The chart below shows how AC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AC sees a -4.02% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.00% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.99%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Q4 Revenue Surge: Total consolidated revenues in Q4 rose 29.9% to MXN 64.9 billion, driven by strong volume performance across most operations, effective pricing, and favorable exchange rates.
EBITDA Growth and Margin: Consolidated EBITDA for the quarter grew 41.7%, resulting in a margin of 21.8%, the highest consolidated EBITDA margin in the past eight years.
Record Volume Growth: In Mexico, unit case volume grew an outstanding 7.8% in Q4, achieving all-time volume records for both the quarter and the year, with total net sales rising 15.4% to MXN 27.8 billion.
Record Sales and EBITDA Growth: The U.S. business achieved record bottom line performance with net sales for the quarter rising by 8.3% to $1.1 billion, and EBITDA for the quarter grew 25.6% to $215 million, with a margin of 19.2%.
Sustainability Index Inclusion: Arca Continental was included in the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index for the first time, recognizing its commitment to corporate governance, ethics, and sustainability practices.
Negative
Consolidated Volume Growth Decline: Total consolidated volume growth was flat for the full year, a significant decline from the previous years' growth rates of 4.3% in 2023, 4% in 2022, and 5.8% in 2021.
South America Volume Decline: Total volume in South America declined by 5.5% for the full year, with Argentina experiencing a notable drop of 6.6% in the fourth quarter, indicating ongoing challenges in the region.
Revenue Growth Slowdown: Despite a 29.9% increase in consolidated revenues for Q4, the total revenue growth for the full year was only 10.9%, suggesting a slowdown in overall business momentum.
Price Increase vs. Volume Growth: Average price per case in Mexico rose by 7.2% in Q4, but the overall volume growth was only 2.1% for the year, indicating potential pricing pressure and reduced consumer demand.
Rising Financial Expenses: Financial expenses more than doubled in Q4, primarily due to unfavorable currency exchange rate impacts and hyperinflationary accounting in Argentina, raising concerns about future financial stability.
Earnings call transcript: Arca Continental reports robust Q4 2024 growth
AC.N
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