Uber's Q4 Earnings Analysis and Market Reaction
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy UBER?
Source: stocktwits
- Earnings Miss: Uber reported Q4 adjusted earnings of $0.71 per share, falling short of the $0.78 consensus, although revenue reached $14.4 billion, slightly above the expected $14.32 billion, indicating pressure on profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Stock Volatility and Ratings: Despite Uber's stock dropping over 5% on Wednesday to a nine-month low, BofA, Citizens, and Goldman Sachs maintained positive ratings, with BofA lowering its price target to $103, implying a 39% upside, reflecting market confidence in Uber's long-term growth potential.
- Increased AV Utilization: Uber noted that autonomous vehicles on its platform are seeing approximately 30% higher trips per vehicle per day, which not only enhances operational efficiency but could also strengthen Uber's competitive position in the future mobility market, particularly against rivals like Tesla.
- Future Outlook and Buyback Plans: Uber plans to remain aggressive with share buybacks and expects to generate strong cash flow by 2025, with the CEO emphasizing a focus on reinvesting in core opportunities, especially in AVs and selective M&A, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
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Analyst Views on UBER
Wall Street analysts forecast UBER stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UBER is 114.67 USD with a low forecast of 73.00 USD and a high forecast of 150.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
31 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 77.930
Low
73.00
Averages
114.67
High
150.00
Current: 77.930
Low
73.00
Averages
114.67
High
150.00
About UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc. operates a technology platform that uses network and technology to power movement from point A to point B. It develops and operates technology applications supporting a variety of offerings on its platform (platform(s)). Its segments include Mobility, Delivery and Freight. Mobility products connect consumers with drivers who provide rides in a variety of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. Delivery offerings allow consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered. In certain markets, the Delivery segment provides offerings for grocery, alcohol, and convenience store delivery as well as select other goods. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on its platform, and gives carriers upfront, pricing and the ability to book a shipment. The Freight segment also includes transportation management and other logistics service offerings.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Report: Uber Technologies reported quarterly earnings that fell short of market expectations.
- Stock Impact: Following the disappointing earnings report, shares of Uber dropped sharply on Wednesday.
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- Earnings Expectations: Uber is projected to report an EPS of $0.78 and revenue of $14.32 billion for Q4, reflecting a 19.7% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability despite market skepticism about the pace of expansion.
- Autonomous Driving Initiatives: In Q4, Uber continued its push into autonomous mobility by expanding robotaxi and delivery pilots with partners like WeRide and Baidu's Apollo Go, showcasing its strategic positioning in future transportation models.
- Partnership Expansion: Uber Eats has broadened its delivery partnerships with retailers such as Kroger and Loblaw, while being named the preferred delivery partner by Global Payments, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the food delivery market.
- Market Focus: Analysts note that investor attention will likely center on whether Uber's margin pressures persist, particularly as updates on its partnership with Nvidia could influence long-term sentiment, although the success of robotaxis remains uncertain and years away.
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- Earnings Miss: Uber reported Q4 adjusted earnings of $0.71 per share, falling short of the $0.78 consensus, although revenue reached $14.4 billion, slightly above the expected $14.32 billion, indicating pressure on profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Stock Volatility and Ratings: Despite Uber's stock dropping over 5% on Wednesday to a nine-month low, BofA, Citizens, and Goldman Sachs maintained positive ratings, with BofA lowering its price target to $103, implying a 39% upside, reflecting market confidence in Uber's long-term growth potential.
- Increased AV Utilization: Uber noted that autonomous vehicles on its platform are seeing approximately 30% higher trips per vehicle per day, which not only enhances operational efficiency but could also strengthen Uber's competitive position in the future mobility market, particularly against rivals like Tesla.
- Future Outlook and Buyback Plans: Uber plans to remain aggressive with share buybacks and expects to generate strong cash flow by 2025, with the CEO emphasizing a focus on reinvesting in core opportunities, especially in AVs and selective M&A, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
See More
- Significant Investment: Nvidia's announcement of a $2 billion investment in CoreWeave, purchasing shares at approximately $87 each, represents a 6.5% discount from last Friday's closing price, resulting in a more than 10% surge in CoreWeave's stock, indicating strong market demand for AI infrastructure.
- Deepening Strategic Partnership: The collaboration between Nvidia and CoreWeave aims to meet the extraordinary demand for Nvidia's AI factories, with plans to build 5 gigawatts of AI factories by 2030, and this investment will accelerate that process, further solidifying Nvidia's leadership in the AI sector.
- Liquidity Crisis Concerns: While Nvidia's investment is seen as support for CoreWeave, critics note that CoreWeave may be facing cash flow shortages and debt burdens, suggesting that Nvidia's investment could be a move to mitigate the risk of its partner's potential bankruptcy.
- Market Outlook Analysis: As AI technology rapidly evolves, Nvidia's investment is not only a lifeline for CoreWeave but also a strategic positioning within the entire AI ecosystem, reflecting the company's forward-thinking approach in future market competition.
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- Investment Scale: NVIDIA announced a $2 billion investment in CoreWeave, purchasing shares at approximately $87 each, reflecting a 6.5% discount from Friday's closing price, aimed at supporting CoreWeave's expansion of AI data center infrastructure to meet growing market demand.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, CoreWeave's shares surged over 10%, indicating a positive market response to NVIDIA's investment and reflecting investor optimism regarding the demand for AI infrastructure.
- Strategic Significance: NVIDIA's investment not only supports CoreWeave but also signifies its long-term strategic positioning in the AI sector, with plans to build 5 gigawatts of AI factories by 2030 to address future technological needs.
- Risk Consideration: While the investment is seen as a support for CoreWeave, analysts express concerns that NVIDIA may be overly reliant on CoreWeave financially, especially as it faces liquidity crises and debt pressures, which could impact NVIDIA's long-term investment returns.
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- Earnings Performance: Uber achieved a 20% sales growth in Q4, although it missed EPS estimates and provided conservative guidance for Q1 2026, raising concerns about its profitability in the eyes of the market.
- User Growth: The company saw an 18% increase in monthly active users, while Uber One membership surged by 55%, now totaling 46 million members, which accounts for 50% of total bookings, indicating enhanced user retention.
- Cash Flow Performance: Uber's free cash flow grew by 42%, providing strong support for future investments and expansions in the current market environment.
- Market Positioning: With plans to launch autonomous vehicles in 15 cities by 2026, Uber aims to strengthen its competitiveness in the rapidly evolving AV industry, although the market remains cautious about its future performance.
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