Vital Farms Short Interest Rises to 40.6%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was up 1.8%, the Nasdaq Composite was up 3.7%, the Russell 2000 index was up 1.4%, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas up 1.9% and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas up 1.1% in the five-day trading session range through May 7.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Vital Farmscontinued its steep ascent this week, rising another three percentage points to 40.6% - the highest level on record. Days-to-cover on the name slipped from 5.5 to 4.9 as trading volumes soared to their highest levels of the year after the company reported Q1 results on Thursday. As discussed last week, the resurgence in bearishness since the final week of March coincided with the stock settling into a trading range, though the severe post-earnings decline rewarded shortsellers as shares fell over 20% in a single session. The 5-day period tally through Thursday saw the stock fall 30%, and year-to-date, Vital Farms is now down 70%.Ortex-reported short interest on Kura Sushitroughed at about 27% early last week just as shares slipped to their lowest level of the year. Bears have increased exposure, however, with the stock price settling into a sideways trading range. Short interest as a percentage of free float rose from 27.2% to 30.3% this week while days-to-cover is nudged higher from 6.3 to 6.6. The company is about a month out from reporting its Q2 results in early April, along with the departure of its CFO, which prompted an 18% decline in the stock price, even though the Street bumped up their price targets on the name. In the five-day period covered through Thursday of this week, shares of Kura Sushi were up 2.2%, and year-to-date the stock is up about 8%.Ortex-reported short interest on Fluence Energyhas nudged higher from 25.4% to 26.9% and days-to-cover on the name was unchanged at 4.9. The six-week-long uptrend in bearish positioning will surely be tested in the coming sessions however as the stock is soaring after better-than-expected results out Wednesday evening and positive research notes from sell-side analysts – Roth Capital pointed to Fluence Energy's "significant commercial momentum" in upgrading the stock to a Buy while Goldman Sachs cited the company's data center opportunity in bumping up its price target and retaining its Buy rating. In the five-day period covered, the stock is up 56%, with another 28% gain coming on Friday.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSShares of Newegg Commercehit 2026 lows with a 16% decline in the five-day period covered through Thursday and another 12% selloff on Friday, having now retreated by about 45% from early-April highs in just a three-week span, and short-sellers are seemingly booking profits. In the five-day period covered through Thursday, short interest as a percentage of free float on the online PC hardware and electronics retailer fell from 51.0% all the way down to about 25% - the lowest level since December – according to Ortex data. Days-to-cover on Newegg nudged higher meanwhile, rising from 4.2 to 4.3.Ortex-reported short interest on Concentrixhad reached multi-month highs near 30% entering the final week of April, though bearish positioning has now receded for the second consecutive week, slipping from 26.3% to 20.3% in a 5-day period covered through Thursday. Days-to-cover on the name also slid from 7.0 to 6.3, further skewed by elevated trading volume - the second highest session of the year - seen last Friday. The stock was down sharply after the company reported a Q1 earnings miss in late March and then saw its lowest levels of the year in late April before finding its footing this week - shares were up 7% this week, though year-to-date the stock remains down 39%, with another 5% loss on Friday tracking broader weakness in IT services.
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- Underperformance in Q1: Vital Farms reported net revenue of $187.2 million for Q1 2026, a 15.4% year-over-year increase, yet the results fell short of expectations due to unsustainable price gaps, prompting management to emphasize the need for rapid adaptation to control costs.
- Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: The company has lowered its adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 to a range of $0 to $10 million, anticipating a negative impact of $32 million from supply management costs, indicating increased cash flow pressures.
- Strategic Contraction: Vital Farms has decided to exit its butter business and pause construction on the Vital Crossroads facility in Indiana, reducing capital expenditure guidance to $70 million to $75 million, reflecting a cautious approach to future investments.
- Market Outlook: Management expects revenue-generating volume growth to turn positive in Q3 and anticipates growth acceleration in Q4, despite current pricing pressures and oversupply challenges, aiming to restore gross margins to 30% by 2027.
- Class Action Notice: Rosen Law Firm reminds investors who purchased Vital Farms securities between May 8, 2025, and February 26, 2026, that they must apply to be lead plaintiff by May 26, 2026, or risk losing their representation in the class action lawsuit.
