ASTL Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ASTL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ASTL sees a +0.87% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.16% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.46%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ASTL Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
600.30M
-18.06%
-7.72%
Gross Margin
-5.73%
-152.47%
-242.18%
Operating Margin
-13.93%
-377.49%
625.52%
Net Margin
-17.76%
-517.88%
-1989.36%
EPS
-0.98
-508.33%
1300.00%
No Data Available
ASTL Earnings Analysis
Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares Corporation (ASTL.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Cash and Liquidity Strength: 1. Strong Cash Position: Algoma Steel ended the quarter with over $450 million in cash and total liquidity of approximately $800 million, ensuring robust funding for ongoing projects.
Plate Shipment Increase: 2. Increased Plate Shipments: Plate shipments rose to approximately 73,000 tons in the second fiscal quarter, up from 61,000 tons in the previous quarter, indicating improved operational performance.
EAF Project Investment Update: 3. Successful EAF Project Progress: The cumulative investment in the EAF project reached $672 million, with approximately $870 million in committed contracts, over 90% of which are fixed-price, enhancing project cost predictability.
Insurance Proceeds Impact: 4. Insurance Proceeds Boost: The company received net insurance proceeds totaling approximately $28 million during the quarter, contributing positively to adjusted EBITDA.
Working Capital Release Anticipation: 5. Future Working Capital Release: Algoma anticipates a release of at least $100 million in working capital by March 2025, as they transition from blast furnace operations to EAF production.
Negative
Steel Revenue Decline: Steel revenue was $539 million in the quarter, down 19% versus the prior year period.
Steel Shipment Decline: Steel shipments were 520,000 net tons in the quarter, down 5.2% versus the prior-year quarter.
Sales Price Decline: Net sales realization averaged $1,036 per ton, down 14.6% versus the prior year period.
Steel Cost Increase: Algoma's cost per ton of steel products sold averaged $1,032 in the quarter, up 1.1% versus the prior year period.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance: Adjusted EBITDA of $4 million, which reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 0.6%.
ASTL FAQs
How does ASTL typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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ASTL Earning Call Sentiment
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
ASTL.O
-0.62%Positive
The earnings call highlights several negative factors: a significant decline in revenue and EBITDA, supply chain challenges, and economic uncertainty. While there are some positives like the EAF project progress and insurance recoveries, the overall sentiment is dampened by continued pricing headwinds and regulatory risks. The Q&A section further emphasizes concerns about market conditions and lack of specific guidance on cost trends. These factors combined suggest a negative stock price reaction, likely in the -2% to -8% range over the next two weeks.
