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ECPG Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Encore Capital Group Inc(ECPG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Encore Capital Group Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05After Hours1.923.17+65.10411.34M460.35M+11.92+10.46+16.28
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours1.442.49+72.92383.42M442.12M+15.31+5.37+9.93
FY2025Q12025-05-07After Hours1.241.93+55.65374.49M392.78M+4.88+23.85+22.48
FY2024Q42025-02-26After Hours1.551.50-3.23373.40M265.62M-28.86-21.88-30.89
FY2024Q22024-08-07After Hours1.25--346.06M355.29M+2.67+11.43+7.32
FY2024Q12024-05-08-0.940.95+1.06330.83M328.39M-0.74+0.63+8.73
FY2023Q42024-02-21-1.221.25+2.46330.72M277.39M-16.13+0.21-9.98
FY2023Q32023-11-01-1.350.79-41.48332.57M309.62M-6.90-0.66+16.56
FY2023Q22023-08-02-1.251.08-13.60327.95M323.04M-1.50-2.85-3.78
-2023-05-03-1.160.94-18.97----1.11-7.68
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ECPG Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Encore Capital Group Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 3.17, compared to analyst estimates of 1.92 by 65.10% . Revenue for the quarter reached 460.35M compared to expectations of 411.34M by 11.92% .
The stock price reacted with a 10.46% one-day change and a 16.28% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Encore Capital Group Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ECPG Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Encore Capital Group Inc(ECPG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 423.14M and an EPS of 2.29.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 4.37%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 17.82%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.65% . These revisions correlate with a 19.37% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Encore Capital Group Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ECPG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+4.37%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+17.82%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+1.65%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+19.37%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.72B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:9.87
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Stock Price53.06
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Financial AI Agent

ECPG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Encore Capital Group Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: 3.17 (Actual) vs.1.92 (Estimate) (65.10%)
Revenue: 460.35M (Actual) vs. 411.34M (Estimate) (11.92%)
Price Reaction: 10.46%(1-Day), 16.28%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 2.49 (Actual) vs.1.44 (Estimate) (72.92%)
Revenue: 442.12M (Actual) vs. 383.42M (Estimate) (15.31%)
Price Reaction: 5.37%(1-Day), 9.93%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 1.93 (Actual) vs.1.24 (Estimate) (55.65%)
Revenue: 392.78M (Actual) vs. 374.49M (Estimate) (4.88%)
Price Reaction: 23.85%(1-Day), 22.48%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ECPG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ECPG sees a +4.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.20% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.00%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 10.46% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 11.63% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with significant revenue and net income growth. The company has raised its guidance for global collections and expects to exceed purchasing guidance. The Q&A reveals confidence in U.S. market conditions and strategic focus. However, management's lack of detailed guidance on buybacks and M&A could be a slight concern. Overall, the positive financial results, optimistic guidance, and strategic focus on high-return markets suggest a likely positive stock price movement.
Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant year-over-year growth in portfolio purchases, collections, and EPS. The Q&A highlights favorable market conditions and robust operational execution, particularly in the U.S. The positive sentiment is further supported by increased guidance and a focus on cost management, despite some concerns over interest expenses. Overall, the company's strategic execution and optimistic outlook suggest a likely positive stock price movement in the short term.
Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-10
The earnings call presents strong financial performance with record portfolio purchases, significant EPS growth, and improved leverage ratio. The Q&A section confirms stable collections and favorable purchasing conditions. However, interest expense is a concern, and management's vague responses on certain issues may raise caution. Overall, strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and resumed share repurchases suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record portfolio purchases and collections growth. Despite increased interest expenses, net income grew significantly, indicating robust operational efficiency. The Q&A highlighted stable market conditions, favorable purchasing, and positive collection efficiency, although management was vague on some forecasts. Guidance for 2025 suggests continued growth, with share repurchases resuming. While there are some concerns about interest expenses and unclear responses, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a moderate stock price increase.
Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-26
The earnings call summary reveals mixed signals: strong portfolio purchases and collections growth are positive, but high interest expenses, competitive pressures, and significant goodwill impairment are concerns. The Q&A section highlights management's evasiveness on key issues, contributing to uncertainty. While share repurchases are planned, they are postponed to 2025. Given the lack of market cap data, we assume a neutral market reaction due to the balance of positive and negative factors, resulting in a neutral sentiment prediction for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Encore Capital Group, Inc. (ECPG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
The earnings call summary reflects strong financial performance, with significant increases in portfolio purchases, collections, GAAP net income, and EPS. The company is focusing on U.S. market opportunities, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and planning share repurchases, which are positive indicators. Despite challenges in Europe and competitive pressures, the overall outlook is optimistic. The Q&A reveals confidence in capital allocation and improved operating leverage. The combination of strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and shareholder return plans suggests a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Encore Capital Group, Inc. (ECPG) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance, with record portfolio purchases and collections growth, especially in the U.S. The company has a disciplined capital allocation strategy, leading to significant shareholder returns. Although there are some regulatory and interest rate risks, the overall sentiment from the Q&A session is stable, with no major concerns about consumer payment behavior or financial health. The optimistic guidance and strong earnings, along with a decline in leverage ratio, suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ECPG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ECPG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 460.35M against an estimate of 411.34M, resulting in a 11.92% surprise. The EPS was 3.17, surpassing the expected 1.92 by 65.1% . The stock experienced a 10.46% price change on the earnings day and a 16.28% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ECPG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ECPG’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 10.46% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 16.28% change. Historically, ECPG’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +4.38% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.20% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ECPG for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ECPG’s annual revenue to reach 423.14M, while the EPS is projected at 2.29. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 4.37% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.65% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ECPG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ECPG’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 4.37%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.65% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ECPG’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ECPG’s stock price typically moves by +4.38% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.20% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.29 and revenue of 423.14M.
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What is the sentiment in Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with significant revenue and net income growth. The company has raised its guidance for global collections and expects to exceed purchasing guidance. The Q&A reveals confidence in U.S. market conditions and strategic focus. However, management's lack of detailed guidance on buybacks and M&A could be a slight concern. Overall, the positive financial results, optimistic guidance, and strategic focus on high-return markets suggest a likely positive stock price movement.
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