Stocks of MSTR, GLXY, COIN, and ASST Surge in Pre-Market Following Trump's Agreement on Iran Ceasefire
Bitcoin Price Surge: Bitcoin has climbed back above $71,000, increasing over 4% as demand for derivatives has returned, indicating a resurgence in trading activity.
Market Reactions: Shares of major cryptocurrency-related companies, including Strategy Inc. and Coinbase Global, saw significant movements in pre-market trading, reflecting a mixed sentiment among retail investors.
Weak Market Structure: Despite the price recovery, analysts caution that the overall market structure for Bitcoin remains weak, suggesting that the recovery may not yet show lasting strength.
Influence of External Factors: The price rebound coincided with President Donald Trump's announcement regarding potential actions against Iran, which may have influenced market dynamics.
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Strategic Bitcoin Acquisition: Strategy, a pioneer in integrating Bitcoin into corporate identity, has re-entered the market by acquiring an additional 4,871 bitcoins for $329.9 million, reinforcing its commitment to a long-term accumulation strategy amidst market volatility.
Market Positioning and Confidence: The company's recent purchase is seen as a strong signal of confidence in Bitcoin's future, positioning Strategy ahead of the upcoming 2028 halving event, which is expected to impact supply dynamics and potentially drive prices higher.
Long-term Vision and Strategy: Strategy's approach emphasizes disciplined accumulation rather than short-term trading, aiming to build a substantial treasury of Bitcoin, which now totals 766,970 coins, reflecting a strategic commitment to long-term value creation.
Impact on Investor Sentiment: By maintaining transparency and a clear accumulation strategy, Strategy is not only enhancing its own market position but also serving as a confidence booster for other institutional investors considering Bitcoin as a legitimate reserve asset.
- Stablecoin Market Outlook: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicts that the stablecoin market could grow tenfold by 2030, positioning Circle, the issuer of USDC with a market cap of $77 billion, for significant future growth that could enhance its market standing.
- Circle Stock Performance: Despite a strong performance post-IPO last year, Circle's stock is currently priced at $90, far below its 52-week high of nearly $300, primarily due to uncertainties in the regulatory environment for stablecoins rather than any inherent weakness in Circle's business model.
- Coinbase Strategic Shift: Coinbase is transforming into an
- Circle Internet Group Outlook: Circle Internet Group's USDC stablecoin boasts a market cap of $77 billion, with projections suggesting a tenfold growth in the stablecoin market by 2030; despite underperforming since its IPO, the future growth potential remains significant.
- Coinbase Strategic Shift: Coinbase is undergoing a comprehensive strategic overhaul to become an 'everything exchange,' expanding beyond cryptocurrencies to include stock trading and AI-related services, with a market cap of $46 billion, demonstrating its commitment to diversification.
- Strategy's Bitcoin Advantage: Strategy is the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with its Bitcoin assets nearing $50 billion; although its stock has dropped 57% due to Bitcoin's decline, its long-term holding strategy remains appealing.
- Need for Long-Term Investment: Cryptocurrencies typically follow a four-year boom-bust cycle, requiring investors to be prepared for long-term holding; while short-term declines may occur, future market rebounds could yield substantial returns.
- Slowed Capital Inflows: According to JPMorgan's report, capital inflows into the digital asset market reached approximately $11 billion in Q1 2026, which is only one-third of the pace seen in 2025, indicating an increasing reliance on a small group of buyers and resulting in small or negative investor flows, thereby impacting market activity.
- Strategy's Bitcoin Purchases: Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, continued to be the most aggressive buyer in the market during Q1 2026, acquiring 22,337 Bitcoin in mid-March and an additional 4,871 Bitcoin in early April, bringing its total holdings to 766,970 Bitcoin, despite facing an unrealized loss of $14.46 billion, which still attracted investor interest.
- Increased Market Volatility: The total crypto market value fell by about 20% in Q1 2026, with Bitcoin and Ethereum experiencing declines of 23% and over 30% respectively, attributed to geopolitical tensions and broader economic pressures that forced a pullback from risky assets, although prices stabilized towards the end of March.
- Venture Capital Bright Spots: Despite a quiet trading environment, venture capital remained a positive area, with a decrease in the number of deals but an increase in the size of individual investments, as capital shifted towards stablecoins, payment systems, and tokenization projects, indicating a growing interest in the underlying utility of blockchain technology.
- Market Sentiment Rebound: Global stock markets surged on Wednesday as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, with the S&P 500 rising 2.51%, the Dow Jones up 2.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 2.90%, reflecting a positive market response to easing geopolitical tensions.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: The ceasefire news led to a more than 15% drop in crude oil prices to a 1.5-week low, alleviating inflation concerns and sparking a rally in global government bond markets, with the German 10-year Bund yield falling to a 3-week low, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
- Fed Policy Expectations: Although the market discounts only a 1% chance of a 25 bp rate hike at the upcoming April 28-29 FOMC meeting, the minutes from the March FOMC indicated heightened concerns among participants regarding upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, suggesting a more cautious approach to future monetary policy.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks saw significant gains on Wednesday, with Intel rising over 11%, driving the Nasdaq 100's increase, highlighting the tech sector's crucial role in the market recovery and further boosting investor confidence in technology stocks.










