Valneva Projects €155M–€170M Revenue for 2026
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy VALN?
Source: seekingalpha
- 2026 Revenue Outlook: Valneva expects total revenue of €155M–€170M in 2026, with product sales projected at €145M–€160M, reflecting a decline compared to 2025 due to the planned wind-down of third-party sales despite growth in core commercial brands.
- 2025 Financial Performance: The company reported preliminary unaudited revenue of €174.7M for 2025, up from €169.6M in 2024, although product sales fell to €157.9M from €163.3M, primarily due to a 42.3% drop in third-party sales to €19.2M.
- Cash Management Strategy: Valneva emphasized disciplined cash management, expecting a further decline in operating cash burn in 2026 while continuing to fund strategic R&D, ensuring growth in commercial brands despite geopolitical pressures.
- Leadership Renewal: The company renewed Thomas Lingelbach's mandate as CEO for an additional three-year term and confirmed his role as a board member, indicating confidence in the leadership team's stability and direction.
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Analyst Views on VALN
Wall Street analysts forecast VALN stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 10.770
Low
7.55
Averages
10.28
High
13.00
Current: 10.770
Low
7.55
Averages
10.28
High
13.00
About VALN
Valneva SE is a France-based company that specializes in the development, manufacture and commercialization of vaccines to protect people from infectious diseases through preventative medicine. The Company's portfolio includes two commercial vaccines for travelers: IXIARO/JESPECT, for the prevention of Japanese Encephalitis, and DUKORAL, which is indicated for the prevention of cholera and, in some countries, prevention of diarrhea caused by Enterotoxigenic escherichia coli (ETEC). The Company has also vaccines in development, including candidates against Lyme disease, COVID-19 and chikungunya. Its technologies and services segment cooperates with various pharmaceutical companies using its platform: EB66 vaccine production cell line and IC31 adjuvant. The Company is focused on research and development (R&D) programs, as well as holds investment in product candidates and commercial products.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stable Revenue: Valneva reported total revenues of €174.7 million for 2025, consistent with €169.6 million in 2024, indicating stable performance in the vaccine market despite a slight decline in product sales.
- Strong Cash Position: As of December 31, 2025, Valneva's cash and cash equivalents stood at €109.7 million, down from €168.3 million in 2024, yet maintaining robust financial flexibility to support future R&D investments.
- Positive 2026 Outlook: Total revenues for 2026 are expected to range between €155 million and €170 million, with product sales projected between €145 million and €160 million, reflecting a commitment to expanding its vaccine pipeline despite a decrease from 2025.
- Leadership Continuity: CEO Thomas Lingelbach's contract has been renewed for an additional three years, ensuring continuity in leadership during a critical phase, which is vital for achieving the company's strategic objectives.
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- 2026 Revenue Outlook: Valneva expects total revenue of €155M–€170M in 2026, with product sales projected at €145M–€160M, reflecting a decline compared to 2025 due to the planned wind-down of third-party sales despite growth in core commercial brands.
- 2025 Financial Performance: The company reported preliminary unaudited revenue of €174.7M for 2025, up from €169.6M in 2024, although product sales fell to €157.9M from €163.3M, primarily due to a 42.3% drop in third-party sales to €19.2M.
- Cash Management Strategy: Valneva emphasized disciplined cash management, expecting a further decline in operating cash burn in 2026 while continuing to fund strategic R&D, ensuring growth in commercial brands despite geopolitical pressures.
- Leadership Renewal: The company renewed Thomas Lingelbach's mandate as CEO for an additional three-year term and confirmed his role as a board member, indicating confidence in the leadership team's stability and direction.
See More
- Vaccine Usage Restrictions: Valneva's Ixchiq vaccine has updated usage recommendations in the UK due to reports of serious adverse events associated with the single-dose shot, leading to restrictions for individuals over 60, which may impact market acceptance of the vaccine.
- Target Population Adjustment: The UK's Commission on Human Medicines suggests that Ixchiq still offers a favorable benefit-risk profile for individuals aged 18-59 without contraindications, indicating a positive outlook for the vaccine's application among younger demographics.
- Safety Review Impact: Following reports of very rare but fatal reactions, the commission temporarily suspended the use of the vaccine in individuals aged 65 and older in June, potentially limiting Valneva's sales in the senior market segment.
- FDA Authorization Changes: Although the FDA approved Ixchiq as the world's first chikungunya vaccine in 2023, it suspended its authorization last August due to safety concerns, highlighting the regulatory challenges faced by the vaccine in the market.
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- Vaccine Usage Update: The UK's Commission on Human Medicines (CHM) has updated its recommendations for Valneva SE's single-dose chikungunya vaccine IXCHIQ®, now including restrictions for individuals over 60 years, ensuring the safety and efficacy of the vaccine's use.
- Risk Assessment Findings: While usage for those over 60 is restricted, the MHRA confirms that the benefit-risk profile of IXCHIQ® remains favorable for individuals aged 18 to 59, highlighting the vaccine's significance in younger populations.
- Safety Monitoring Commitment: Valneva is committed to ongoing monitoring of post-marketing safety data for IXCHIQ® and will collaborate with relevant authorities to ensure timely updates to vaccine usage recommendations in response to potential safety concerns.
- Public Health Impact: The chikungunya virus has caused over 3.7 million cases globally, and with the impact of climate change, the spread of this virus is expected to intensify, making Valneva's vaccine development crucial for public health.
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- Pilot Program Launch: Valneva and Instituto Butantan have initiated a pilot vaccination strategy for the IXCHIQ® vaccine, aiming to evaluate its effectiveness and safety in real-world settings, with plans to vaccinate over 500,000 adults aged 18 to 59.
- Vaccine Coverage Goals: The program targets a vaccine coverage rate of 20% to 40% across ten strategically selected municipalities, addressing public health needs as outlined by the Brazilian Ministry of Health to mitigate chikungunya transmission.
- Global Health Commitment: Valneva's Chief Medical Officer emphasized that this initiative underscores the company's commitment to global preparedness against chikungunya threats, with expectations to generate critical real-world data that reinforces the vaccine's public health value.
- Technology Transfer and Collaboration: Valneva signed a technology transfer agreement with Butantan in 2021, ensuring the vaccine's development and commercialization in Latin America, highlighting the strong collaboration between the two entities in addressing public health challenges.
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- Application Withdrawal: Valneva SE has voluntarily withdrawn its Biologics License Application (BLA) and Investigational New Drug (IND) application for the Ixchiq vaccine in the U.S. following the FDA's suspension of the license in August 2025 due to four reports of serious adverse events (SAEs) resembling chikungunya illness.
- Clinical Hold: The FDA has placed the IND for Ixchiq on clinical hold pending an investigation into a newly reported foreign SAE, resulting in no active clinical studies vaccinating participants, which significantly impacts the company's vaccine rollout strategy.
- Safety Assessment: Valneva is actively seeking additional information to further characterize the case related to Ixchiq vaccination, as the case may be plausibly linked to the vaccine, although causality has not been established, potentially affecting public confidence and market acceptance of the vaccine.
- Future Plans: Despite these challenges, Valneva intends to continue discussions with health authorities in all territories where Ixchiq is licensed and plans to advance post-marketing clinical activities, while also looking forward to submitting a Biologics License Application for the Lyme disease vaccine candidate VLA15 in collaboration with Pfizer in 2026.
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