Situational Awareness Acquires 5% Stake in Nebius
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 37 minutes ago
0mins
Source: stocktwits
- Significant Stake: Situational Awareness disclosed ownership of 12.41 million shares of Nebius, representing approximately 5.6% of the company, making it the largest shareholder and reflecting strong confidence in the AI infrastructure market.
- Valuation Insight: This stake is valued at around $2.6 billion based on current market prices, indicating Situational Awareness's potential in AI investments and market recognition.
- Strategic Partnership: In September 2025, Nebius signed a multi-year agreement with Microsoft worth $17 billion to provide computing capacity, further solidifying Nebius's critical role in the AI ecosystem.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Sentiment on NBIS shifted from neutral to bullish, with message volume increasing over 55% in the past week, indicating investor optimism about Nebius's future prospects.
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Analyst Views on NBIS
Wall Street analysts forecast NBIS stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 208.370
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
Current: 208.370
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
About NBIS
Nebius Group NV is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company operating in the technology industry. The Company is engaged in developing a portfolio of artificial intelligence-related technology assets. It is involved in creating an artificial intelligence-centric player to integrate the essential elements of artificial intelligence development with infrastructure, data and advisory globally. It offers products and services such as a cloud platform for artificial intelligence-related workloads, development team services for autonomous vehicles, development of generative artificial intelligence. Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure to service the growth of the global AI industry, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers. Company is developing three other businesses that operate under their own brands: Toloka AI, TripleTen and Avride.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nebius Shares Surge Nearly 10% After Stake Disclosure by Situational Awareness LP
- Significant Stock Surge: Nebius (NBIS) shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading on Thursday, primarily due to Situational Awareness LP's disclosure of a 5.5% passive stake, indicating strong market confidence in the company.
- Outstanding Annual Performance: The stock has gained 130% year-to-date and over 420% in the past 12 months, reflecting its robust growth potential in the emerging cloud computing market and positive investor sentiment.
- Large Asset Management: Situational Awareness, managed by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, oversees approximately $9.3 billion in assets, with its bearish positions on Nvidia and other tech firms showcasing deep market insights that could influence investor perceptions of Nebius.
- Impressive Financial Results: Nebius recently reported first-quarter results featuring a staggering 684% year-over-year revenue growth to $399 million, alongside a significant increase in its 2026 guidance, underscoring the company's strong growth momentum in the rapidly evolving cloud computing sector.
See More
Situational Awareness Acquires 5% Stake in Nebius
- Significant Stake: Situational Awareness disclosed ownership of 12.41 million shares of Nebius, representing approximately 5.6% of the company, making it the largest shareholder and reflecting strong confidence in the AI infrastructure market.
- Valuation Insight: This stake is valued at around $2.6 billion based on current market prices, indicating Situational Awareness's potential in AI investments and market recognition.
- Strategic Partnership: In September 2025, Nebius signed a multi-year agreement with Microsoft worth $17 billion to provide computing capacity, further solidifying Nebius's critical role in the AI ecosystem.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Sentiment on NBIS shifted from neutral to bullish, with message volume increasing over 55% in the past week, indicating investor optimism about Nebius's future prospects.
See More
IBM to Invest Over $10 Billion in Quantum Computing
- Quantum Computing Investment: IBM disclosed in a regulatory filing that it will invest over $10 billion in quantum computing over the next five years, a move expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in cutting-edge technology and solidify its market leadership.
- Chipmaker Stock Surge: Arm Holdings' shares jumped over 15% after Mizuho raised its price target from $290 to $360, anticipating strong growth from internal CPU demand in 2027, which boosts market confidence in its future performance.
- Rail Merger Halted: Shares of Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific fell about 4% after the Surface Transportation Board halted its review of the proposed $71.5 billion merger, indicating regulatory concerns that could impact future market consolidation.
- Cloud Platform Performance: Snowflake's stock soared 37%, with expectations for a second-quarter adjusted operating margin of 12.5%, exceeding analysts' forecast of 11.9%, demonstrating its strong growth potential in the cloud computing market.
