ABR Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how ABR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ABR sees a -4.81% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.98% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.76%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
ABR Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
354.36M
-12.69%
-2.20%
Gross Margin
--
--
--
Operating Margin
21.33%
-13.78%
29.82%
Net Margin
20.75%
-11.40%
21.56%
EPS
0.28
-20.00%
21.74%
No Data Available
ABR Earnings Analysis
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Corporation (ABR.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Quarterly Earnings Performance: Strong quarterly earnings of $88 million or $0.43 per share, translating to a return on equity of approximately 14%.
Loan Modifications Overview: Modified another $1.2 billion in loans, with $710 million of those loans requiring borrowers to invest additional capital to recap their deals.
Delinquency Reduction Analysis: Total delinquencies decreased by 10% to $945 million at September 30 compared to $1.05 billion at June 30, representing a 30% decrease.
Operational Cash Flow Performance: Generated $415 million in cash from operations for the nine months, down from $94 million last quarter, indicating strong operational cash flow management.
Agency Business Performance: The agency business generated $1.1 billion in originations, maintaining strong performance in a challenging market.
Negative
Decline in Profitability: Earnings of $88 million or $0.43 per share, translating into ROEs of approximately 14% for the third quarter, indicate a decline in profitability compared to previous periods.
Loan Modification Surge: A total of $1.2 billion in loans were modified in the third quarter, reflecting a significant increase in loan restructuring activities due to financial stress.
Decline in Operating Cash Flow: Operating cash flow dipped to $68 million in the third quarter, down from $94 million in the previous quarter, indicating a decline in cash generation capabilities.
Delinquency Rate Improvement: Total delinquencies decreased to $945 million at September 30, down 10% from $1.05 billion at June 30, but still reflect ongoing challenges in loan performance.
Rising Borrowing Costs: The average cost of funds in our debt facilities increased slightly to 7.58% for the third quarter, compared to 7.54% for the second quarter, indicating rising borrowing costs.
ABR FAQs
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ABR Earning Call Sentiment
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
ABR.N
0.07%Positive
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. While there is strong performance in areas like agency originations and reduced delinquencies, concerns about high interest rates, regulatory risks, and competitive pressures persist. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in their dividend level and no significant realized losses, but the lack of clarity on the DOJ inquiry raises uncertainties. Adjusting for these factors, the stock is likely to remain stable over the next two weeks, resulting in a neutral sentiment rating.