Wednesday's ETF with Unusual Volume: GEME
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 01 2025
0mins
Should l Buy YMM?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Trading Highlights: On Wednesday, Alibaba Group saw a decline of about 1.9% with over 8.3 million shares traded, while Full Truck Alliance increased by approximately 1.4% on a volume of over 3.5 million shares. KT underperformed, dropping around 2.2%.
Market Commentary: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on YMM
Wall Street analysts forecast YMM stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.870
Low
8.00
Averages
12.30
High
14.50
Current: 9.870
Low
8.00
Averages
12.30
High
14.50
About YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd is a holding company primarily engaged in the operation of the digital freight platform FTA. The Company is primarily engaged in the provision of freight matching services. The services primarily include freight listing service, freight brokerage service, as well as online transaction service, which digitalizes the shipping transaction process. The Company is also engaged in the provision of value-added services, including cash credit solutions and working capital loans, insurance brokerage, software solutions, electronic toll collection (ETC) services, as well as energy services. The Company primarily operates its businesses in the domestic market.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Share Increase: North of South Capital disclosed a purchase of 240,446 shares of Full Truck Alliance on February 12, with an estimated trade value of $2.88 million, indicating ongoing confidence in the company.
- Position Value Fluctuation: Despite the increase, the value of North of South's position in Full Truck Alliance fell by $21.18 million due to nearly a 20% drop in share price, reflecting market skepticism.
- Core Holding Proportion: Full Truck Alliance now comprises 10.46% of North of South's reportable assets, underscoring its significance in the investment portfolio despite overall poor performance.
- Business Growth Potential: Despite stock volatility, Q3 2025 net revenue rose 10.8% year-over-year, with order volume increasing by 22.3%, indicating Full Truck Alliance's strong competitiveness in the digital freight platform sector.
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- Share Increase Details: North of South Capital reported a purchase of 240,446 shares of Full Truck Alliance (YMM) in Q4 2025, valued at approximately $2.88 million, despite an overall position value decline of $21.18 million due to stock price fluctuations, highlighting the impact of market volatility on the portfolio.
- Position Value Analysis: As of quarter-end, North of South Capital's stake in Full Truck Alliance totaled 10,847,821 shares valued at $116.40 million, representing 10.46% of its reportable assets under management, indicating the significance of this investment in its overall portfolio.
- Financial Performance Overview: Despite YMM shares experiencing a nearly 20% drop in Q4, which significantly reduced the position's value, the company reported a 10.8% year-over-year increase in net revenue to $471.7 million in Q3, demonstrating operational resilience.
- Market Outlook: With an average of 3.35 million monthly active shippers and rising order volumes, alongside $4.4 billion in cash and investments, YMM maintains a competitive edge in the logistics sector, suggesting that long-term investors should focus on the potential expansion of its ecosystem services.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: KWEB ETF's 52-week low is $27.825 per share and high is $43.365, with the last trade at $33.24, indicating relative stability within its trading range, which may attract investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper insights into market trends, aiding in optimizing investment decisions.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, reflecting changes in market interest for the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and market sentiment.
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- Shareholder Return Plan: Full Truck Alliance's Board has approved a long-term shareholder return plan to distribute 50% of the previous fiscal year's adjusted income through dividends or share repurchases, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder interests.
- Return Amount Set: The Board has decided to return a total of $400 million to shareholders in fiscal 2026, with at least $300 million distributed through quarterly dividends and the remainder via share repurchases, enhancing investor confidence.
- Dividend Strategy: By implementing this return plan, Full Truck Alliance not only stabilizes shareholder earnings but also attracts more investor attention, thereby increasing its competitiveness in the digital freight platform market.
- Financial Health Indicator: This plan signals that Full Truck Alliance is in a strong financial position to continue creating value for shareholders in the coming years, further solidifying its leadership in the industry.
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- Shareholder Return Plan: Full Truck Alliance has announced a commitment to distribute no less than 50% of its non-GAAP adjusted net income annually, reflecting a strong focus on shareholder interests and likely boosting investor confidence.
- Return Amount Approved: The Board has approved a total return of $400 million to shareholders in fiscal year 2026, with at least $300 million allocated for quarterly dividends, indicating robust cash flow and profitability.
- Dividend and Buyback Strategy: By combining quarterly dividends with stock repurchases, Full Truck Alliance aims to provide stable returns to shareholders while enhancing earnings per share, which could increase the attractiveness of its stock and drive price appreciation.
- Financial Performance Context: The company reported a GAAP EPS of $0.12 and revenue of $471.7 million in its latest earnings report, providing a solid foundation for the shareholder return plan and signaling potential for sustained growth in the future.
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- Shareholder Return Plan: Full Truck Alliance's board has approved a long-term shareholder return plan, committing to distribute no less than 50% of the previous fiscal year's non-GAAP adjusted net income through dividends and/or share repurchases, reflecting the company's dedication to shareholder value.
- 2026 Return Amount: The company plans to return a total of $400 million to shareholders in fiscal year 2026, with at least $300 million allocated for quarterly dividends and the remainder for market repurchases, aimed at boosting investor confidence and enhancing shareholder returns.
- Board Review Mechanism: The specifics of the plan require board approval, and the board will continuously evaluate the company's financial performance and business plans, potentially adjusting the return strategy to align with corporate objectives.
- Digital Freight Platform Advantage: As a leading digital freight platform, Full Truck Alliance is committed to enhancing logistics efficiency through technology, aiming to drive industry innovation and strengthen market competitiveness while reducing carbon footprints, aligning with sustainable development strategies.
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