Significant Wednesday Options Trading: UUUU, GEF, RDDT
Greif Inc Options Activity: Greif Inc (GEF) has seen a trading volume of 1,000 options contracts today, equating to about 100,000 underlying shares, which is 60.3% of its average daily trading volume over the past month.
High Volume Put Option: The $55 strike put option for GEF, expiring January 16, 2026, has particularly high activity with 600 contracts traded, representing approximately 60,000 underlying shares.
Reddit Inc Options Activity: Reddit Inc (RDDT) has recorded an options trading volume of 28,749 contracts today, representing around 2.9 million underlying shares, or 53.7% of its average daily trading volume.
High Volume Call Option: The $230 strike call option for RDDT, expiring October 24, 2025, has seen significant trading with 2,875 contracts exchanged, representing approximately 287,500 underlying shares.
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Analyst Views on GEF
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- Financial Performance Boost: Greif achieved a 24% increase in adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2026, with EBITDA margins improving by 260 basis points to 12.3%, demonstrating significant success in cost optimization despite ongoing soft demand.
- Share Repurchase Program: The company completed $130 million of its $150 million share repurchase program and received approval for a new $300 million authorization, indicating management's confidence in future cash flows and capital flexibility to support long-term value creation strategies.
- Market Demand Challenges: While demand in Customized Polymer Solutions remained flat, Durable Metal Solutions and Sustainable Fiber Solutions faced ongoing pressure, prompting management to emphasize aggressive commercial execution and targeted capacity expansions to address market challenges.
- Future Outlook: Greif reaffirmed its low-end guidance for 2026 of $630 million in adjusted EBITDA and $315 million in free cash flow, reflecting ongoing efforts in structural cost optimization and market price changes, although overall volumes were slightly below expectations.
- Earnings Miss: Greif's Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.48 falls short by $0.20, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company reports Q1 revenue of $994.8 million, a 2.5% year-over-year decrease, missing expectations and reflecting weak market demand that may lead to future performance challenges.
- Performance Warning: With both revenue and earnings missing targets, Greif may need to reassess its market strategies to address challenges posed by the current economic environment and ensure long-term growth.
- Investor Scrutiny: Following the earnings report, investors are likely to adopt a more cautious stance regarding Greif's future performance, which could impact its stock price, especially in a climate of heightened sensitivity to profitability.
- Earnings Announcement Date: Greif is scheduled to release its Q1 2023 earnings on January 27 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.68, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 74.4%, indicating improved profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate stands at $1.01 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of 20.5%, which highlights the challenges the company faces in the current economic environment that may impact its market performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Greif has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating relative stability in its financial forecasting.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward revision and three downward revisions, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
- Shopify Rating Downgrade: Wolfe Research analyst Shweta Khajuria downgraded Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP) from Outperform to Peer Perform, reflecting a cautious outlook on its growth potential, with shares closing at $166.21 on Monday, which may impact investor confidence.
- AGNC Investment Rating Change: BTIG analyst Eric Hagen downgraded AGNC Investment Corp (NASDAQ:AGNC) from Buy to Neutral, with shares closing at $11.07 on Monday, indicating concerns over its earnings stability that could lead to capital outflows.
- D.R. Horton Price Target Cut: Wells Fargo analyst Sam Reid downgraded D.R. Horton Inc (NYSE:DHI) from Overweight to Equal-Weight and reduced the price target from $180 to $155, with shares closing at $146.48 on Monday, reflecting a cautious outlook on the housing market.
- Sonoco Products Rating Adjustment: Wells Fargo analyst Gabe Hajde downgraded Sonoco Products Co (NYSE:SON) from Overweight to Equal-Weight and slashed the price target from $52 to $47, with shares closing at $45.64 on Monday, indicating concerns over its profitability that may affect its stock performance.










