Sirius XM: A High-Yield Stock Opportunity
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy SIRI?
Source: Fool
- Attractive Dividend Yield: Sirius XM currently offers a dividend yield of 5.17%, translating to $517 in annual passive income on a $10,000 investment, significantly higher than the 4.08% yield of 10-year U.S. Treasuries, appealing to income-seeking investors.
- Strong Cash Flow: In 2025, Sirius XM paid out $365 million in dividends, with last year's free cash flow reaching $1.26 billion, expected to rise to $1.35 billion in 2026, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain dividends and financial health.
- Debt Reduction: The company reduced total debt by $669 million over the past year, including nearly $371 million in Q4, improving its balance sheet and enhancing liquidity, ensuring shareholder returns remain a priority.
- User Base Challenges: Despite stable cash flow, the self-pay subscriber base declined by 301,000 in 2025, indicating signs of long-term decline, with intensified competition posing challenges for user growth, prompting investors to be cautious about capital appreciation expectations.
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Analyst Views on SIRI
Wall Street analysts forecast SIRI stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
4 Sell
Hold
Current: 21.040
Low
18.00
Averages
23.13
High
30.00
Current: 21.040
Low
18.00
Averages
23.13
High
30.00
About SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is an audio entertainment company in North America. The Company has a portfolio of audio businesses, including its flagship subscription entertainment service SiriusXM; the ad-supported and premium music streaming services of Pandora; an expansive podcast network, and a suite of business and advertising solutions. Its segments include Sirius XM and Pandora and Off-platform. The Sirius XM segment features music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic and news channels and other content, as well as podcasts and infotainment services, in the United States on a subscription fee basis. Sirius XM's packages include live, curated, and certain exclusive and on-demand programming. The Pandora and Off-platform segment operates a music, comedy, and podcast streaming discovery platform, offering a personalized experience for each listener wherever and whenever they want to listen, whether through mobile devices, vehicle speakers or connected devices.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Attractive Dividend Yield: Sirius XM currently offers a dividend yield of 5.17%, translating to $517 in annual passive income on a $10,000 investment, significantly higher than the 4.08% yield of 10-year U.S. Treasuries, appealing to income-seeking investors.
- Strong Cash Flow: In 2025, Sirius XM paid out $365 million in dividends, with last year's free cash flow reaching $1.26 billion, expected to rise to $1.35 billion in 2026, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain dividends and financial health.
- Debt Reduction: The company reduced total debt by $669 million over the past year, including nearly $371 million in Q4, improving its balance sheet and enhancing liquidity, ensuring shareholder returns remain a priority.
- User Base Challenges: Despite stable cash flow, the self-pay subscriber base declined by 301,000 in 2025, indicating signs of long-term decline, with intensified competition posing challenges for user growth, prompting investors to be cautious about capital appreciation expectations.
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- Dividend Yield Advantage: Sirius XM's current dividend yield of 5.17% significantly surpasses the 4.08% offered by 10-year U.S. Treasuries, making the stock appealing to income-seeking investors, especially amid market volatility.
- Cash Flow and Debt Management: The company generated $1.26 billion in free cash flow in 2025, with expectations to increase to $1.35 billion in 2026, while reducing total debt by $669 million over the past year, indicating improved financial health that further secures the dividend.
- Revenue Stability: With 76% of its revenue derived from subscription services, Sirius XM benefits from a stable income model that ensures a predictable quarterly payout of $0.27 per share, attracting high-yield investors.
- User Base Challenges: Despite strong dividend and cash flow performance, the company saw a decline of 301,000 self-pay subscribers in 2025, highlighting the long-term decline risk in a competitive streaming market, which may impact future capital appreciation potential.
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- Recent Commentary: Money managers, research firms, and market newsletter writers have issued a commentary that has been edited by Barron's.
- Market Insights: The commentary provides insights and perspectives on current market trends and investment strategies.
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- Downgrade Impact: On February 6, 2026, Seaport Research downgraded Sirius XM from Buy to Neutral and removed its price target; while new revenue and EBITDA guidance appears stable, the expectation of increased self-pay net losses in 2026 led to a muted market response.
- Revenue Performance: Sirius XM reported fourth-quarter revenue of $2.19 billion for 2026, surpassing the $2.17 billion consensus estimate, with the CEO noting a renewed strategic focus post-independence and significant free cash flow growth, indicating business stabilization.
- Subscription Fee Increase: Effective February 24, 2026, the standard rate for the Sirius Marine Voyager subscription will rise by $1.00, and the Platinum audio tier will increase by $1.01, which may impact user retention and overall revenue.
- Market Competition: Despite Sirius XM's investment potential, analysts suggest that certain AI stocks offer greater upside and lower downside risk, indicating a potential decrease in market focus on Sirius XM.
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Berkshire Hathaway Stock Sale: Berkshire Hathaway sold approximately $27 million worth of Liberty Live Group stock in January.
Investment Manager's Holdings: Berkshire investment manager Ted Weschler and his family own around $22 million in Liberty Live Group stock.
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- Sirius XM Strong Cash Flow: Despite a decline in subscribers from 34.9 million in 2019 to 33 million, Sirius XM continues to generate ten-figure free cash flow, which it plans to utilize for buybacks and dividends, demonstrating resilience in the market.
- Crocs Revenue Growth Return: After five years of double-digit revenue growth, Crocs is expected to return to growth in 2026, with projected per-share net income of $12.88 to $13.55, indicating its stock trades at 7.1 to 7.5 times forward earnings, reflecting market confidence in its future.
- Comcast Theme Park Growth: While its traditional cable and broadband business faces decline, Comcast's theme park segment achieved 22% revenue growth in the latest quarter, with expectations of 8% growth in both revenue and earnings by 2027, showcasing the effectiveness of its diversification strategy.
- Attractive Market Valuations: Sirius XM and Comcast stocks trade at 6.8 times and 8.6 times forward earnings, respectively, while offering dividend yields of 5.1% and 4.2%, attracting investors seeking value opportunities.
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