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Cellebrite's earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 21% ARR growth and a 29% increase in adjusted EBITDA. The company has a solid cash position and geographic ARR growth. Despite some uncertainties in AI adoption and flat net new ARR, management remains optimistic about future growth and product adoption. The Q&A session reveals confidence in overcoming competitive threats and leveraging new products, contributing to a positive outlook. With a market cap of $2.43 billion, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement (2% to 8%) in the next two weeks.
ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) ARR grew 21% year-over-year to $493 million. The growth was attributed to the launch of new products and early access to new technology, which are expected to contribute more significantly in the second half of the year.
Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA was $30.6 million, up 29% year-over-year. This increase was achieved despite FX headwinds and absorbing costs from the Corellium acquisition.
Free Cash Flow Margin Free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 32%. This reflects strong cash generation and operational efficiency.
Revenue Revenue was $128.3 million, up 19% year-over-year. Total subscription revenue grew 23%, partially offset by a decline in nonrecurring training, hardware, and professional services.
Gross Profit Gross profit increased 21% to $110.2 million, representing a gross margin of 86%. This was driven by higher subscription revenue.
Net Income Net income was $30.6 million, or $0.12 per fully diluted share. This reflects strong profitability and operational performance.
Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Investments The company ended the quarter with $535 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, remaining stable despite the acquisition of SCG Canada.
Geographic ARR Growth The Americas grew 18%, EMEA grew 25%, and Asia Pacific increased 21%. Growth in EMEA was driven by the defense and intelligence sector, which grew in the mid-30% range.
Growth Products ARR Growth products, including Guardian, Pathfinder, Corellium, and drone forensics, doubled year-over-year. These products are expected to account for close to 20% of ARR by the end of the year.
Genesis AI Solution: Launched as a next-gen AI solution, Genesis delivers rapid, actionable insights from complex data sources. Early adoption exceeded expectations with over 500 registered users from 15 countries. Feedback highlights its transformative impact on digital evidence analytics, including significant time savings and enhanced victim identification.
Guardian Investigate: An AI-powered case management system for digital evidence, now generally available. It supports diverse data types and integrates advanced AI capabilities, improving investigation speed and efficiency.
Advanced Unlock Capabilities: Enhanced Android and iOS unlock capabilities, providing a comprehensive platform for accessing and unlocking mobile devices.
FedRAMP High Authorization: Achieved FedRAMP high authorization, enabling access to U.S. federal agencies and positioning Cellebrite for growth in government cloud offerings.
U.S. Federal Market Rebound: U.S. federal market growth is accelerating, driven by stabilization in agency leadership, targeted funding for digital initiatives, and geopolitical factors. ARR pipeline increased by 35% year-over-year.
EMEA Growth: EMEA ARR growth increased to 25%, with defense and intelligence sectors growing in the mid-30% range.
ARR Growth: ARR grew 21% year-over-year to $493 million, with sequential growth of $12 million.
Free Cash Flow Margin: Maintained a free cash flow margin of 32% over the trailing 12 months.
Rule of 50+: Continued adherence to the Rule of 50+, indicating strong operational efficiency.
AI Integration: AI is being integrated across products and operations, enhancing top-line growth, operational efficiency, and investigative capabilities.
Portfolio Expansion: Significant portfolio expansion with new products like Genesis, Guardian Investigate, and Advanced Unlocks, positioning Cellebrite for accelerated growth.
Leadership Transition: Appointment of Shiv Ramji as President of Products and Technology, bringing expertise in security, AI, and cloud to drive future growth.
AI Product Development: The company acknowledges that there is no margin for error in the development and deployment of AI-enabled investigative analytics. Any misstep could impact the company's reputation and operational effectiveness.
FedRAMP Certification: Achieving FedRAMP high authorization required significant investment of time, money, and talent. Delays or issues in leveraging this certification for U.S. federal agency contracts could hinder growth in this segment.
U.S. Federal Market: The U.S. federal market experienced a slowdown in 2025 due to budget pressures and organizational changes. While there are signs of recovery, any further instability or funding delays could impact growth.
Geopolitical Instabilities: Global geopolitical instabilities, including conflicts in Israel and tensions with Iran, pose risks to operational continuity and employee safety, particularly in regions directly affected.
Corellium Acquisition: The acquisition of Corellium is still pending CFIUS approval. Any delays or failure to secure approval could impact the integration and expected benefits from this acquisition.
Economic and FX Headwinds: The company faces foreign exchange headwinds, estimated to be approximately 2 points, which could impact financial performance.
Product Adoption and Market Fit: While early feedback on new products like Genesis and Guardian Investigate is positive, the company acknowledges that AI is dynamic and unpredictable. Challenges in adoption or market fit could impact revenue projections.
AI Revenue Contribution: The company anticipates generating AI-specific revenue in 2026, despite initially planning for zero AI revenue. Early adoption of the Genesis AI platform has exceeded expectations, with over 500 registered users from 15 countries. The company estimates the TAM for investigative AI over the next 4 years at $12.5 billion and sees potential to double its business with strong execution.
ARR Growth: The company expects ARR to grow to $510 million to $513 million in Q2 2026, representing a sequential growth of approximately 50% at the midpoint. Full-year ARR growth is expected to be driven by new products, including AI and cloud offerings.
Revenue Outlook: For Q2 2026, revenue is projected to be between $130 million and $133 million, reflecting a 15% to 17% increase. Full-year revenue growth is supported by the adoption of cloud and AI products, as well as ratable revenue contracts.
Adjusted EBITDA: Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $29 million to $31 million, with a margin of 22% to 23%. This includes FX headwinds and costs associated with user conferences and product launches.
Product Launches and Adoption: The company plans to launch the Genesis AI platform for general availability in mid-June 2026. Guardian Investigate, an AI-powered case management solution, is also expected to drive growth in the second half of 2026.
U.S. Federal Market Growth: The U.S. federal segment is rebounding, with growth rates expected to return to the 20% range, potentially exceeding historical mid-20% rates. The pipeline for U.S. federal opportunities has increased by 35% year-over-year.
Geographic Growth: EMEA ARR growth has increased to 25%, driven by the defense and intelligence sector, which grew in the mid-30% range. The Americas and Asia Pacific regions also showed strong growth, contributing to overall ARR expansion.
FedRAMP Certification Impact: The recent FedRAMP high authorization positions the company to pursue U.S. federal cloud opportunities, with a gradual ramp expected over the next several quarters and into 2027.
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Cellebrite's earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 21% ARR growth and a 29% increase in adjusted EBITDA. The company has a solid cash position and geographic ARR growth. Despite some uncertainties in AI adoption and flat net new ARR, management remains optimistic about future growth and product adoption. The Q&A session reveals confidence in overcoming competitive threats and leveraging new products, contributing to a positive outlook. With a market cap of $2.43 billion, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement (2% to 8%) in the next two weeks.
Financial performance shows solid growth in revenue, RMR, and net income, with improved margins. Analysts' Q&A responses indicate confidence in maintaining growth without additional expenses and optimism about demand stability. The company's focus on M&A and innovation, along with positive guidance, supports a positive outlook. Given the market cap of $2.4 billion, the stock price is likely to react positively, but not dramatically.
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