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09988
BABA-W
HKD
89.500
-5.500
(-5.79%)
1D
AI Analysis for 09988
AI Analysis
High
92.500
Open
92.000
VWAP
89.95
Vol
176.21M
Mkt Cap
3.06T
Low
88.650
Amount
15.85B
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
16.70
Total Shares
19.10B
EV
228.85B
EV/OCF(TTM)
21.37
P/S(TTM)
1.58
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd is an investment holding company mainly engaged in the provision of technology infrastructure and marketing platforms. The Company operates its business through four segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment is mainly engaged in E-commerce business, including operating Tmall Supermarket and Tmall Global, providing customer management services, product sales, as well as logistics services. It also operates quick commerce business such as Taobao Instant Commerce and Ele.me, as well as the China commerce wholesale business through 1688.com. The Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group segment is mainly engaged in international commerce retail and wholesale business, operating platforms such as AliExpress, Trendyol, Lazada and Alibaba.com. The Cloud Intelligence Group segment mainly provides public and non-public cloud services. The Other segments primarily include the operations of Freshippo, Cainiao, Alibaba Health and other business.
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News

aastocks
4.0
03-23aastocks
<Research>CMSI Reduces BABA-W (09988.HK) Price Target to $170, Maintains Overweight Rating
  • Financial Results: BABA-W reported financial results for Q3 FY2025, with revenue and adjusted EBITA falling 2% and 27% below expectations, primarily due to weak e-commerce growth and high investments in instant retail and AI, resulting in a 7% drop in share price.

  • Growth Prospects: Despite the disappointing results, analysts believe BABA-W's growth prospects are improving, presenting a favorable entry point for long-term investors, leading to a reduction in target prices for its US stock and H-shares.

aastocks
4.0
03-23aastocks
JPM Maintains Overweight Rating on BABA-W (09988.HK); Alibaba Cloud and Quick Commerce Valuations Ignored
  • JP Morgan's Analysis of Alibaba: JP Morgan's report indicates that Alibaba's stock is undervalued, primarily reflecting only its domestic e-commerce earnings, while overlooking the potential of Alibaba Cloud and quick commerce platforms.

  • Forecast Adjustments: The broker has lowered its revenue and adjusted EPS forecasts for Alibaba for FY26 and FY27, resulting in a reduction of the target stock price for both US and H-share listings.

  • Alibaba Cloud Growth: Alibaba Cloud has shown significant revenue growth, rebounding to 36% in the latest quarter, with AI product revenue experiencing triple-digit growth for ten consecutive quarters.

  • Jefferies' Position: Jefferies has also adjusted its target price for Alibaba to $206 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing improvements in quick commerce fundamentals.

aastocks
3.5
03-23aastocks
Alibaba's Qianwen Allegedly Introduces AI-Powered Ride-Hailing Functionality
  • Stock Performance: BABA-W (09988.HK) experienced a decline of 2.183%, with short selling amounting to $3.72 billion and a ratio of 14.488%.

  • AI Ride-Hailing Feature: Alibaba's Qianwen has introduced an AI ride-hailing feature that allows users to perform tasks like vehicle selection and scheduling through voice commands.

  • Integrated Services: Qianwen leverages Alibaba's ecosystem to provide a range of integrated services, including flight, hotel, and taxi bookings.

  • Analyst Outlook: UBS maintains a "Buy" rating on BABA-W, noting that while recent results missed expectations, the long-term outlook remains positive.

aastocks
3.5
03-22aastocks
Joseph Tsai of BABA-W: The Primary Aim of AI Is to Make AI Applications Widely Accessible
  • Joseph Tsai's Speech: At the China Development Forum 2026 Annual Meeting, Joseph Tsai discussed four key factors for the success and growth of the AI industry in China.

  • China's Manufacturing Advantage: Tsai highlighted that China possesses the world's largest manufacturing system, contributing nearly 30% of global manufacturing added value, which is crucial for AI development.

  • Digitalization and Data Utilization: The rapid digitalization of China's vast production network generates massive industrial data, which is essential for training industrial AI.

  • AI's Societal Impact: Tsai emphasized that the ultimate goal of AI is to not only develop advanced models but also to make AI applications widely accessible for societal benefits.

aastocks
4.5
03-13aastocks
HKD8B Net Inflow to TRACKER FUND from Southbound Trading
  • Southbound Trading Inflows: TRACKER FUND (02800.HK) saw significant net inflows of HKD8 billion, with HKD5.9 billion from Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and HKD2.1 billion from Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect.

  • Short Selling Activity: The short selling for TRACKER FUND reached $9.87 billion, with a ratio of 48.692%, while other notable stocks like HSCEI ETF and TENCENT also experienced substantial short selling.

