South Bow announces varied Q3 performance; begins FY26 projections and revises FY25 outlook
Q3 Financial Performance: South Bow Corporation reported a Q3 GAAP EPS of $0.47, exceeding expectations by $0.08, while revenue fell to $461 million, missing estimates by $37 million.
Pipeline Throughput: The company recorded an average throughput of approximately 584,000 barrels per day on the Keystone Pipeline and 703,000 bbl/d on the U.S. Gulf Coast segment during Q3 2025.
Distributable Cash Flow: Distributable cash flow increased to $236 million, up $69 million from the previous quarter, attributed to changes in U.S. tax legislation and tax optimization efforts.
Updated Guidance: South Bow updated its 2025 and 2026 annual guidance, maintaining normalized EBITDA expectations while adjusting effective tax rates and capital expenditures.
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Jefferies Upgrades South Bow to Buy Due to Strong Growth Plan Execution
Jefferies Upgrade: South Bow (SOBO) shares rose 1.9% after Jefferies upgraded the company to Buy from Hold, increasing the price target to C$45, citing confidence in the company's growth plan following discussions with management.
Growth Strategy: The company aims to triple its size by increasing barrel collection in Alberta and enhancing its pipeline to Cushing, with a focus on maximizing tolls and leveraging existing corridors.
Value Proposition: SOBO's direct route to the U.S. Gulf Coast is seen as a strong asset, potentially aiding in recontracting Keystone and supporting upstream growth through a recent memorandum of understanding.
Investment Outlook: Analyst Sam Burwell notes that SOBO shares currently reflect little growth potential, while offering a solid baseline with a 7%-plus dividend yield and over 10% total return, even if significant growth does not occur.
NYSE Content Advisory: Pre-Market Update + Berkshire Hathaway Makes $4.3 Billion Tech Investment
Market Performance: The Dow and S&P 500 experienced declines of over 1%, primarily due to a 2% drop in Nvidia amid growing uncertainty in the AI sector.
Corporate Earnings and Investments: Home Depot reported its earnings, while Target is set to release its results soon. Berkshire Hathaway announced a $4.3 billion investment in Alphabet, boosting its shares by over 3%.
Economic Indicators: The release of the Fed minutes from the October meeting is anticipated, with current rate-cut odds at 45%, a significant drop from 95% a month prior.
Milestones: MP Materials celebrated its 5-year listing anniversary, and South Bow highlighted its commitment to long-term growth and value creation.