See More
Aschenbrenner's Major Investment in Nebius Sparks Wall Street Attention
- Portfolio Highlight: Aschenbrenner's hedge fund, Situational Awareness, holds 12.4 million Class A shares of Nebius, representing a 5.6% stake, making it the fund's largest equity investment, reflecting strong confidence in the cloud computing sector.
- Fund Size and Background: As of the end of March, Situational Awareness reported approximately $4 billion in investments, and despite Aschenbrenner's lack of professional money management experience, the fund has garnered support from several prominent tech and investment figures, indicating its potential in the AI space.
- Diverse Investment Strategy: The fund invests not only in publicly traded companies expected to benefit from AI adoption but also backs startups like Anthropic, while also taking smaller short positions against industries that may be disrupted by AI, showcasing its adaptive market response capabilities.
- Market Risk Management: Situational Awareness disclosed sizable put-option positions linked to Nvidia, Broadcom, and others, indicating a proactive approach to hedge against overheated market risks while pursuing returns, ensuring the stability of its investment portfolio.
See More
Nebius Group Shares Surge 10% on Major Shareholder Announcement
- Shareholder Change Impact: Situational Awareness, managed by former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner, has become the largest shareholder of Nebius Group with a 5.6% stake valued at nearly $2.6 billion, driving a more than 10% increase in premarket trading.
- Positive Market Reaction: This surge positions Nebius's stock to open at its highest price in over two weeks, indicating a growing market confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Fund Growth: As of March 31, Situational Awareness managed $13.67 billion in assets, reflecting a remarkable 148% growth since the end of 2025, showcasing its investment prowess and market credibility.
- Performance Highlights: Earlier this month, Nebius reported an almost eightfold increase in quarterly revenue, further solidifying its key position in the AI infrastructure sector and attracting increased investor interest.
See More
Market Dynamics and Investment Opportunities Analysis
- Market Outlook: Stock futures are lower this morning, although oil prices are rebounding after strikes in Iran, and the PCE index showed a year-over-year increase of 3.8%, which, while high, did not exceed expectations, indicating a potential easing of inflationary pressures that could positively impact market sentiment.
- Snowflake Breakout: Snowflake shares soared over 35% today as it enhances its competitiveness against private Databricks by securing a $6 billion spending deal with Amazon Web Services, signaling a rerating in the cloud consumption AI sector.
- Salesforce Growth: Salesforce reported strong earnings last night, particularly in Agentforce, bolstered by a significant buyback; however, sluggish performance in Tableau and the commerce vertical led to a stock decline of over 1.5%, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth.
- Marvell's Strong Performance: Marvell delivered impressive earnings with accelerating revenue in data center chips and robust optical business performance, despite challenges in parts supply; shares rose 3.5%, indicating market confidence in its long-term growth potential.
See More
Nebius Shares Surge Nearly 10% After Stake Disclosure by Situational Awareness LP
- Significant Stock Surge: Nebius (NBIS) shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading on Thursday, primarily due to Situational Awareness LP's disclosure of a 5.5% passive stake, indicating strong market confidence in the company.
- Outstanding Annual Performance: The stock has gained 130% year-to-date and over 420% in the past 12 months, reflecting its robust growth potential in the emerging cloud computing market and positive investor sentiment.
- Large Asset Management: Situational Awareness, managed by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, oversees approximately $9.3 billion in assets, with its bearish positions on Nvidia and other tech firms showcasing deep market insights that could influence investor perceptions of Nebius.
- Impressive Financial Results: Nebius recently reported first-quarter results featuring a staggering 684% year-over-year revenue growth to $399 million, alongside a significant increase in its 2026 guidance, underscoring the company's strong growth momentum in the rapidly evolving cloud computing sector.
See More
Situational Awareness Acquires 5% Stake in Nebius
- Significant Stake: Situational Awareness disclosed ownership of 12.41 million shares of Nebius, representing approximately 5.6% of the company, making it the largest shareholder and reflecting strong confidence in the AI infrastructure market.
- Valuation Insight: This stake is valued at around $2.6 billion based on current market prices, indicating Situational Awareness's potential in AI investments and market recognition.
