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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call highlights significant patient access expansion for Vafseo, improved financial performance, and positive physician feedback on clinical data. Although there are operational challenges, strategies are in place to address them. The Q&A reveals enthusiasm for the product and progress in partnerships, despite some uncertainties. Overall, the company's optimistic revenue growth expectations, patient access expansion, and improved net income suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Total revenues $58.8 million this quarter, compared to $37.4 million in Q3 of last year, representing an increase of over $21 million. This increase was driven by sales of Vafseo and an increase in Auryxia sales.
Net product revenues $56.8 million this quarter, compared to $35.6 million in Q3 of last year. This increase was driven by Vafseo sales of $14.3 million and Auryxia sales of $42.5 million, compared to $35.6 million in Q3 of last year.
Cost of goods sold Decreased to $9.4 million this quarter, compared to $14.2 million in Q3 of last year. The decrease was primarily due to no longer recording a $9 million quarterly noncash amortization charge related to Auryxia's acquired developed product rights, which is now fully amortized.
R&D expenses Increased to $14.9 million this quarter, compared to $8.5 million in Q3 of last year. The increase was driven by higher clinical trial program activities, including the VOICE and VOCAL studies, and higher headcount-related costs.
SG&A expenses Increased to $29.1 million this quarter, compared to $26.5 million in Q3 of last year. The increase was primarily driven by higher marketing costs for the Vafseo U.S. launch and increased headcount-related expenses.
Net income Approximately $540,000 this quarter, compared to a net loss of $20 million in Q3 of last year. This improvement was driven by increased net product revenues, partially offset by higher operating expenses.
Cash position $166.4 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q3. The company believes this is sufficient to fund its current operating plan to profitability.
Vafseo launch progress: Generated $14.3 million in revenue this quarter, with more total prescriptions in the first 41 weeks than any recent dialysis launch. Expanded accessible patients from 40,000 to 70,000 by the end of Q3.
Clinical data for Vafseo: Presented data at ASN meeting showing lower risk of death or hospitalization compared to ESA control. Planning to publish new data to support clinical differentiation.
New dosing protocols: U.S. Renal Care implementing a 3 times weekly dosing protocol in Q1 2026, expected to improve adherence and compliance.
Market expansion for Vafseo: Expanded prescribing access to over 260,000 patients, including a successful DaVita pilot and rollout to all DaVita clinics, covering over 200,000 patients.
Auryxia sales: Increased to $42.5 million this quarter from $35.6 million in Q3 last year, despite losing IP exclusivity.
Operational challenges for Vafseo: Faced delays in aligning logistics and processes for home delivery and adherence issues in dialysis environments. Addressing these through retraining and protocol adjustments.
Cost management: Cost of goods sold decreased due to fully amortized Auryxia product rights and prelaunch inventory for Vafseo.
Pipeline advancements: VOICE and VOCAL studies underway to generate further data for Vafseo, with results expected in 2026 and 2027.
Profitability outlook: Achieved net income of $540,000 this quarter, driven by increased revenues and cost management. Existing cash resources are sufficient to fund operations to profitability.
Operational challenges in Vafseo launch: The company is facing delays in aligning logistics and processes for the new therapy, particularly for home delivery, which is a departure from traditional anemia treatment methods. This has impacted the speed of getting patients on therapy and maintaining adherence.
Lower-than-expected adherence rates: Adherence rates for Vafseo, particularly at USRC, are lower than expected, which is impacting growth. Efforts to improve adherence include retraining sales teams and adjusting protocols, but challenges remain.
Regulatory and protocol hurdles: Some dialysis organizations, such as DCI, have not yet enabled broad prescribing access through a protocol, delaying broader adoption of Vafseo.
Transition to new dosing regimens: The shift to three-times-weekly (TIW) dosing and the use of 300-milligram tablets for in-center use could impact inventory levels in Q4 and require operational adjustments.
Uncertain future Auryxia sales: Auryxia, which lost IP exclusivity in March, faces uncertainty due to potential additional generic competition, making future sales levels challenging to predict.
Increased operational costs: R&D and SG&A expenses have increased due to higher clinical trial activities, marketing costs for Vafseo's U.S. launch, and increased headcount-related expenses.
Future clinical trial readouts: The VOICE study, adopting the Win-Odds endpoint, is expected to read out in early 2027. Additionally, the VOCAL study results, conducted at DaVita clinics, are anticipated in late 2026. These studies aim to provide critical data to support the long-term growth of Vafseo prescribing.
Label expansion and dosing protocols: Plans to engage with the FDA to add three-times-weekly (TIW) dosing to the Vafseo label. U.S. Renal Care (USRC) is implementing a TIW dosing protocol in their clinics, aiming for full availability by Q1 2026. This change is expected to improve patient adherence and compliance.
Market access and prescribing expansion: Prescribing access for Vafseo has increased to over 260,000 patients. DaVita has rolled out Vafseo to all its clinics, providing access to over 200,000 patients. IRC and other smaller providers are expected to drive broader adoption in Q1 2026.
Operational improvements and adherence: Efforts are underway to address operational challenges and improve patient adherence, particularly at USRC. Adjustments to protocols and retraining of sales teams are expected to enhance adherence rates and support growth.
Revenue and growth expectations: With expanded prescribing access and operational improvements, dialysis organizations are expected to increase ordering in Q4 2025, building momentum into 2026. The company aims to make Vafseo the standard of care for dialysis patients.
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The earnings call highlights significant patient access expansion for Vafseo, improved financial performance, and positive physician feedback on clinical data. Although there are operational challenges, strategies are in place to address them. The Q&A reveals enthusiasm for the product and progress in partnerships, despite some uncertainties. Overall, the company's optimistic revenue growth expectations, patient access expansion, and improved net income suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presented strong financial performance with record revenues and improved net income, which is positive. However, concerns about regulatory risks, generic competition, and economic pressures in the dialysis market were highlighted, which could impact future growth. The Q&A revealed uncertainties about trial timelines and competitive dynamics. Despite positive earnings, these risks and uncertainties balance the sentiment, leading to a neutral prediction for the stock price over the next two weeks.
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