ADT Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ADT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ADT sees a +1.36% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.43% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ADT Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.24B
0.51%
3.26%
Gross Margin
55.19%
2.30%
-1.43%
Operating Margin
26.37%
19.97%
11.03%
Net Margin
10.61%
735.33%
1.24%
EPS
0.13
244.44%
30.00%
No Data Available
ADT Earnings Analysis
ADT Inc. Corporation (ADT.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Recurring Revenue Increase: A record recurring monthly revenue balance of $359 million, up 2%, benefited from strong attrition results at 12.8%.
Revenue Growth and Investment Balance: Total revenue grew 5% versus the prior year, while remaining focused on balancing profitability and investments for the future.
EBITDA and Cash Flow Growth: Adjusted EBITDA was up 6% and we continue to deliver strong free cash flows.
Leverage Ratio Analysis: Our leverage ratio net debt to adjusted EBITDA is now at 2.9x.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Growth: We generated $520 million of adjusted free cash flow up 28% and already near last year's full year $525 million.
Negative
Discontinued Operations Reporting: The former Commercial and Solar segment are reported as discontinued operations.
Quarterly Profit Decline: Adjusted net income for the quarter was $183 million or $0.20 per share, indicating a decline in profitability.
Quarterly Revenue Performance: Total revenue for the quarter was $1.2 billion, which, despite being up 5%, reflects challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Bulk Purchase Impact: The strategic bulk account purchase resulted in an outflow of $81 million, impacting cash flow negatively.
Net Debt Reduction: The overall net debt of $7.4 billion is down $1.9 billion from a year ago, but still indicates a significant leverage position.
ADT FAQs
How does ADT typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is ADT Inc. (ADT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
ADT Earning Call Sentiment
ADT Inc. (ADT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
ADT.N
-3.35%Positive
The earnings call summary presents strong financial metrics, including increased revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, alongside a reduced net debt ratio. The share repurchase plan and improved EPS guidance further support a positive outlook. Despite competitive pressures and economic challenges, the reaffirmed guidance and strategic initiatives like the Google partnership suggest resilience. The Q&A session did not reveal significant negative sentiments, and the bulk deal is expected to perform well. These factors indicate a likely positive stock price movement in the short term.