ASTL Valuation

Algoma Steel Group Inc

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4.930

+0.35(7.642%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ASTL Relative Valuation

ASTL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ASTL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.26 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -5.01. The fair price of Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) is between 4.69 to 9.29 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

4.69-9.29

Current Price：4.88

Fair

-3.61

Trailing

Forward

70.84

EV/EBITDA

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 70.84. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -25.54, Undervalued between -25.54 and -9.97, Fairly Valued between 21.15 and -9.97, Overvalued between 21.15 and 36.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 36.71. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 70.84 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

-5.40

EV/EBIT

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) has a current EV/EBIT of -5.40. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -1.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -33.10, Undervalued between -33.10 and -17.12, Fairly Valued between 14.84 and -17.12, Overvalued between 14.84 and 30.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 30.82. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -5.40 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.26

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) has a current PS of 0.26. The 5-year average PS is 0.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.08, Undervalued between 0.08 and 0.23, Fairly Valued between 0.54 and 0.23, Overvalued between 0.54 and 0.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.69. The current Forward PS of 0.26 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.23

P/OCF

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) has a current P/OCF of 13.23. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -24.09, Undervalued between -24.09 and -10.83, Fairly Valued between 15.68 and -10.83, Overvalued between 15.68 and 28.93, and Strongly Overvalued above 28.93. The current Forward P/OCF of 13.23 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-5.00

P/FCF

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) has a current P/FCF of -5.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is -2.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -154.03, Undervalued between -154.03 and -78.09, Fairly Valued between 73.81 and -78.09, Overvalued between 73.81 and 149.76, and Strongly Overvalued above 149.76. The current Forward P/FCF of -5.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.49. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.74 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -33.38% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.10, the current P/B ratio is about -55.24% higher. Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -83.72%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -12.56%, the current FCF yield is approximately 566.73% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 3.23% , the current FCF yield is about -2693.97% lower.

0.52

P/B

Median3y

0.74

Median5y

1.10

-84.62

FCF Yield

Median3y

-12.56

Median5y

3.23

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ASTL's competitors is 0.26, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Algoma Steel Group Inc Corp (ASTL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.26, which is -1.99% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -19.51%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ASTL.O

Algoma Steel Group Inc

Insteel Industries Inc

CompX International Inc

Park Ohio Holdings Corp

0.16

-7.51%

287.26M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ASTL increased by 0.00% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Unknown from 0.00 to 0.00.

The secondary factor is the Unknown, contributed 0.00%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ASTL in the past 1 year is driven by Unknown.