Where is Nvidia? Chinese rivals take the limelight at major AI event in Shanghai
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 28 2025
0mins
Should l Buy NTES?
Source: CNBC
Nvidia's Absence at AI Conference: Nvidia did not participate in China's World AI Conference despite hopes of resuming sales of its H20 chips, while Huawei showcased its Ascend AI chips and computing systems, indicating a competitive landscape in the Chinese tech market.
Shift Towards Domestic Alternatives: With U.S. restrictions limiting Nvidia's advanced chip sales to China, local companies like Huawei and others are emerging as viable alternatives, highlighting China's push for tech self-sufficiency and advancements in AI capabilities.
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Analyst Views on NTES
Wall Street analysts forecast NTES stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NTES is 157.33 USD with a low forecast of 135.00 USD and a high forecast of 166.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 118.500
Low
135.00
Averages
157.33
High
166.00
Current: 118.500
Low
135.00
Averages
157.33
High
166.00
About NTES
NetEase Inc is a company principally engaged in the gaming business. The Company operates through four segments. Games and Related Value-Added Services segment is engaged in the development and sale of mobile games, game operations, and other value-added services, including in-game virtual items and prepaid credits. Youdao segment provides learning services, smart devices, and online marketing services. The segment's products and services include online courses and digital content services. NetEase Cloud Music segment provides online music services, social entertainment services, and other services through the sale of membership subscriptions for various content and service packages, primarily through the sale of virtual items. Innovative Businesses and Others segment provides rigorous selection, advertising services, email, and other value-added services.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Diverse Content Ecosystem: The company expanded its copyrighted music library and actively promoted original music, with over 1 million independent artists contributing 5.6 million tracks, enriching the platform's content and enhancing user stickiness and appeal.
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- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 3.76% not only provides a steady return for investors but may also attract more income-seeking investors to consider NetEase's stock.
- Financial Performance Overview: Despite NetEase's non-GAAP EPADS of $1.58 in Q3 2025 missing expectations by $0.46 and revenue of $3.9 billion falling short by $250 million, the company continues to maintain its dividend payments, demonstrating financial resilience.
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- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, NetEase has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 38% of the time, indicating a degree of volatility in its financial performance.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 6 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced 5 upward and 6 downward revisions, reflecting market caution regarding the company's future performance.
- Q3 Earnings Performance: In its 2025 Q3 earnings report, NetEase reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.07, missing estimates by $0.02, and revenue of $3.98 billion, falling short of expectations by $120 million, highlighting pressure on the company's profitability and revenue.
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- Strong Financial Performance: NetEase reported total net revenues of RMB 112.6 billion for 2025, a 7% year-over-year increase, with RMB 92.1 billion from games and value-added services, demonstrating the company's solid market leadership with 23 consecutive years of growth in online gaming.
- AI-Driven Transformation: The company has comprehensively integrated AI into its internal workflows, utilizing proprietary tools like CodeMaker and DreamMaker to accelerate development and reduce costs, which enhances product quality and efficiency, indicating a significant shift in future game development.
- Global Product Milestones: The game
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- Gaming Segment Growth: Revenues from games and related value-added services increased by 3.4% to $3.14 billion, with gross margin rising 384 basis points to 70.5%, reflecting the successful launch of self-developed games like Fantasy Westward Journey Online and Where Winds Meet.
- Cloud Music and Innovation Challenges: NetEase Cloud Music's revenue grew by 4.7% to $281.46 million, with gross margin expanding by 273 basis points to 34.7%, while innovative businesses saw a 10.4% decline in revenue to $292.77 million, indicating challenges in the diversification strategy.
- Dividend and Cash Flow: The board approved a dividend of 23.2 cents per share, up from 11.4 cents in Q3, demonstrating robust cash flow with $2.12 billion generated in operating cash flow for the quarter, which enhances shareholder return confidence.
See More
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- Revenue and Profit Growth: In FY 2025, NetEase Cloud Music reported revenue of RMB 7,759.45 million, a slight increase of 0.1%, while operating profit surged by 38.5% to RMB 1,621.95 million, indicating robust growth and improved profitability in the music streaming market.
- User Engagement Increase: The DAU/MAU ratio exceeded 30% in 2025, driven by enhanced user experience and brand awareness, which contributed to steady growth in user engagement and solidified the platform's position among young users.
- Diverse Content Ecosystem: The company expanded its copyrighted music library and actively promoted original music, with over 1 million independent artists contributing 5.6 million tracks, enriching the platform's content and enhancing user stickiness and appeal.
- Innovative Product Features: In 2025, NetEase Cloud Music introduced the AI recommendation model Climber and several innovative features like the
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NetEase Declares $1.16 Quarterly Dividend with 3.76% Yield
- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: NetEase (NTES) has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.16 per ADS, payable on March 27, which reflects the company's stable cash flow amidst current market conditions.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 3.76% not only provides a steady return for investors but may also attract more income-seeking investors to consider NetEase's stock.
- Financial Performance Overview: Despite NetEase's non-GAAP EPADS of $1.58 in Q3 2025 missing expectations by $0.46 and revenue of $3.9 billion falling short by $250 million, the company continues to maintain its dividend payments, demonstrating financial resilience.
- Future Outlook: With the Q4 2025 earnings report approaching, investors will closely monitor how NetEase addresses the decline in revenue and operating profit to assess its long-term growth potential and dividend sustainability.
See More