- Potential Compensation Opportunity: Investors participating in the class action may be entitled to compensation without any upfront costs, indicating a risk-free avenue for affected investors to seek recovery, thereby enhancing investor confidence in the process.
- Lawsuit Background: The lawsuit alleges that Vital Farms downplayed the risks associated with delays in rolling out its new ERP system and failed to disclose the impact of these delays on its 2025 earnings guidance and EPS consensus, resulting in investor losses when the truth emerged.
- Law Firm's Advantage: Rosen Law Firm is renowned for its successful track record in securities class actions, having recovered over $438 million for investors in 2019 alone, showcasing its expertise and resource advantages in handling such cases.
- Planet Fitness Earnings Downgrade: Planet Fitness shares fell nearly 33% after the gym operator lowered its full-year earnings outlook, now projecting only a 4% year-over-year growth, down from a previous forecast of 9%-10%, which negatively impacts market confidence.
- Vital Farms Surprise Loss: Vital Farms, the egg producer, dropped 20% following a surprise loss of 3 cents per share in Q1, against analyst expectations of a 6-cent profit, and the company also cut its full-year earnings outlook, indicating increasing industry pressures.
- Datadog Exceeds Expectations: Datadog shares surged 28% after reporting Q1 earnings of 61 cents per share, surpassing the 51-cent consensus, with Q2 revenue guidance between $1.07 billion and $1.08 billion, reflecting strong market demand.
- AAON Revenue Surge: AAON, the air conditioning and heating equipment manufacturer, saw its shares soar 40% after Q1 earnings, EBITDA, and revenue all exceeded Wall Street estimates, raising its full-year revenue guidance by as much as 45%, showcasing robust growth potential.
- Financial Performance Decline: Vital Farms reported a net loss of $1.52 million in Q1, a stark contrast to a profit of $16.90 million in the previous year, indicating a significant deterioration in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Earnings Per Share Drop: The company posted a loss per share of $0.03 compared to earnings of $0.37 last year, reflecting major challenges in profitability that may lead to further declines in stock price.
- Adjusted EBITDA Outlook Downgrade: Adjusted EBITDA fell from $27.48 million last year to $5.02 million, with the fiscal 2026 EBITDA forecast slashed from $105 million to a range of $0 to $10 million, highlighting uncertainty in future profitability.
- Weak Revenue Growth: Although revenue increased from $162.19 million to $187.16 million, the company lowered its fiscal 2026 net revenue guidance to $775 million to $800 million, significantly below the previous forecast of $900 million to $920 million, suggesting potential weakening in market demand.
- Class Action Initiated: Bragar Eagel & Squire has filed a class action lawsuit against Vital Farms (VITL) in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas on behalf of investors who purchased securities between May 8, 2025, and February 26, 2026, indicating significant legal risks for the company.
- False Statement Allegations: The complaint alleges that Vital Farms misled investors by claiming that the risks associated with its new enterprise resource planning (ERP) system were merely hypothetical, while actual delays resulted in the company missing consensus earnings per share, leading to investor losses.
- Investor Rights Protection: Investors must apply by May 26, 2026, to be appointed as lead plaintiffs in the lawsuit, highlighting the potential impact of this case on investor rights and interests.
- Law Firm Background: Bragar Eagel & Squire is a nationally recognized law firm specializing in securities, derivative, and commercial litigation, underscoring its expertise and commitment to investor protection.
- Earnings Announcement: Vital Farms (VITL) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on May 7 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.06, reflecting an 83.8% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $182.37 million, marking a 12.4% year-over-year increase.
- Performance Prediction: Over the past year, VITL has achieved a 100% accuracy rate in beating EPS estimates and a 75% accuracy rate for revenue estimates, indicating the company's reliability in financial forecasting.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates, with 7 downward adjustments, while revenue estimates also saw no upward revisions and 8 downward adjustments, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
- Industry Context: The impending antitrust lawsuit by the DOJ against egg producers may impact the market environment for Vital Farms, potentially posing risks to its future sales and profitability.











