SoFi Technologies Stock Drops 13% Amid Fed Concerns and Earnings Report
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Should l Buy SOFI?
Source: Fool
- Stock Price Decline: SoFi Technologies' stock fell 13% in January due to concerns over Federal Reserve policies and apprehensions regarding its upcoming earnings report, leading to further declines post-report as investors questioned the sustainability of its high valuation.
- Significant User Growth: The company added a record 1 million new accounts in Q4 2025, indicating rapid market share growth, and despite the stock drop, SoFi is steadily progressing towards its goal of becoming a top-10 U.S. financial institution.
- Core Business Strength: With declining interest rates, SoFi's lending segment is thriving as it offers low-interest personal loans to help customers pay off high-interest credit card debt, showcasing its innovative potential in the financial services sector.
- Impressive Financial Performance: SoFi reported a 37% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue and a 160% rise in earnings per share last week, and while the stock fell, its strong performance and future growth opportunities continue to instill confidence among investors.
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Analyst Views on SOFI
Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SOFI is 28.31 USD with a low forecast of 18.00 USD and a high forecast of 38.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 22.080
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
Current: 22.080
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
About SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc. is a member-centric, one-stop shop for digital financial services. The Company, through its lending and financial services products, allows members to borrow, save, spend, invest and protect their money. The Company's segments include Lending, Technology Platform and Financial Services. The Lending segment offers personal loans, student loans, home loans and related servicing to help its members with a variety of financial needs. Its platform supports the full transaction lifecycle, including credit application, underwriting, approval, funding and servicing. The Technology Platform segment provides services through a diversified suite of offerings which include an event and authorization platform accessed via application programming interfaces, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform and services related to both platforms. The Financial Services segment offers a suite of financial services solutions, including SoFi Money and SoFi Invest.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Customer Growth: SoFi added a record 1 million accounts in Q4 2025, indicating a continued expansion of its market share in the digital banking sector, despite pressures from its high valuation.
- Blockchain Service Innovation: SoFi is launching several new blockchain-based services, including an upcoming global payments feature aimed at attracting international customers and expanding its business scope, thereby enhancing its competitive position.
- Strong Financial Performance: Although SoFi reported a 37% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue and a 160% rise in earnings per share, its stock price fell post-earnings due to market concerns about sustaining its high valuation, reflecting the complexity of market sentiment.
- Valuation Challenges: With a price-to-earnings ratio of 58, slightly above JPMorgan's 2.4, while its strong performance and growth potential may justify this premium, market doubts about its ability to maintain such a high valuation persist.
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- Significant Member Growth: SoFi Technologies currently boasts 12.6 million members, aiming to become a one-stop financial service platform as it expands its offerings, demonstrating strong appeal and market potential in the fintech sector.
- Large Loan Funding Volume: The company has funded over $73 billion in loans and helped members pay off more than $34 billion in debt, indicating its substantial influence and customer trust in the personal and student loan markets.
- Stock Price Volatility: Despite an average annual return of 58.3% over the past year, the stock price has recently dipped below $25 per share, with a forward P/E ratio of 44.8, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
- AI Technology Utilization: SoFi leverages artificial intelligence to enhance customer experience, exemplified by its “Cash Coach” tool that provides personalized guidance, thereby increasing customer loyalty and service differentiation, helping the company maintain an edge in a competitive financial landscape.
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- Stock Price Decline: SoFi Technologies' stock fell 13% in January due to concerns over Federal Reserve policies and apprehensions regarding its upcoming earnings report, leading to further declines post-report as investors questioned the sustainability of its high valuation.
- Significant User Growth: The company added a record 1 million new accounts in Q4 2025, indicating rapid market share growth, and despite the stock drop, SoFi is steadily progressing towards its goal of becoming a top-10 U.S. financial institution.
- Core Business Strength: With declining interest rates, SoFi's lending segment is thriving as it offers low-interest personal loans to help customers pay off high-interest credit card debt, showcasing its innovative potential in the financial services sector.
- Impressive Financial Performance: SoFi reported a 37% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue and a 160% rise in earnings per share last week, and while the stock fell, its strong performance and future growth opportunities continue to instill confidence among investors.
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- Rating Upgrade: J.P. Morgan upgraded SoFi's stock from Neutral to Overweight, noting that the recent stock decline following record Q4 results presents an attractive entry point, which is expected to drive a rebound in share price.
- Optimistic Earnings Outlook: SoFi's better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA guidance highlights the profitability of its nearly $40 billion loan portfolio and tech platform, with analyst Reginald L. Smith suggesting that these factors justify a premium valuation for the stock.
- Strong Business Momentum: SoFi continues to add new members and deposits at a record pace, contrasting with other fintechs experiencing deposit outflows or stagnant growth, indicating its competitive strength and ongoing customer appeal.
- Future Investment Plans: SoFi's strategy to increase marketing investments in 2025 and the first half of 2026 is set to lay the groundwork for premium customer acquisition and engagement, with expectations of over 30% annual revenue growth as it expands into emerging markets like crypto, AI, and business banking.
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- SoFi's Customer Growth Momentum: JPMorgan upgrades SoFi to overweight, noting undeniable momentum in adding new members and deposits, with expectations for continued premium customer acquisition and engagement in the foreseeable future.
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- Rating Upgrade: JPMorgan upgraded SoFi from neutral to overweight, with analyst Reginald Smith reiterating a price target of $31, indicating a potential upside of 41%, reflecting strong confidence in the company's prospects.
- Performance Rebound: Despite posting record fourth-quarter results and better-than-expected FY26 adjusted EBITDA guidance on January 30, SoFi's shares have surged 43% over the past 12 months but recently declined by 10% due to market fluctuations.
- Competitive Advantage: Smith noted that SoFi's undeniable momentum in the digital banking space, with record growth in new members and deposits, positions it to potentially become the
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