Quarterly Results
ASTL Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, ASTL remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 435.60M and an EPS of -0.24.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.82%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 20.2%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted No Change by 0% . These revisions correlate with a 12.14% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in ASTL long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ASTL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ASTL sees a +2.96% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.43%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -6.12% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -7.76% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of ASTL's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
ASTL reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 523.90M against an estimate of 481.53M, resulting in a 8.8% surprise. The EPS was 0.12, surpassing the expected -0.7 by 117.14% . The stock experienced a -6.12% price change on the earnings day and a -2.82% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did ASTL's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following ASTL's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -6.12% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.82% change. Historically, ASTL's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.96% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.41% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ASTL for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ASTL’s annual revenue to reach 435.60M, while the EPS is projected at -0.24. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.82% and EPS estimates No Change by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does ASTL's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between ASTL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.82%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by 0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from ASTL's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, ASTL's stock price typically moves by +2.96% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.41% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.24 and revenue of 435.60M.
What is the sentiment in Algoma Steel Group Inc (ASTL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call reveals several negative indicators: a significant year-over-year revenue decline, increased costs, and a substantial net loss due to tariffs and market conditions. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties, such as unclear demand estimates and reliance on government support. Despite efforts to transition to EAF production, the challenging market conditions and tariff impacts, along with the lack of clear guidance on recovery timelines, suggest a negative outlook. The absence of a market cap prevents a precise impact prediction, but the overall sentiment leans negative.

