Devon Energy increases FY25 oil production forecast
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 05 2025
0mins
Should l Buy DVN?
Production Forecast Increase: Devon has raised its full-year 2025 oil production forecast to between 384,000 and 390,000 barrels per day, along with an increase in total production outlook to 825,000 to 842,000 Boe per day.
Capital Guidance Revision: The company has adjusted its full-year capital guidance down to $3.6 billion to $3.8 billion, reflecting a $100 million reduction due to successful business optimization efforts over the past two quarters.
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Analyst Views on DVN
Wall Street analysts forecast DVN stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 44.040
Low
41.00
Averages
45.53
High
55.00
Current: 44.040
Low
41.00
Averages
45.53
High
55.00
About DVN
Devon Energy Corporation is an oil and gas producer in the United States with a diversified multi-basin portfolio headlined by an acreage position in the Delaware Basin. The Company is primarily engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). It owns a portfolio of assets located in the Delaware Basin, Rockies, Eagle Ford and Anadarko Basin. The Delaware Basin operates in southeast New Mexico and across the state line into west Texas. It offers exploration and development opportunities from many geologic reservoirs and play types, including the oil-rich Wolfcamp, Bone Spring, Avalon and Delaware formations. Its Rockies development consists of its Williston Basin and Powder River Basin assets. The Eagle Ford operations are located in Texas' DeWitt and Karnes counties. The Anadarko Basin development is located in western Oklahoma. It has a joint venture with Dow to develop a portion of its Anadarko Basin acreage.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Merger Value Creation: The merger with Coterra Energy is expected to create unique value, with a target of achieving $1 billion in annual run-rate synergies by 2027, significantly enhancing Devon's production capacity in the Delaware Basin and driving overall cash flow growth.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: Devon reported $700 million in free cash flow for Q4 2025, driven by excellent well performance and cost efficiencies, which not only bolstered the company's financial stability but also provided ample funds for shareholder returns.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.24 per share and plans to increase the fixed quarterly dividend by another 31% post-merger, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder returns that is likely to attract further investor interest.
- Business Optimization Progress: Devon has captured 85% of its $1 billion savings target in less than a year, with full achievement expected in 2026, indicating that the company's ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency and capital allocation will lay a solid foundation for future growth.
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- Dividend Increase: Devon Energy has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.315 per share, marking a 31.3% increase from the previous $0.240, which not only enhances shareholder returns but also reflects the company's strong cash flow and profitability.
- Payment Details: The new dividend will be payable on March 31, with a record date of March 13 and an ex-dividend date also on March 13, ensuring shareholders can promptly benefit from the increase, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Merger Outlook: The merger with Coterra Energy positions Devon as the surviving corporation, and this consolidation is seen as meeting several investor criteria, potentially leading to greater market share and synergies that enhance competitive strength.
- Market Reaction: Barclays has upgraded Devon Energy's rating, stating it is “too cheap and too large to ignore,” indicating a positive market sentiment regarding Devon's growth potential post-merger, which may attract more investor interest.
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- Weak Earnings Outlook: Palo Alto Networks forecasts adjusted earnings for Q3 between 78 to 80 cents per share, significantly below the LSEG consensus of 92 cents, resulting in a nearly 6% drop in shares, indicating market concerns over its future profitability.
- Steady Growth Performance: Cadence Design Systems saw its shares rise nearly 4%, projecting full-year adjusted earnings between $8.05 and $8.15 per share, in line with LSEG consensus, while its year-end backlog for 2025 reached a record $7.8 billion, reflecting strong market demand.
- Revenue Exceeds Expectations: Caesars Entertainment reported Q4 revenue of $2.92 billion, surpassing the LSEG consensus of $2.89 billion, with adjusted EBITDA increasing from $20 million last year to $85 million, indicating significant progress in operational recovery.
- Sales Revenue Steady: Toll Brothers reported home sales revenue of $1.85 billion in Q1, matching LSEG consensus, with gross margins at 24.8%, demonstrating the company's stable performance amid competitive market conditions.
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- Merger Announcement: Devon Energy and Coterra Energy have announced a merger, with Devon being the surviving corporation, which aligns with several investor demands and is expected to enhance market competitiveness and resource integration efficiency.
- Positive Market Reaction: The market has reacted positively to the merger news, with analysts generally believing that this merger will provide Devon with significant growth potential, particularly in resource development and cost control.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: Ahead of the merger, Devon Energy was upgraded by Barclays, which stated that its stock is 'too cheap and too large to ignore', indicating increased market confidence in its future performance.
- Strategic Integration Benefits: This merger not only helps Devon Energy expand its market share but also enhances operational efficiency through resource sharing and technological integration, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the energy sector.
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- Earnings Beat: Devon Energy reported quarterly earnings of 82 cents per share, surpassing the analyst estimate of 81 cents, indicating strong profitability and boosting market confidence in future growth prospects.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Quarterly revenue reached $4.12 billion, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $3.85 billion, reflecting the company's enhanced competitiveness and sales capabilities in the market.
- Production Efficiency Improvement: Average production in the fourth quarter was 851,000 Boe per day, exceeding the top-end of guidance, demonstrating the company's exceptional execution in production management and resource allocation.
- Effective Cost Control: Production costs, including taxes, averaged $10.99 per Boe, a 4% reduction from the third quarter, showcasing the company's ongoing optimization in cost management, which contributes to overall profitability.
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