US Retail Store Closures Decline as Industry Stabilizes
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2h ago
0mins
Source: Newsfilter
- Decline in Store Closures: It is projected that U.S. retailers will close approximately 7,900 stores in 2026, representing a 4.5% year-over-year decrease, marking the lowest closure rate in three years as the retail sector moves past a wave of bankruptcies.
- Increase in New Openings: According to Coresight Research, U.S. retailers are expected to open about 5,500 new stores in 2026, a 4.4% increase year-over-year, indicating the continued appeal of value-focused retailers in attracting consumer spending.
- Supply and Demand Dynamics: As demand for retail space rises and supply diminishes, developers may find renewed opportunities to construct new strip malls, potentially revitalizing the retail landscape and driving future growth.
- Economic Factors at Play: Coresight's global research head anticipates that while high inflation and a sluggish housing market continue to impact retail, these economic pressures are expected to ease over the coming year, leading to improved real estate plans for retailers.
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Analyst Views on DG
Wall Street analysts forecast DG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DG is 143.86 USD with a low forecast of 125.00 USD and a high forecast of 170.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
16 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 143.430
Low
125.00
Averages
143.86
High
170.00
Current: 143.430
Low
125.00
Averages
143.86
High
170.00
About DG
Dollar General Corporation is a discount retailer. The Company offers merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its merchandise includes brands from manufacturers, as well as its own private brand selections with prices at discounts to brands. Its consumables category includes paper and cleaning products, packaged food, perishables, snacks, health and beauty, pet, and tobacco products. Its seasonal products include holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive and home office supplies. Its home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, bed and bath soft goods. The Company’s apparel products include basic items for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Analysis of Store Openings and Closures in U.S. Retail Sector
- Increase in Store Openings: Coresight Research projects that U.S. retailers will open approximately 5,500 new stores in 2026, representing a 4.4% year-over-year increase, indicating that value retailers are effectively attracting consumer spending and reflecting sustained demand for low-cost goods.
- Decrease in Store Closures: It is expected that about 7,900 stores will close in 2026, a 4.5% decline from the previous year, marking the lowest number of closures in the past three years, which suggests signs of recovery in the retail sector post-pandemic.
- Impact of Bankruptcies: Last year, 32 retailers filed for bankruptcy, leading to significant store closures; however, affluent consumers continued to support retail growth, highlighting the ongoing K-shaped recovery in the economy.
- Tightening Real Estate Market: With a slowdown in bankruptcies, retail real estate demand is expected to tighten, particularly in major retail markets, as retailers compete for limited commercial space, potentially leading to rising rents in the coming years.
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