  • Net Outflows: BABA-W (09988.HK) recorded the highest net outflow of HKD287.3 million, while HUA HONG SEMI (01347.HK) had a net outflow of HKD242.4 million.

  • Overall Trading Summary: The total Southbound Trading net outflow was HKD0, accounting for 47.17% of the total transaction amount of HKD116.3 billion.

Money Flow
Over the past 66 trading days, overall net money flow is -1.23B, with retail investors contributing -18.73M and major investors adding -644.66M.
Net Buy $ Volume
Net Sell $ Volume
Nomura
Buy
downgrade
$207 -> $178
2026-06-25
New
Reason
Nomura revised its forecast for Alibaba's e-commerce performance due to a weakening market, projecting flat same-store CMR and an 8% decline in reported CMR for the June quarter. Despite this, strong growth in Alibaba Cloud is expected to offset e-commerce downturns, leading Nomura to maintain a Buy rating while lowering the ADR target price from USD 207 to USD 178.
Nomura
Buy
Price Target
$207 -> $178
2026-06-25
downgrade
New
Nomura revised its forecast for Alibaba's e-commerce performance due to a weakening market, projecting flat same-store CMR and an 8% decline in reported CMR for the June quarter. Despite this, strong growth in Alibaba Cloud is expected to offset e-commerce downturns, leading Nomura to maintain a Buy rating while lowering the ADR target price from USD 207 to USD 178.
Nomura
Nomura
Buy
downgrade
$207 -> $178
2026-06-25
New
Reason
Nomura revised its forecast for Alibaba's same-store CMR to flat YoY and projected a decline in reported CMR by 8% YoY due to weak e-commerce sales. However, the strong growth of Alibaba Cloud is expected to offset the downturn in e-commerce, leading Nomura to maintain a Buy rating while lowering the ADR target price from USD207 to USD178.
Nomura
Buy
Price Target
$207 -> $178
2026-06-25
downgrade
New
Nomura revised its forecast for Alibaba's same-store CMR to flat YoY and projected a decline in reported CMR by 8% YoY due to weak e-commerce sales. However, the strong growth of Alibaba Cloud is expected to offset the downturn in e-commerce, leading Nomura to maintain a Buy rating while lowering the ADR target price from USD207 to USD178.
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs
Buy
maintain
HKD180
2026-06-11
Reason
Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating for BABA-W due to expectations of improved earnings performance in the second half of the year, despite a 22% decline in share price year to date caused by downward revisions in earnings forecasts. The firm is optimistic about the company's leadership in AI and cloud businesses, predicting significant growth in cloud revenue and AI-related products.
Goldman Sachs
Buy
Price Target
HKD180
2026-06-11
maintain
Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating for BABA-W due to expectations of improved earnings performance in the second half of the year, despite a 22% decline in share price year to date caused by downward revisions in earnings forecasts. The firm is optimistic about the company's leadership in AI and cloud businesses, predicting significant growth in cloud revenue and AI-related products.
CICC
CICC
Outperform
maintain
2026-05-15
Reason
CICC maintained an Outperform rating for Alibaba due to strong growth in Alibaba Cloud, despite a decline in adjusted EBITA and a slight reduction in revenue forecasts for FY2027-28. The firm raised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.
CICC
Outperform
Price Target
2026-05-15
maintain
CICC maintained an Outperform rating for Alibaba due to strong growth in Alibaba Cloud, despite a decline in adjusted EBITA and a slight reduction in revenue forecasts for FY2027-28. The firm raised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.
CICC
CICC
Outperform
maintain
2026-05-15
Reason
CICC maintained an Outperform rating for Alibaba (BABA-W) despite lowering its revenue forecasts for fiscal 2027-2028 by 3% to 4%. The firm raised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts by 5% to 9%, citing strong growth in Alibaba Cloud's revenue driven by Model-as-a-Service and improvements in the fast e-commerce segment. The report highlights that Alibaba Cloud's revenue is expected to continue growing significantly, which supports the positive outlook.
CICC
Outperform
Price Target
2026-05-15
maintain
CICC maintained an Outperform rating for Alibaba (BABA-W) despite lowering its revenue forecasts for fiscal 2027-2028 by 3% to 4%. The firm raised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts by 5% to 9%, citing strong growth in Alibaba Cloud's revenue driven by Model-as-a-Service and improvements in the fast e-commerce segment. The report highlights that Alibaba Cloud's revenue is expected to continue growing significantly, which supports the positive outlook.
JP Morgan
JP Morgan
upgrade
2026-05-15
Reason
JP Morgan upgraded its rating on Alibaba due to strong growth in its cloud business, with external cloud revenue increasing by 40% and expectations for the cloud EBITA margin to rise to double digits. The firm also raised its earnings forecasts for FY2027 and FY2028, reflecting improved prospects for Alibaba's cloud margins, while noting that the market has not fully recognized the value of Alibaba's cloud business.
