Sees FY26 Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA at $585M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy SABR?
Sees FY26 pro forma adjusted EBITDA about $585M, with mid single digit y/y growth in air distribution volumes.
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Analyst Views on SABR
Wall Street analysts forecast SABR stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.070
Low
2.25
Averages
2.85
High
3.30
Current: 1.070
Low
2.25
Averages
2.85
High
3.30
About SABR
Sabre Corporation is a technology company. The Company enables airlines, hoteliers, agencies and other partners to retail, distribute and fulfill travel worldwide. It serves customers in more than 160 countries globally. Its travel solution is a global business-to-business travel marketplace for travel suppliers and travel buyers, including a broad portfolio of software technology products and solutions for airlines. It offers third-party ground handling check-in and e-ticketing, agency air shopping, agency core services, agency managed commission, airline ancillaries, airline shopping, automated exchange and refund, booking engine, cargo revenue manager, central reservation system, channel connect, custom messaging, digital marketing, direct pay, fleet manager, gift cards and vouchers, and inventory services. The Company also provides agencies with a complete solution for shopping, booking, and fulfilling rail trips.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strategic Transformation: CEO Kurt Ekert emphasized Sabre's shift from a GDS-focused company to an AI-native technology leader, which is expected to drive strong future growth, particularly in hotel distribution and payments.
- Financial Performance: Q4 revenue grew by 3% year-on-year, with distribution revenue increasing by $27 million and air distribution bookings rising by 4%, demonstrating the company's sustained competitiveness and growth potential in the market.
- Management Changes: The company announced several executive appointments, including Garry Wiseman as President of Product and Engineering, indicating Sabre's focus on innovation and AI to enhance its technological leadership.
- Future Outlook: Sabre expects mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2026, with IT Solutions revenue projected to reach $140 million to $150 million per quarter, reflecting the company's proactive positioning in new market opportunities.
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- Earnings Beat: Wingstop reported an adjusted EPS of $1.00 for Q4, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.84, indicating strong profitability and boosting market confidence in the company's future performance.
- Sales Miss: The quarterly sales of $175.694 million fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of $177.533 million, yet the overall performance reflects the company's resilience in a competitive fast-food market.
- Stock Surge: Following the earnings report, Wingstop's shares jumped 17.3% to $295.31 on Wednesday, signaling optimistic investor sentiment and potentially attracting more institutional interest in the stock.
- Positive Market Reaction: The broader U.S. stock market rose, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 250 points on Wednesday, and Wingstop's strong performance further fueled market optimism, reflecting investor confidence in the recovery of the restaurant sector.
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- Earnings Announcement: On February 18, 2026, Sabre released its financial results for Q4 and full year 2025, showcasing the company's ongoing growth in the global travel technology sector, with details available on its Investor Relations webpage.
- Webcast Schedule: The company will host a financial conference call today at 9:00 a.m. ET, where management will discuss financial results and future outlook, enhancing investor engagement through a one-hour interactive session.
- Disclosure Channels: Sabre emphasizes its commitment to transparency by using its Investor Relations website, LinkedIn, and X account to disclose important information, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements and timely access to non-public information for investors.
- Global Service Network: Serving customers in over 160 countries, Sabre provides technology support to airlines, hotels, and travel agencies, demonstrating its leadership position and extensive influence in the travel industry.
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- Earnings Highlights: Sabre's Q4 2024 earnings report reveals a Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.01, beating expectations by $0.04, with revenue of $666.53 million reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates by $12.45 million, indicating resilience in the market.
- Booking Growth: Total bookings reached 83 million, a 3% increase from Q4 2024, with an average booking fee of $6.31, improving 2% year-over-year, demonstrating Sabre's progress in enhancing customer experience and market share.
- Cash Flow Performance: The quarter's free cash flow stood at $116 million, significantly up from $61 million in Q4 2024, showcasing improvements in cash management and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening financial stability.
- Future Outlook: Sabre anticipates Q1 2026 revenue of $749.19 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 3.53%, while the full-year revenue forecast is set at $2.90 billion, indicating a 3.89% growth, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook for future market conditions.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Sabre (SABR) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings report on February 18 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.05, reflecting a 37.5% year-over-year improvement, indicating potential recovery in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts project Sabre's revenue to be $654.08 million, representing an 8.5% year-over-year decline, highlighting the competitive pressures the company faces and challenges to future growth.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Sabre has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates only 25% of the time, indicating uncertainty in its profitability and revenue growth trajectory.
- Subsidiary Financing: A subsidiary of Sabre has recently launched a $1 billion notes offering aimed at strengthening the company's capital structure and liquidity to support future business development and strategic investments.
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- Strategic Partnership Announcement: Sabre, PayPal, and Mindtrip have announced a strategic partnership aimed at reimagining how consumers discover, plan, book, and manage travel through the integration of AI, payments, and travel infrastructure, with a product launch expected in Q2 2026.
- Seamless Experience Design: The new platform will eliminate traditional multi-step booking processes by utilizing Mindtrip's AI assistant, allowing travelers to transition from inspiration to action within a single interface, thereby enhancing user experience and satisfaction.
- Payment Integration Benefits: PayPal will serve as the preferred commerce partner, providing identity verification and personalized payment options that enhance consumer trust and convenience during the booking process, which is expected to increase conversion rates and customer loyalty.
- Industry Disruption Potential: This collaboration not only strengthens Sabre's leadership in travel technology but also sets a new standard for the industry by delivering intelligent and personalized travel experiences that cater to modern consumer needs.
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