquidity Position: Raised $236 million since July, with a pro forma liquidity of $445 million in Q3 2024.
Cash Position: Ended Q3 with $280 million in cash, $73 million more than the previous quarter.
Investment in Program Development: Invested $32 million during Q3 in program development.
Expected Cash Consumption: Guidance of $130 million to $170 million in cash consumption for 2024.
Production Facility Financing: Secured financing of $80 million to $90 million for the Brazilian production facility.
Expected Cash Flow from TechCare: Expected to generate $1.6 billion in revenues over the first few years of operation.
The earnings call indicates strong investor support with a record cash position, strategic partnerships, and a substantial pre-order backlog. Despite a net loss, cash burn is optimized, and the company is on track with its guidance. The Bahrain collaboration suggests potential revenue streams, and the market strategy focuses on urban air mobility, a high-growth area. The Q&A section highlights ongoing developments and risk management, without major concerns raised. Considering the market cap and positive outlook, a positive stock price movement is anticipated over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary highlights strong market positioning and future potential with a significant backlog and partnerships. However, the increase in net loss, cash consumption, and lack of specific guidance on LOI conversions create uncertainty. The Q&A session reveals cautious optimism but no immediate catalysts. Given the company's small market cap, the stock may experience volatility, but the overall sentiment remains neutral due to balanced positive and negative factors.
The earnings call reveals several concerns: missed EPS expectations, significant net loss, and cash flow challenges. Although liquidity is sufficient, ongoing R&D expenses and competitive pressures pose risks. The lack of a shareholder return plan and vague responses in the Q&A further contribute to a negative sentiment. Despite a strong order backlog, the financial instability and uncertainties about certification timelines overshadow potential positives, likely leading to a negative stock price reaction for this small-cap company.
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. The financial performance shows increased expenses and a net loss, but a strong preorder backlog and potential revenue from Eve TechCare are positives. The Q&A reveals management's avoidance of specifics on certain risks, raising concerns. Despite strong order book and liquidity, the lack of immediate profitability and technological risks temper optimism. Considering the market cap of $1.1 billion, the stock price is likely to remain stable with a neutral reaction as investors await more concrete progress and financial improvements.
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