DDL Valuation

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd

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2.380

+0.17(7.692%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

DDL Relative Valuation

DDL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, DDL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd (DDL) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.13 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 16.29. The fair price of Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd (DDL) is between 9.87 to 11.29 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 2.38 USD , Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd is Undervalued By 75.89%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

9.87-11.29

Current Price：2.38

75.89%

Undervalued

8.56

Trailing

Forward

5.67

EV/EBITDA

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. (DDL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.67. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -1.10. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -83.02, Undervalued between -83.02 and -42.06, Fairly Valued between 39.85 and -42.06, Overvalued between 39.85 and 80.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 80.81. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.67 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.58

EV/EBIT

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. (DDL) has a current EV/EBIT of 7.58. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -13.77. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -212.80, Undervalued between -212.80 and -113.28, Fairly Valued between 85.75 and -113.28, Overvalued between 85.75 and 185.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 185.27. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 7.58 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.13

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. (DDL) has a current PS of 0.13. The 5-year average PS is 0.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.41, Undervalued between -0.41 and -0.03, Fairly Valued between 0.72 and -0.03, Overvalued between 0.72 and 1.10, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.10. The current Forward PS of 0.13 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.59

P/OCF

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. (DDL) has a current P/OCF of 3.59. The 5-year average P/OCF is 11.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -73.38, Undervalued between -73.38 and -30.74, Fairly Valued between 54.54 and -30.74, Overvalued between 54.54 and 97.18, and Strongly Overvalued above 97.18. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.59 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. (DDL) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 25.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1073.87, Undervalued between -1073.87 and -524.27, Fairly Valued between 574.92 and -524.27, Overvalued between 574.92 and 1124.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 1124.51. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd (DDL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 4.17. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 11.13 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -62.54% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 11.91, the current P/B ratio is about -64.99% higher. Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd (DDL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 24.15%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.92%, the current FCF yield is approximately -2711.82% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -13.50% , the current FCF yield is about -278.81% lower.

4.17

P/B

Median3y

11.13

Median5y

11.91

24.15

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.92

Median5y

-13.50

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for DDL's competitors is 1.95, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd Corp (DDL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.13, which is -93.08% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 9.06%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

DDL.N

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd

Liquidity Services Inc

1.67

28.05%

805.91M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of DDL increased by 10.19% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 8.70 to 12.06.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 9.06%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of DDL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

9.06%

5.02B → 5.48B

Revenue Growth

-37.50%

0.24 → 0.15

Margin Expansion

38.63%

8.70 → 12.06

P/E Change

10.19%