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BUR Earnings

Burford Capital Ltd
$
13.820
+0.37(2.751%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Burford Capital Ltd(BUR) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Burford Capital Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-07Pre-Market0.330.39+18.18146.12M171.50M+17.37+1.73-
FY2025Q12025-05-07Pre-Market0.300.14-53.33157.00M110.79M-29.43+1.30+3.18
FY2024Q42025-03-03Pre-Market0.56-0.06-110.71219.38M93.03M-57.60-8.40-13.65
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market0.340.24-29.41153.00M159.65M+4.35+0.16+3.44
FY2024Q12024-05-13-0.45-0.14-131.11192.42M44.30M-76.98-6.09-7.19
FY2023Q42024-03-14-0.470.45-4.26141.90M292.57M+106.18+4.37+8.73
FY2023Q32023-11-09-0.361.22+238.89157.31M368.87M+134.48-1.04+1.16
FY2023Q22023-09-13-0.32-0.10-131.25133.60M44.55M-66.65-1.55-8.37
-2023-06-13-0.261.17+350.00---+0.15-0.69

BUR Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Burford Capital Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-07. The company achieved an EPS of 0.39, compared to analyst estimates of 0.33 by 18.18% . Revenue for the quarter reached 171.50M compared to expectations of 146.12M by 17.37% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.73% one-day change and a % five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Burford Capital Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

BUR Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Burford Capital Ltd(BUR) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 169.86M and an EPS of 0.44.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -1.82%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -4.23%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 2.88% . These revisions correlate with a -3.22% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Burford Capital Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between BUR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.82%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-4.23%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Upward
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+2.88%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-3.22%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:643.60M
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.49
Stock Price13.82

BUR Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Burford Capital Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.39 (Actual) vs.0.33 (Estimate) (18.18%)
Revenue: 171.50M (Actual) vs. 146.12M (Estimate) (17.37%)
Price Reaction: 1.73%(1-Day), %(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.14 (Actual) vs.0.30 (Estimate) (-53.33%)
Revenue: 110.79M (Actual) vs. 157.00M (Estimate) (-29.43%)
Price Reaction: 1.30%(1-Day), 3.18%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-03-03,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.06 (Actual) vs.0.56 (Estimate) (-110.71%)
Revenue: 93.03M (Actual) vs. 219.38M (Estimate) (-57.60%)
Price Reaction: -8.40%(1-Day), -13.65%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how BUR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BUR sees a +1.95% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.08% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.04%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed 3.47% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 6.55% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-08
The earnings call summary and Q&A session indicate strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth, cash generation, and strategic positioning. Despite some uncertainties around litigation timelines and specific case details, the overall sentiment is positive. The company's expansion efforts and strong liquidity position further support a positive outlook. Given the market cap of $2.8 billion, the stock price is likely to react positively, falling in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is strong cash generation, new business commitments, and a significant increase in capital provision income, the earnings miss and increased expenses raise concerns. The regulatory risks and competitive pressures also contribute to uncertainty. The lack of specific shareholder return plans further tempers positive sentiment. The Q&A section did not provide clarity on key issues, such as the IMF agreement and new business types, leading to a cautious outlook. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record cash realizations, significant net realized gains, and a robust liquidity position. Despite increased expenses and debt maturities, the company maintains ample cash reserves. The Q&A revealed some vague responses, but overall, the financial health and strategic growth initiatives, including new commitments and asset management income, are positive indicators. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a positive prediction of 2-8% stock price increase.
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-04
The earnings call reveals an EPS miss and regulatory transition risks, leading to potential instability. Despite strong net realized gains and ROIC, concerns about unrealized losses, interest rate volatility, and high debt obligations persist. The Q&A section highlights management's vague responses on regulatory impacts. With no share buyback or dividend program, the sentiment is negative, especially for a mid-cap company like Burford Capital, likely resulting in a stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-03
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record revenue and realized gains, reduced operating expenses, and a robust cash position. Although the Q&A section showed some management vagueness, it did not reveal significant risks. The company's strategic approach and high ROIC are positive indicators. Given the market cap of approximately $2.8 billion, the stock is likely to react positively, but not dramatically, resulting in a 2% to 8% increase.
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-03
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 75% increase in revenue and net realized gains. Despite unrealized losses due to discount rate fluctuations, the company maintains a solid cash position and a high ROIC of 108%. The Q&A session highlights management's confidence in portfolio diversity and lack of significant regulatory threats. Additionally, the company's shareholder return plan and cash generation are robust. Given the market cap, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-10
The earnings call summary presented mixed signals. Financial performance was strong with record cash receipts and reduced expenses, but lacked detailed year-over-year comparisons. Shareholder returns were positive with share repurchases. However, legal risks with Argentina and debt maturity concerns were highlighted. The Q&A revealed uncertainties about the Argentina case and competitive environment. Considering the market cap, the stock may react within a neutral range due to these mixed factors.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of BUR’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

BUR reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-07, showcasing a revenue of 171.50M against an estimate of 146.12M, resulting in a 17.37% surprise. The EPS was 0.39, surpassing the expected 0.33 by 18.18% . The stock experienced a 1.73% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did BUR’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for BUR for 2025/Q3?

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How does BUR’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from BUR’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?