JP Morgan
Price Target
2026-05-15
upgrade
JP Morgan upgraded its rating on Alibaba due to strong growth in its cloud business, with external cloud revenue increasing by 40% and expectations for the cloud EBITA margin to rise to double digits. The firm also raised its earnings forecasts for FY2027 and FY2028, reflecting improved prospects for Alibaba's cloud margins, while noting that the market has not fully recognized the value of Alibaba's cloud business.
CMBI
CMBI
maintain
2026-05-14
Reason
CMBI maintains a Buy rating for Alibaba due to its strong outlook for cloud business growth, driven by increasing demand and potential margin expansion. Despite a slight miss in revenue expectations for the quarter, the cloud segment showed significant year-on-year growth, and the broker anticipates further acceleration in this area, which could lead to a re-rating of the stock.
CMBI
Price Target
2026-05-14
maintain
CMBI maintains a Buy rating for Alibaba due to its strong outlook for cloud business growth, driven by increasing demand and potential margin expansion. Despite a slight miss in revenue expectations for the quarter, the cloud segment showed significant year-on-year growth, and the broker anticipates further acceleration in this area, which could lead to a re-rating of the stock.
CMBI
CMBI
maintain
2026-05-14
Reason
CMBI maintains a positive outlook on Alibaba Group due to its strong cloud business growth and potential benefits from AI developments. Despite a slight miss in revenue expectations, the cloud segment showed accelerating growth, and the broker anticipates further revenue acceleration and margin expansion. Additionally, improvements in the instant retail business are expected to enhance the company's capacity for AI investments. As a result, CMBI raised its price target for Alibaba's US stock and maintained a Buy rating.
CMBI
Price Target
2026-05-14
maintain
CMBI maintains a positive outlook on Alibaba Group due to its strong cloud business growth and potential benefits from AI developments. Despite a slight miss in revenue expectations, the cloud segment showed accelerating growth, and the broker anticipates further revenue acceleration and margin expansion. Additionally, improvements in the instant retail business are expected to enhance the company's capacity for AI investments. As a result, CMBI raised its price target for Alibaba's US stock and maintained a Buy rating.
HSBC
HSBC Global Investment Research
maintain
2026-05-14
Reason
HSBC Global Investment Research is optimistic about Alibaba's AI commercialization, predicting accelerated growth in its AI-driven cloud business with significant margin improvements in the coming quarters. The firm maintained a Buy rating and raised its earnings forecasts for FY27 and FY28, citing factors such as increased MaaS revenue, GPU leasing, and a shift towards higher-margin services. They also expect cloud margins to benefit from rising CPU prices and enhanced efficiency from in-house chips.
HSBC
Price Target
2026-05-14
maintain
HSBC Global Investment Research is optimistic about Alibaba's AI commercialization, predicting accelerated growth in its AI-driven cloud business with significant margin improvements in the coming quarters. The firm maintained a Buy rating and raised its earnings forecasts for FY27 and FY28, citing factors such as increased MaaS revenue, GPU leasing, and a shift towards higher-margin services. They also expect cloud margins to benefit from rising CPU prices and enhanced efficiency from in-house chips.
HSBC
HSBC Research
Buy
maintain
2026-05-14
Reason
HSBC Research is optimistic about Alibaba's AI commercialization, expecting significant growth in its AI-driven cloud business and improved margins over the next two quarters. The firm maintained a Buy rating and raised its EBITA forecasts for fiscal years 2027 and 2028 by 40% to 50%. They anticipate that the Model-as-a-Service (MaaS) revenue will grow rapidly, contributing to stronger cloud business expansion, and expect cloud margins to improve due to rising CPU prices and a shift towards higher-margin services.
HSBC
Buy
Price Target
2026-05-14
maintain
HSBC Research is optimistic about Alibaba's AI commercialization, expecting significant growth in its AI-driven cloud business and improved margins over the next two quarters. The firm maintained a Buy rating and raised its EBITA forecasts for fiscal years 2027 and 2028 by 40% to 50%. They anticipate that the Model-as-a-Service (MaaS) revenue will grow rapidly, contributing to stronger cloud business expansion, and expect cloud margins to improve due to rising CPU prices and a shift towards higher-margin services.
Valuation Metrics

Forward PE

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
5Y Average PE
11.84
Current PE
20.20
Overvalued PE
15.91
Undervalued PE
7.76

Forward EV/EBITDA

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.84
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
12.17
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
5.51

Forward PS

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
1.90
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
2.47
Undervalued PS
1.32

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