- Strategic Partnership: In September 2025, Nebius signed a multi-year agreement with Microsoft worth $17 billion to provide computing capacity, further solidifying Nebius's critical role in the AI ecosystem.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Sentiment on NBIS shifted from neutral to bullish, with message volume increasing over 55% in the past week, indicating investor optimism about Nebius's future prospects.
See More
IBM to Invest Over $10 Billion in Quantum Computing
- Quantum Computing Investment: IBM disclosed in a regulatory filing that it will invest over $10 billion in quantum computing over the next five years, a move expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in cutting-edge technology and solidify its market leadership.
- Chipmaker Stock Surge: Arm Holdings' shares jumped over 15% after Mizuho raised its price target from $290 to $360, anticipating strong growth from internal CPU demand in 2027, which boosts market confidence in its future performance.
- Rail Merger Halted: Shares of Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific fell about 4% after the Surface Transportation Board halted its review of the proposed $71.5 billion merger, indicating regulatory concerns that could impact future market consolidation.
- Cloud Platform Performance: Snowflake's stock soared 37%, with expectations for a second-quarter adjusted operating margin of 12.5%, exceeding analysts' forecast of 11.9%, demonstrating its strong growth potential in the cloud computing market.
See More
Aschenbrenner's Major Investment in Nebius Sparks Wall Street Attention
- Portfolio Highlight: Aschenbrenner's hedge fund, Situational Awareness, holds 12.4 million Class A shares of Nebius, representing a 5.6% stake, making it the fund's largest equity investment, reflecting strong confidence in the cloud computing sector.
- Fund Size and Background: As of the end of March, Situational Awareness reported approximately $4 billion in investments, and despite Aschenbrenner's lack of professional money management experience, the fund has garnered support from several prominent tech and investment figures, indicating its potential in the AI space.
- Diverse Investment Strategy: The fund invests not only in publicly traded companies expected to benefit from AI adoption but also backs startups like Anthropic, while also taking smaller short positions against industries that may be disrupted by AI, showcasing its adaptive market response capabilities.
- Market Risk Management: Situational Awareness disclosed sizable put-option positions linked to Nvidia, Broadcom, and others, indicating a proactive approach to hedge against overheated market risks while pursuing returns, ensuring the stability of its investment portfolio.
See More
Nebius Group Shares Surge 10% on Major Shareholder Announcement
- Shareholder Change Impact: Situational Awareness, managed by former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner, has become the largest shareholder of Nebius Group with a 5.6% stake valued at nearly $2.6 billion, driving a more than 10% increase in premarket trading.
- Positive Market Reaction: This surge positions Nebius's stock to open at its highest price in over two weeks, indicating a growing market confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Fund Growth: As of March 31, Situational Awareness managed $13.67 billion in assets, reflecting a remarkable 148% growth since the end of 2025, showcasing its investment prowess and market credibility.
- Performance Highlights: Earlier this month, Nebius reported an almost eightfold increase in quarterly revenue, further solidifying its key position in the AI infrastructure sector and attracting increased investor interest.
See More
Market Dynamics and Investment Opportunities Analysis
- Market Outlook: Stock futures are lower this morning, although oil prices are rebounding after strikes in Iran, and the PCE index showed a year-over-year increase of 3.8%, which, while high, did not exceed expectations, indicating a potential easing of inflationary pressures that could positively impact market sentiment.
- Snowflake Breakout: Snowflake shares soared over 35% today as it enhances its competitiveness against private Databricks by securing a $6 billion spending deal with Amazon Web Services, signaling a rerating in the cloud consumption AI sector.
- Salesforce Growth: Salesforce reported strong earnings last night, particularly in Agentforce, bolstered by a significant buyback; however, sluggish performance in Tableau and the commerce vertical led to a stock decline of over 1.5%, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth.
- Marvell's Strong Performance: Marvell delivered impressive earnings with accelerating revenue in data center chips and robust optical business performance, despite challenges in parts supply; shares rose 3.5%, indicating market confidence in its long-term growth potential.
See More
